Russell 2000 Testing 1.5+ Year Resistance The market remains in "lockout rally" mode, where prices continue to move higher with little-to-no pullbacks, while ignoring overbought readings. This is something we have discussed on a weekly basis since our 11/21/23 Compass. There is no reason to fight this bullish trend, and we continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early part of 2024. Russell 2000, Several High-Octane ETFs (ARKK, IPO, XBI) Testing Major 1.5+ Year Resistances. The Rus...
Continue to Ride the Trend Higher After discussing that risk/reward favored buyers in late-October as our key supports were being tested (10/24/23 and 10/31/23 Compass reports), we outlined in our 11/7/23 Compass our belief that a significant year-end rally was likely underway. Market-generated information has continued to be of the risk-on variety, which has only reinforced our bullish outlook on the broad equity market. Therefore, we continue to expect a rally into year-end and beyond. S&P 5...
Bear Market Rally Remains in Play Despite a few tumultuous trading days, the S&P 500 remains above its 200-week MA (3590-3600) and the Russell 2000 (IWM) remains above $163 -- both important support levels moving forward. We continue to see potential for a bear market rally (~+10% from the lows) as long as these support levels hold; bear market rallies would be confirmed by bullish reversals of the 2-month downtrends, or breaks above 3810 on the S&P 500 and above $174 on the IWM, the latter of ...
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