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Benoit Valleaux ... (+4)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Steven Gould
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/22/2024

EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+4)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Steven Gould
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 22/04/2024

Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector

>Topic of the week: what we know, what we need - At least we now know with good precision what we need in order for the sector’s perception to improve again. Reporting Q1 sales that featured 2% growth at cc for its soft luxury division, LVMH indicated that over the quarter spending from the Chinese cluster grew 10% while the local demand from Europeans, Americans and Japanese taken together was down in low single digit. To get to the reacceleration, we and the consens...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector

>Topic of the week: what we know, what we need - At least we now know with good precision what we need in order for the sector’s perception to improve again. Reporting Q1 sales that featured 2% growth at cc for its soft luxury division, LVMH indicated that over the quarter spending from the Chinese cluster grew 10% while the local demand from Europeans, Americans and Japanese taken together was down in low single digit. To get to the reacceleration, we and the consens...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : March down in double digit leads to a -6.3% decline in Q1 for S...

>Swiss watch exports: March down -16.1% leads to a Q1 at -6.3% y-o-y (luxury category also negative over the quarter at -2.8%) - - Over March 2024, exports amounted to CHF 2,002m down 16.1% y-o-y after -3.6% in February and +3.1% in January. This is a very weak figure but was obviously impacted to a good extent by a negative working days effect. On the whole, Q1 was down -6.3% (as a reminder: Q4 2023 witnessed +4.7% growth, FY 2023 growth ended at +7.6%). The l...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : March down in double digit leads to a -6.3% decline in Q1 for S...

>Swiss watch exports: March down -16.1% leads to a Q1 at -6.3% y-o-y (luxury category also negative over the quarter at -2.8%) - - Over March 2024, exports amounted to CHF 2,002m down 16.1% y-o-y after -3.6% in February and +3.1% in January. This is a very weak figure but was obviously impacted to a good extent by a negative working days effect. On the whole, Q1 was down -6.3% (as a reminder: Q4 2023 witnessed +4.7% growth, FY 2023 growth ended at +7.6%). The l...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kering: Monthly statement on the total number of shares and voting rig...

Kering: Monthly statement on the total number of shares and voting rights (April 2024) KeringSociété anonyme with a share capital of €493,683,112Head office: 40, rue de Sèvres – 75007 PARIS552 075 020 RCS PARIS April 16, 2024 Monthly statementon the total number of shares and voting rights(articles L.233-8 of the French Commercial Code and 223-16 of the General Regulation of the French Financial Markets Authority (AMF – Autorité des Marchés Financiers) Date     Total number ofshares   Total number of voting rights theoretical 1 exercisab...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kering : Publication mensuelle du nombre d’actions composant le capita...

Kering : Publication mensuelle du nombre d’actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote (Avril 2024) KeringSociété anonyme au capital de 493 683 112 €Siège social : 40, rue de Sèvres – 75007 PARIS552 075 020 RCS PARIS         Le 16 avril 2024 Publication mensuelledu nombre d’actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote(articles L. 233-8 du code de commerce et 223-16 du règlement général de l’AMF) Date d’arrêt desInformations   Nombre total d’actionscomposant le capital   Nombre total de droits de vote théoriques 1 exerçables 2   ...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/16/2024

Lufthansa: profit warning issued due to impact of strikes S&P downgrades Kering one notch to A-/stable Vallourec: new USD issue to refinance its EUR bond maturing in 2026>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 16/04/2024

Kering : S&P a dégradé le rating d’un cran à A-/stable Lufthansa : profit warning lancé en raison de l’impact des grèvesVallourec : nouvelle émission en USD pour refinancer son obligation en EUR à échéance 2026>...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 16 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NATURGY, SECTOR BANCOS, TALGO, TELEFONICA. EUROPA: ENI, KERING. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Con Oriente Medio en el punto de mira Inicio de la semana positivo en los mercados europeos a pesar del ataque sin consecuencias...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kering: Information regarding the arrangements for taking part in the ...

Kering: Information regarding the arrangements for taking part in the Combined General Meeting of April 25, 2024 and conditions for obtaining or consulting the documents prepared for the meeting   PRESS RELEASE   April 15, 2024 INFORMATION REGARDING THE ARRANGEMENTS FOR TAKING PART IN THE COMBINED GENERAL MEETING OF APRIL 25, 2024 AND CONDITIONS FOR OBTAINING OR CONSULTINGTHE DOCUMENTS PREPARED FOR THE MEETING Kering shareholders are invited to attend the Company’s Combined General Meeting to be held at 3 p.m. on Thursday, April 25, 2024 (Paris time) at Kering’s headquarters – ...

Cedric Rossi ... (+5)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Paul Rouviere
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #24

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we highlight how resilient equity markets had been over the past months, despite a c

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 15/04/2024

The logistics market is our preferred real estate segment, where the coming growth remains undervalued. We prefer the high growth stock within this segment, CTP. We also have Outperform recommendations on Argan, Montea and VGP. We believe WDP is fully valued, though. - ...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/15/2024

The logistics market is our preferred real estate segment, where the coming growth remains undervalued. We prefer the high growth stock within this segment, CTP. We also have Outperform recommendations on Argan, Montea and VGP. We believe WDP is fully valued, though. - ...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector

>Topic of the week: no party planned this earnings season - If the most recent trends for luxury stocks are to be taken seriously, expectations related to the coming Q1 earnings season must have been seriously downgraded over the last weeks. The sector as a whole now witnesses a YTD gain below 10% and modestly above the one visible on the Stoxx 600; Hermès aside, it is trading at a discount versus pre-Covid. If a few franchises with above average brand momentum and/or...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector

>Topic of the week: no party planned this earnings season - If the most recent trends for luxury stocks are to be taken seriously, expectations related to the coming Q1 earnings season must have been seriously downgraded over the last weeks. The sector as a whole now witnesses a YTD gain below 10% and modestly above the one visible on the Stoxx 600; Hermès aside, it is trading at a discount versus pre-Covid. If a few franchises with above average brand momentum and/or...

Jean Danjou
  • Jean Danjou

ODDO : Monday review – Luxury sector

>Topic of the week: let’s talk about prices - Above trend rises in unit prices have been a visible feature of the post-Covid strong revenue growth posted by the luxury industry at large. Historically, the annual growth of the sector runs at +8%/+10% on average with volume, price and mix contributing more or less equally but the post-Covid economic backdrop has allowed a faster pace of annual price rises: we estimate that the average price inflation ended up close to h...

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