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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Near-Term Downside Likely Following False Breakouts Our long-term outlook remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 remains above 5770-5850 and 5600-5670 (worst case), and we are buyers at these levels. With that said, we see potential for near-term downside as the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and FANG+ (FNGS) (1) could not decisively break out to new highs, (2) display bearish false breakouts, (3) have fallen back into their 2+ month trading ranges, (4) are violating their 1+ month uptrends, and (5...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Upgrading Consumer Staples, Real Estate, and Health Care to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow Our long-term outlook remains neutral on the S&P 500 (SPX) as of our 8/6/24 Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023. In late-July (7/30/24 Compass) we discussed expectations for a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on the SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and at this point it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from our selected 7/17/2...

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Update to credit analysis after upgra...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its geographic diversification, high profitability, stable cash flow, strong brands and strong market position.

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Update to credit analysis after upgra...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its geographic diversification, high profitability, stable cash flow, strong brands and strong market position.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Downgrading Outlook to Neutral; Upgrading Real Estate and Consumer Staples We are downgrading our long-term outlook to neutral (had been bullish since early-November 2023) due to rapidly deteriorating market dynamics; we still believe the S&P 500 is going through a 1- to 4-month consolidation phase, but odds have increased that this consolidation phase could be a topping pattern. The S&P 500 is initially holding at our expected pullback zone of 5100-5191 that we discussed last week (7/30/24 Com...

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Key facts and statistics - 2023

A summary company profile, detailing British American Tobacco p.l.c.’s business operations and financial highlights.

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Update to credit analysis after chang...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its stable cash flow, against its further progress in delivering revenue and profits from potentially reduced risk products.

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Key facts and statistics - 2022

A summary company profile, detailing BAT’s business operations and financial highlights.

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its stable cash flow and geographic diversification, constrained by its further progress in delivering revenue from potentially reduced risk products.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Update to Credit Opinion

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its stable cash flow.

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Update to Credit Opinion

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its stable cash flow, against its limited progress in generating revenue from new, less harmful and more sustainable product categories.

British American Tobacco p.l.c.: Share buybacks will constrain further...

However, BAT's leverage has reduced in 2021, leaving scope for increased shareholder returns at the current rating level

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