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Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Midea Group (000333 CH): 3Q24: Robust revenue and earnings growth; ste...

In 3Q24, Midea achieved steady earnings growth of 11% yoy, primarily driven by the robust top-line growth. For overseas expansion, its OBM revenue grew by >25% yoy in 9M24, progressing toward the company’s target of 50% sales contribution under OBM in overseas markets. In terms of channel optimisation, online channels saw rapid sales growth in 3Q24. Maintain BUY and target price of Rmb106.50.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Thursday, October 31, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50) ASMPT’s Semi solution business registered better-than-expected revenue and margins in 3Q24 thanks to robust advanced packaging demand, which led to a 10% beat vs our operating profit estimates, although reported net profit ended up below expectations due to forex loss. ASMPT will remain a key beneficiary of the AI investment trend, and we recommend accumulating after its recent share price correction. Maintain BUY. Target p...

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Golden Week -- Tourism and home appliances the...

China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...

Jonathan Koh ... (+9)
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 09, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
2013 WEIMOB INC
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
ITMAX ITMAX SYSTEMS BHD
Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Mid-Autumn Festival: Strongest tourism and dut...

For Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, tourism, duty-free shopping and home appliance consumption were the bright spots. Domestic tourism and duty-free shopping had the strongest recovery among mini breaks this year. For the home appliance sector, trade-in policies are beginning to stimulate consumer demand. We prefer companies that: a) are disciplined in business operation; b) have good prospects in overseas business; and c) maintain healthy inventories. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea...

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: 2Q24/1H24 results wrap-up: Lowered expectation...

After the 2Q24/1H24 results, we are now more cautious on China’s consumer sector. For consumer discretionary, domestic operations were impacted by weak offline traffic. Companies remained concrete on overseas expansion and became more disciplined on cost control to protect the margin level amid the slower top-line growth. For consumer staple, we observed slower product mix upgrade. Companies adopted proactive shipment control to manage channel inventories. Operating efficiency improvement became...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 13, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound by 14.7% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. Consumer 2Q24/1H24 results wrap-up: Lowered expectations; disciplined operations matter. INDONESIA Update Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ/BUY/Rp680/Target: Rp900) ...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
SIDO INDUSTRI JAMU DAN FARMASI SI
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Midea Group (000333 CH): 1H24: Core net profit up 14% yoy, high-end se...

Midea’s 1H24 core net profit increased 14% yoy. Midea continued to promote a dual high-end brand strategy, with retail sales of COLMO and Toshiba in total increasing >20% yoy. For overseas expansion, the company achieved robust growth in the high-end home appliance segment. Going forward, it will adhere to the OBM priority strategy, aiming to improve OBM business contribution to its overseas smart home revenue (vs >40% currently). Maintain BUY; fine-tune target price by 4% to Rmb77.10.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, August 20, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$24.00/Target: HK$41.30): 1H24: Premiumisation lags; trim sales volume and profit targets. China Resources Building Materials Tech (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.57/Target: HK$1.83): 1H24: Below expectations; hopeful on pent-up demand in 2H24. CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb23.39/Target: Rmb33.00): 1H24: Results satisfactory; R&D and CSPC Baike acquisition well on track. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb20.25/Target: Rmb23.30): 2Q24: ...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: 618 overall GMV down 7% yoy. Channel shift to livestre...

2024’s 618 overall GMV was down by 7% yoy. By channel, livestreaming platforms continued to gain momentum, with GMV up 12% yoy, while the cosmetics category saw a significant shift towards livestreaming platforms. By brand, domestic cosmetics and sportswear brands recorded strong performances. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential ...

During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, consumer services, experiential spending (eg tourism) and lower-tier cities continued to lead the growth. For China’s consumer sector, we keep Anta, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks. At the same time, we add Miniso but remove CR Beer and Midea from the stock picks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+10)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 12, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential spending, and lower-tier cities lead growth. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp4,300/Target: Rp4,300) Issuance of new shares to complete the divestment process. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications 1Q24 earnings up 14% yoy on the back ...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Tourism and catering strong performances during the La...

During the Labour Day holiday, tourism and catering continued to record strong performances, while DF per capita spending showed a downward trend. We reiterate our key theses for the consumer sector, highlighting companies with: a) overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) upside potential of improving operating efficiency, or c) near-term catalysts. We keep Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks, but remove Galaxy from the stock picks. Mainta...

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call

The HSI and MSCI China rose 7.4% and 6.4% mom respectively in April, lifted by news of a stock connect scheme expansion and further easing of restrictions on property purchases in China. With the July Politburo likely to see further supportive policy rollout, we are adding beneficiaries of improving domestic consumption − CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou and Tencent − to our BUY list, and closing out our SELL calls.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Midea Group (000333 CH): 1Q24: Core net profit grew 20% yoy; great eff...

In 1Q24, Midea’s smart home solutions business recorded revenue growth of 11% yoy, with overseas business expansion making great efforts through new channels and in new markets. We are in favour of Midea’s overseas expansion achievements, and we believe the still robust AC production planning data for 2Q24 will boost the sentiment of AC makers. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of Rmb76.20.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, April 30, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$34.95/Target: HK$44.00) CMB’s 1Q24 earnings were slightly below our expectations due to disappointing fee income and higher cost ratio, partly offset by strong trading gains and lower credit impairment. 1Q24 NIM performance beat our expectation with a 2bp qoq decline and we expect it to hit its bottom by 2024 if there is another round of deposit rate cuts. Besides that, asset quality remains largely stable. Maintain BUY. Target price:...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Focus on four key theses for the sector.

In this report, we have summarised what we read from consumer companies’ 2023 results, the 2024 outlook and recent updates. We think companies: a) with overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) that have upside potential of improving operating efficiency, c) that will benefit from near-term catalysts (eg event-driven), and d) have increasing dividend payout will outperform. Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou are our most preferred stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Int'l Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis

Int'l Equity Strategy Throughout 2024 we have discussed the theme of classic bull market behavior as evidenced by an ever-increasing number of global indexes and Sectors breaking out to new highs. The long list of breakouts discussed throughout 2024 include the MSCI EM, Frontier, ACWI, and MSCI EAFE indexes (all in local currency), and also Japan, Israel, Germany, Sweden, France, Ireland, UK, South Korea, and Norway. Another important thing to note is that none of these breakouts are failing; t...

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

China Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls

In Mar 24, the HSI and MSCI China edged up 0.2% and 0.9% mom respectively, as profit taking set in after the Two Sessions, while investors await further details of the policy support. The MSCI China index still trades at an undemanding valuation of 9.1x 12-month forward PE. We are mainly adding beneficiaries of policy support like Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, but hedging with SELLs on BYD, EVE Energy and Li Auto, where price competition has intens...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Midea Group (000333 CH): 2023: Results missed slightly; AC peak season...

Midea’s 2023 results slightly missed consensus and our estimates. However, the company sharpened its competitiveness in the home appliance sector through product upgrading and channel optimisation. In the near term, the upcoming AC peak season will be a catalyst for Midea, in our view. We switch to Midea as our top pick in the home appliance sector. Maintain BUY and raise target price by 13% to Rmb76.20.

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