A director at Rothschild & Co sold 465,144 shares at 38.600EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
>Key points from the exercise - The results of the 2023 EBA stress tests on banks were published last Friday evening. The application of new stress tests over three years to balance sheets at the end of 2022, with tougher assumptions/scenario (adverse) and within another challenging/uncertain overall context (recession, inflation, etc.), logically resulted in significant negative impacts on banks’ BS positions (capital, etc.) although with a fair and reassuring resili...
>Key points from the exercise - The results of the 2023 EBA stress tests on banks were published last Friday evening. The application of new stress tests over three years to balance sheets at the end of 2022, with tougher assumptions/scenario (adverse) and within another challenging/uncertain overall context (recession, inflation, etc.), logically resulted in significant negative impacts on banks’ BS positions (capital, etc.) although with a fair and reassuring resili...
>Adjustment to our target price due to the dividend payment - We have adjusted our target price for Rothschild & Co to € 46.6 (vs € 48), in order to factor in last week’s payment of an ordinary dividend of € 1.4 for 2022. As a reminder, the price of the offer shortly to be launched by Concordia has been adjusted for the ordinary dividend (and will later be adjusted for the exceptional dividend).Planned tender offer filed yesterday - Yesterday, Rothsc...
>Ajustement de notre objectif de cours du fait du paiement du dividende - Nous ajustons notre objectif de cours sur Rothschild & Co à 46.6 € (vs 48 €), afin de tenir compte du paiement du dividende ordinaire de 2022 de 1.4 € payé la semaine dernière. Pour rappel, le prix de l’offre qui devrait être prochainement lancée par Concordia est ajusté du dividende ordinaire (et sera ajusté ultérieurement du dividende exceptionnel).Dépôt hier du projet d’offre d’a...
Nous pensons que nous sommes à veille d’un rebond des Small Caps relativement aux Large Caps. Leur valorisation relative au Large Caps n’a jamais été aussi attractive, et leurs perspectives de croissance des BPA sont bien plus enthousiasmantes (47% en 2024e vs 2022) que celles des Large Caps (+6%). De plus, les Small Caps pricent un niveau de stress du marché excessif. Leurs ratios de crédit restent moins solides que ceux des Large Caps mais se sont nettement améliorés. Cette stratégi...
We think that we are on the verge of a rebound in small caps relative to large caps. Their valuation relative to large caps has never been so attractive, and their EPS growth prospects are far more exciting (47% in 2024e vs 2022) than those of the large caps (+6%). In addition, small caps have an excessively high level of market stress incorporated in their valuations. Their credit ratios are still less solid than those of the large caps but have improved significantly. This small cap...
>Financial advisory revenues proved more resilient that the rest of the market - Rothschild & Co reported yesterday evening its Q1 2023 revenues which stood at € 606.2m, down 10% vs Q1 2022 and a shade below our forecast (€ 613.5m) mainly in advisory, with revenues below our estimate for consulting but higher than expected for AM and private banking. Revenues in financial advisory stood at € 327m (-10% vs a very high base in Q1 2022). M&A revenues were € 219m, down 29...
>Les revenus sur le Conseil ont mieux résisté que l’ensemble du marché - Rothschild & Co a publié hier soir ses revenus du T1 2023, qui se sont élevés à 606.2 M€, en baisse de 10% vs T1 2022, très légèrement inférieurs à notre attente (613.5 M€) principalement en Conseil, mais plus élevés que prévu en AM et banque privée. Les revenus en Conseil financier ont été de 327 M€ (-10% vs une base très élevée au T1 2022). Les revenus en M&A ont été de 219 M€, en baisse de 29%...
Trois mois après la brusque sortie de la Chine de sa politique “zéro COVID”, que pouvons-nous observer du redémarrage de son économie ? Nous avons interrogé les sociétés européennes des secteurs les plus exposés à l’Empire du Milieu - ressources de base, technologie, automobile, luxe, chimie, biens d’équipement – et quelques cas particuliers dans d’autres secteurs. Il reste des opportunités dans la Chimie, la Technologie, l’Hôtellerie, la Santé et les équipementiers auto. La messe est...
Three months after the abrupt end of China’s zero-COVID policy, what can we say about the recovery of the country’s economy? We spoke with European companies in the sectors most exposed to China – Basic Resources, Technology, Automotive, Luxury Goods, Chemicals, Capital Goods – and a few special cases in other sectors. There are still opportunities in Chemicals, Technology, Hotels, Healthcare and among automotive suppliers. However, the die is cast in Luxury Goods, and there are few g...
Three months after the abrupt end of China’s zero-COVID policy, what can we say about the recovery of the country’s economy? We spoke with European companies in the sectors most exposed to China – Basic Resources, Technology, Automotive, Luxury Goods, Chemicals, Capital Goods – and a few special cases in other sectors. There are still opportunities in Chemicals, Technology, Hotels, Healthcare and among automotive suppliers. However, the die is cast in Luxury Goods, and there are few g...
>Positive approach reiterated based on fundamentals of the sector - The recent (excessive in our view) market correction on the European banking sector, at first glance seen as a result of a panic/concern mood by investors following US regional banks’ troubles, should rather be seen as an opportunistic profit-taking after the huge rally observed over the last months (+40% over last five months) – in any case, it does not highlight any upcoming fundamental issues for ...
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