MBS’ 1Q24 net gaming revenue rose 15% qoq, achieving a record high at about 156% of pre-pandemic levels. This mainly reflects a continuously strong VIP market segment (volume exceeded 2019’s level) and mass market segment (all-time high gaming revenue). 1Q24’s record-high results were also boosted by higher tourist arrivals and spending, driven by mega entertainment events such as Taylor Swift’s six concerts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY Genting Singapore.
While Middle East tensions have escalated in the past 72 hours, we believe that the situation remains fluid. Oil prices remain the key worry and could negatively impact Asian growth and thus Singapore’s open economy should it escalate past US$100/bbl. In our view, aviation stocks should be able to pass on any oil price related increases, while near-term sentiment for the upstream and offshore marine sector should remain positive. An overall risk-off sentiment will likely pervade the markets in t...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY
Recent comments by US Fed officials raise the spectre of zero interest rate cuts should the US economy remain robust. We view Singapore corporates’ debt levels as manageable across the companies we cover, with free cash flow generation forecast to remain strong in 2024. Nevertheless, some companies’ profit margins could erode in 2024 should interest rate cuts be deferred into 2025, eg WIL, CDL, CLI, SCI and KEP. Companies with high cash piles (eg VALUE, GENS and YZJ) could benefit.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: BYD’s price cuts trigger a new round of price war between EVs and ICE-cars. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. Top BUY: CATL. Results Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$13.80/Target: HK$17.99): 2023: In-line results with lower DPS; higher growth visibility of retail in 2024. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$8.84/Target: HK$10.50): 3QFY24: Solid results; recovery in FY25 could be slower than expected. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$331.40/Target: H...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results iFAST Corp (IFAST SP/HOLD/S$8.34/Target: S$8.56): 4Q23: Second consecutive record AUA; HK ePension division drives growth. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$1.03/Target: S$1.25): 4Q23: Qoq weaker set of results within our expectations, but 2024 outlook remains appealing. Maintain BUY and target price of S$1.25. United Overseas Bank (UOB SP/NOT RATED/S$28.50): 4Q23: Building regional franchise for consumer businesses. Venture Corporation (VMS SP/BUY/S$14.10/Target: S$16....
Tracing MBS, GENS’ 4Q23 results reflect operational normalisation from 3Q23’s high base due to an absence of mega entertainment events and lower visitations. That said, we observed higher regional tourist arrivals and consumption moving into 2024, especially during the CNY period. We remain convinced that such a growth trend will be sustained throughout 2024, backed by intra-regional tourism ramp-up, a solid concerts pipeline, and RWS’ premiumisation. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.25.
The Budget 2024 unveiled by Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Lawrence Wong continued its strategy of helping Singaporeans contend with the rising costs of living, lending support for mid-career and lower income workers to upskill, investing in the country’s energy transition, and making slight changes to taxes for property developers. Importantly, Singapore has set aside S$1b to invest in new AI initiatives.
While we forecast a modest 2.4% EPS growth for 2024, we nevertheless see a number of stocks within our universe that should deliver strong returns, backed by sustainable dividend yields. On a top-down basis, our 2024 year-end target of 3,290 for the STI implies 6% upside from current levels, with the index’s current valuation looking inexpensive at 2024F PE and P/B of 9.9x and 1.0x respectively. Our top large-cap picks are CLI, CD, FR, GENS, MINT, OCBC, SATS, STM, SCI and VMS.
While we forecast a modest 2.4% EPS growth for 2024, we nevertheless see a number of stocks within our universe that should deliver strong returns, backed by sustainable dividend yields. On a top-down basis, our 2024 year-end target of 3,290 for the STI implies 6% upside from current levels, with the index’s current valuation looking inexpensive at 2024F PE and P/B of 9.9x and 1.0x respectively.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: A little less to cheer. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly: Riding on the wave of AI PC; Thunder Software Technology is a beneficiary. Sector Internet: 3Q23 results preview: Solid e-commerce ad growth to drive sector growth; potential positive surprise from online game grossing. Internet: Muted growth acceleration from 11.11 campaign. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$6.43/Target: HK$9.50): Revenue guidance revised down yet sales target maintai...
GENS’ 3Q23 results reflect operational refinement across both gaming and non-gaming segments. Earnings exceeded pre-pandemic levels, boosted by higher operating capacity following Hotel Ora’s reopening in May, ramp-up of regional tourist arrivals, the F1 event and RWS’ premiumisation. We remain convinced that GENS offers meaningful capital upside, given its steep valuation discount and vibrant earnings prospects. Maintain BUY and target price of S$1.25.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking: 3Q23 round-up: Building buffers to weather heightened geopolitical uncertainties. Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/BUY/S$3.34/Target:S$3.63): 9M23: Revenue in line with forecast; recovery expected in late-24. CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.435/Target: S$0.61): 3Q23: Results in line; growth backed by strong orderbook. First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$1.43/Target: S$1.65): 3Q23: Results slightly below expectation on lower-than-expected sales volume. This was mainly due to sh...
MBS’ 3Q23 net gaming revenue further surged 8% qoq to about 126% of pre-pandemic levels, mainly reflecting a strong comeback by the VIP market segment (volume exceeded 2019’s level) and stellar mass market segment (all-time high gaming revenue). The strong 3Q23 results were also boosted by higher tourist arrivals from China, elevated by an improvement in scheduled flight seat capacity from China (reaching about 77% of 2019’s level). OVERWEIGHT the sector. BUY Genting Singapore.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Gaming: MBS 3Q23: Strong earnings momentum continues with record high revenue. Update Wilmar International (WIL SP/HOLD/S$3.58/Target: S$3.80): 3Q23 results preview: Downgrade earnings, and downgrade to HOLD after adjusting for weaker 2H23 performance on weaker palm refining margin and slower YKA recovery. TRADERS’ CORNER Yangzijiang Financial Holding (YZJFH SP): Trading BUY DBS Group Holdings (DBS SP): Trading SELL
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results City Developments (CIT SP/BUY/S$6.99/Target: S$8.00): 1H23: Strong EBITDA growth overshadowed by financing costs and one-off items. CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.47/Target: S$0.61): 1H23: Results above expectations; record orderbook to drive better 2H23. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$0.92/Target: S$1.25): 2Q23: Within expectations. We remain optimistic on further earnings recovery in 2H23. Maintain BUY. Prime US REIT (PRIME SP/BUY/US$0.196/Target: US$0.59): 1H23: Closi...
GENS’ 2Q23 results reflect a broad spectrum of operational improvement across all business segments. Gaming revenue charted solid recovery as VIP luck factor normalised from 1Q23’s low base. Non-gaming revenue was also boosted (+26% qoq) by Hotel Ora’s reopening and higher international patronage. We remain upbeat on better earnings momentum for 2H23, as elevated airfares and flight capacity constraints ease gradually. Maintain BUY and target price of S$1.25.
MBS’ 2Q23 net gaming revenue surged 10% qoq to about 136% of pre-pandemic levels, mainly reflecting a stellar mass market segment (all-time high gaming revenue) and strong recovery of the VIP market segment (volume recovered to 84% of 2Q19 level). The strong 2Q23 results were also lifted by higher international tourist arrivals, with May’s passenger volume in Changi Airport reaching about 89% of the 2019 level. OVERWEIGHT the sector. BUY Genting Singapore.
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