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Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+2)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Singapore Research Team

Strategy - Potential Impact Of Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech

After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.

FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
AES AES CORPORATION
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
CENT CENTRATAMA TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
VALUE VALUE8 N.V.
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
FLT FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
SE US SEA LIMITED
CVL CIVMEC
DCREIT DIGITAL CORE REIT
CLI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DFI DFI RETAIL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
STM SEATRIUM LTD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+9)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Daily - Thursday, August 15, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property Developers: 1H24: A slight miss for CLI; worse-than-expected for CDL. Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/SELL/S$1.46/Target:S$1.04): 1H24: Earnings and guidance way below estimates; reduce target price by 38%. First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.39/Target: S$1.65): 1H24: Within expectations. Two positive points are: a) positive production growth vs contraction by most of peers, b) downstream turns profitable. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$0.82/Target: S$1.18): 2Q24: W...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+18)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, August 15, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Nexteer (1316 HK/SELL/HK$2.89/Target: HK$1.50) 1H24: Earnings miss estimates on revenue. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from HK$2.20 to HK$1.50. Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$373.80/Target: HK$490.00) 2Q24: Solid margin expansion; reaccelerated online games revenue growth. Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb21.38/Target: Rmb30.00) AI business continues to accelerate, GB200 scheduled to ship i...

Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng

Genting Singapore (GENS SP) - 2Q24: Seasonally Softer; Slowing Recover...

2Q24 results reflect the normalisation of operational volume in all business segments due to the absence of Chinese New Year, mega events and seasonally lower visitorship. Gaming revenue fell as VIP luck factor normalised from 1Q24’s high base. Meanwhile, non-gaming revenue was hampered (-11% qoq) by the closure of Hard Rock Hotel for renovations. We cut earnings on a slower recovery momentum despite remaining positive on GENS’ bargain valuations. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of S$1.18...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+3)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Daily - Thursday, July 04, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Market Strategy: 2H24 strategy: Looking for turning points. Sector Banking: Donald Trump will likely be re-elected. BUY banks. TRADERS’ CORNER Singapore Tech Engineering (STE SP): Trading BUY Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP): Trading BUY

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+9)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Singapore Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 04, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Plover Bay Technologies. Sector Automobile Weekly: Sales of top 12 EV brands up 38% wow last week, in line. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL and Tuopu. Top SELL: XPeng. INDONESIA Update Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/BUY/Rp745/Target: Rp890) Number of towers to jump 10% on a...

BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
5225 IHH HEALTHCARE BHD.
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
TOWR PT SARANA MENARA NUSANTARA TBK
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
SPRC STAR PETROLEUM REFINING
VALUE VALUE8 N.V.
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
327 PAX GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
1772 PAX GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY LTD
FRKN GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
3606 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
603305 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
MPM NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
002920 MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CLI HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
2232 CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
Z29 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
02015 029 GROUP SE
09868 LI AUTO INC
600699 XPENG INC
1523 NINGBO JOYSON ELECTRONIC CORP
PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
Singapore Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Market Strategy: 2H24 strategy: Looking for turning points.

Given our slightly more bullish earnings expectation of a 5.6% growth for 2024 (vs 2.4% six months ago), we have upgraded our 2024 year-end target for the STI to 3,380. The index’s current valuation remains inexpensive at 2024F PE and P/B of 10.5x and 1.1x respectively. Our top picks for 2H24 are CLI, GENS, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, STE, VMS and YZJSGD, with CSE, FEHT, FRKN, MPM and VALUE rounding up the small/mid-caps sector.

Singapore Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Market Strategy - Looking For Turning Points

Given our slightly more bullish earnings expectations of 5.6% growth for 2024 (vs 2.4% six months ago), we have upgraded our 2024 year-end target for the STI to 3,380 which implies 1.0% upside from current levels. The index’s current valuation remains inexpensive at 2024F PE and P/B of 10.5x and 1.1x respectively. Our top picks for 2H24 are CLI, GENS, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, STE, VMS and YZJSGD, with CSE, FEHT, FRKN, MPM and VALUE rounding up the small/mid-caps sector.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+16)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Paula Ruth
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, May 13, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: PPI decline narrows as global commodity prices head higher. Money Supply: Weak credit demand hampering policy transmission. Sector Shipping and Ports: Prefer ports over container shipping for better risk-reward. Downgrade CSH to HOLD and OOIL to SELL after recent share price surge; switch to CSP and CMP. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$19.40/Target: HK$22.80): 1Q24 Results Preview: Expect another beat driven by AIoT business. INDONESIA Results Erajaya Swas...

Heidi Mo Jinghui ... (+5)
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan

Singapore Daily - Monday, May 13, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking: 1Q24 round-up: Strong results demonstrate resiliency. Results CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.41/Target: S$0.56): 1Q24: Revenue in line; steady order wins reaffirm 2024 outlook. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$0.885/Target: S$1.25): 1Q24: Stellar results within expectations, mainly driven by “Swiftonomics” and seasonal strength during CNY. Maintain BUY and target price of S$1.25. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCBC SP/BUY/S$13.91/Target: S$18.10): 1Q24: Record-high ...

Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng

Genting Singapore (GENS SP) - 1Q24: A Touch Of Wanderlust

Tracking MBS, GENS’ 1Q24 results reflect a wide array of operational refinement across both the gaming and non-gaming segments. We attribute this to higher regional tourist arrivals and consumption driven by mega entertainment events such as Taylor Swift’s six concerts, as well as seasonal strength during the CNY period. We remain convinced that such a growth trend will be sustained throughout 2024, while GENS offers meaningful capital upside. Maintain BUY and target price of S$1.25.

Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng

Singapore Gaming – MBS 1Q24: Record High Earnings Lifted By Robust Tou...

MBS’ 1Q24 net gaming revenue rose 15% qoq, achieving a record high at about 156% of pre-pandemic levels. This mainly reflects a continuously strong VIP market segment (volume exceeded 2019’s level) and mass market segment (all-time high gaming revenue). 1Q24’s record-high results were also boosted by higher tourist arrivals and spending, driven by mega entertainment events such as Taylor Swift’s six concerts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY Genting Singapore.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+2)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Strategy - The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions: A ...

While Middle East tensions have escalated in the past 72 hours, we believe that the situation remains fluid. Oil prices remain the key worry and could negatively impact Asian growth and thus Singapore’s open economy should it escalate past US$100/bbl. In our view, aviation stocks should be able to pass on any oil price related increases, while near-term sentiment for the upstream and offshore marine sector should remain positive. An overall risk-off sentiment will likely pervade the markets in t...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+4)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Daily: Monday, April 15, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY

FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
1820 ABDULMOHSEN AL HOKAIR GROUP FOR TOURISM AND DEVELOPMENT CO CJSC
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
BRC BRC ASIA LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
FLT FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
DCREIT DIGITAL CORE REIT
ADSE ADS TEC ENERGY PLC
CLI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
PRIME PRIME ROAD POWER PUBLIC CO LTD
STM SEATRIUM LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
ACG ACG ACQUISITION COMPANY LIMITED
Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+2)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Strategy - Higher-for-a-lot-longer Interest Rates: Some Comp...

Recent comments by US Fed officials raise the spectre of zero interest rate cuts should the US economy remain robust. We view Singapore corporates’ debt levels as manageable across the companies we cover, with free cash flow generation forecast to remain strong in 2024. Nevertheless, some companies’ profit margins could erode in 2024 should interest rate cuts be deferred into 2025, eg WIL, CDL, CLI, SCI and KEP. Companies with high cash piles (eg VALUE, GENS and YZJ) could benefit.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+2)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Daily - Monday, April 08, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Higher-for-a-lot-longer Interest Rates: Some companies to suffer, some to benefit. TRADERS’ CORNER SATS (SATS SP): Trading BUY Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP): Trading BUY

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+19)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, February 23, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: BYD’s price cuts trigger a new round of price war between EVs and ICE-cars. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. Top BUY: CATL. Results Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$13.80/Target: HK$17.99): 2023: In-line results with lower DPS; higher growth visibility of retail in 2024. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$8.84/Target: HK$10.50): 3QFY24: Solid results; recovery in FY25 could be slower than expected. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$331.40/Target: H...

Heidi Mo Jinghui ... (+6)
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Leow Huey Chuen

Singapore Daily - Friday, February 23, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results iFAST Corp (IFAST SP/HOLD/S$8.34/Target: S$8.56): 4Q23: Second consecutive record AUA; HK ePension division drives growth. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$1.03/Target: S$1.25): 4Q23: Qoq weaker set of results within our expectations, but 2024 outlook remains appealing. Maintain BUY and target price of S$1.25. United Overseas Bank (UOB SP/NOT RATED/S$28.50): 4Q23: Building regional franchise for consumer businesses. Venture Corporation (VMS SP/BUY/S$14.10/Target: S$16....

Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng

Genting Singapore (GENS SP) - 4Q23: Ending 2023 With A Slight Bump

Tracing MBS, GENS’ 4Q23 results reflect operational normalisation from 3Q23’s high base due to an absence of mega entertainment events and lower visitations. That said, we observed higher regional tourist arrivals and consumption moving into 2024, especially during the CNY period. We remain convinced that such a growth trend will be sustained throughout 2024, backed by intra-regional tourism ramp-up, a solid concerts pipeline, and RWS’ premiumisation. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.25.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+2)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Strategy - 2024 Budget – An Attractive Budget For The People

The Budget 2024 unveiled by Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Lawrence Wong continued its strategy of helping Singaporeans contend with the rising costs of living, lending support for mid-career and lower income workers to upskill, investing in the country’s energy transition, and making slight changes to taxes for property developers. Importantly, Singapore has set aside S$1b to invest in new AI initiatives.

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