Company Update | Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt28.00/Target: Bt45.00) KTC guided a loan growth target of 1-2% in 2026. The CEO guided that the economic outlook in 2026 remains gloomy, and the company will focus on bottom line growth and robust asset quality in 2026. Meanwhile, there has been no guidance on the impact of selling unsecured NPLs to AMCs. BOT announced that it would be maintaining the credit card minimum payment at 8% until 31 Dec 26. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt45.00.
Top Stories Company Update | Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt28.00/Target: Bt45.00) KTC guided a loan growth target of 1-2% in 2026. The CEO guided that the economic outlook in 2026 remains gloomy, and the company will focus on bottom line growth and robust asset quality in 2026. Meanwhile, there has been no guidance on the impact of selling unsecured NPLs to AMCs. BOT announced that it would be maintaining the credit card minimum payment at 8% until 31 Dec 26. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt45.00.
Greater China Economics | Trade Exports growth rebounded to 5.9% yoy in November, beating consensus estimates, driven by a recovery in EU and Japan shipments, although exports to the US weakened further. Imports rose 1.9% yoy, below consensus expectations, amid mixed commodity performances. The trade surplus widened to US$111.7b. Exports of motor vehicle, hi-tech and mechanical & electrical goods improved, while integrated circuit imports strengthened. Overall, trade data showed resilience via d...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
Company Results | Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt30.00/Target: Bt45.00) KTC posted a 3Q25 net profit of Bt1.95b (+2% yoy, +3% qoq). The results are in line with our and consensus estimates. KTC’s loan growth expanded by 1% yoy and was flat qoq in 3Q25. Credit costs decreased 28bp qoq while NPL ratio stabilised qoq in 3Q25. We believe KTC will maintain a good asset quality. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt45.00.
Top Stories Sector Update | Retail We visited Lazada Thailand's headquarters. The CEO shared insightful data on both the Thai e-commerce market and Lazada Thailand. Thailand’s e-commerce recorded the fastest growth in the region with a yoy growth rate of 21.7% in 2024, with the market size expected to reach Bt2t by 2030. Listed retailers have adapted to evolving consumer behaviour patterns by expanding into e-commerce. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; top pick is CPALL. Company Results | Krungthai Card...
Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/ HK$67.50/Target: HK$105.00) Fuyao Glass’ 3Q25 earnings miss stems from its margins, dragged by the US division and higher effective tax rate. Revenue grew 19% yoy on 11% sales volume growth and 7% ASP hike. Based on the lower margins, we trim our 2025-27 net profit forecasts by 5%/3%/2% to Rmb9.61b/Rmb10.98b/Rmb12.71b respectively, implying 19% CAGR. Earnings prospects remain positive on overseas market share gains, optimisation of pr...
Highlights • Expect 3Q25 net profit to come in at Bt1,912m, up 1% yoy and flat qoq. Project a 11bp qoq drop in credit cost to 561bp in 3Q25. • Foresee a further share price reversal due to undemanding valuation. • Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt45.00.
Top Stories Company Update | Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt30.25/Target: Bt45.00) We expect KTC to report a 3Q25 net profit of Bt1,912m, up 1% yoy and flat qoq. We also foresee KTC reporting yoy and qoq loan growth in 3Q25, driven by efficient asset quality control. We anticipate the company will benefit from government stimulus packages starting from 4Q25. Although we have seen some recovery in share price, we continue to expect a further share price recovery due to its undemanding valuation. M...
Indonesia Company Update | Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ/HOLD/Rp3,900/Target: Rp4,250) BBRI’s 8M25 earnings fell 9.9% yoy to Rp32.6t as PPOP declined 4.4% yoy, weighed by lower yields and higher opex, while CoC stayed elevated at 3.2%. Loan growth re-accelerated modestly to +5.8% yoy, led by corporate and consumer, but micro loans remained in contraction. We maintain HOLD with an unchanged target price of Rp4,250; a dividend yield of 7.9% provides downside support. Malaysia Sector Update | Ban...
KTC posted a 2Q25 net profit of Bt1.9b (+4% yoy, +2% qoq). The results are in line with our and consensus estimates. In 2Q25, credit costs decreased 16bp qoq while NPL ratio declined qoq. A strong bottom line and asset quality reaffirmed the company's resilient fundamentals, despite market concerns about the panic selling and subsequent drop in share price. We believe KTC will maintain a good asset quality. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt45.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt27.75/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q25: Results in line; robust bottom line performance and strong asset quality affirm the company's fundamental resilience despite recent share price volatility. TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt1.89/Target: Bt1.95) 2Q25: Results in line; well-managed asset quality. Update PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/SELL/Bt22.50/Target: Bt20.00) 2Q25 core earnings expected to remain a loss. Downgrade to SELL.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Operational update and 1H25 earnings preview for CR Land and COLI. Update Tiangong International (826 HK/NOT RATED/HK$2.10): Leading global provider of specialty steels benefitting from recovery. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ/BUY/Rp810/Target: Rp1,300): A blue ocean leader in integrated mobility and logistics. MALAYSIA Update PPB Group (PEP MK/BUY/RM9.63/Target: RM15.80): We expect 2Q25 results to come in flat qoq at RM340m-370m, given st...
The BOT attended our seminar to provide our clients with Thailand's economic outlook for 2H25. The BOT has revised its 2025 GDP forecast from 2.0% to 2.3% in the meeting. It foresees a softening of exports in 3Q25, due to the front-loading of exports in 1H25. The PM has been suspended, with a caretaker in charge, but there should be no impact on 2026’s budget. We highlight four sectors related to the BOT event. Top picks: KBANK, MTC, CPALL and STECON.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$4.89/Target: HK$6.20) FY25: Results in line; targets adjusted net earnings growth of 10-20% yoy in FY26. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$505.50/Target: HK$635.00) 1Q25: Earnings beat; international tourism and AI integration investments as key catalysts. Update Tsingtao Brewery (168 HK/BUY/HK$56.45/Target: HK$66.70) Focus on sales volume and profit growth; aims to raise dividend payo...
We came away from last Friday’s analyst meeting with a neutral view. Management is maintaining its 2025 financial year targets and is committed to prioritising good asset quality. The possible reasons for removal from the index might be a) MSCI is reducing the weight on Thai stocks, and b) the share price reduction lowered KTC’s market cap. Although the removal from the index tanked the share price, business outlook and fundamentals remain solid. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt58.00.
KTC posted a 1Q25 net profit of Bt1.86b (+3% yoy, -2% qoq). The results were in line with our and consensus estimates. Credit costs decreased by 60bp qoq in 1Q25. NPL ratio stabilised qoq at 2.0%. KTC guides an insignificant impact from debt relief programmes, including the earthquake. Overall, we believe KTC will maintain a prudent approach to maintaining good asset quality. The anticipated policy rate cuts will be the catalyst for KTC. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt58.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt21.30/Target: Bt22.50) 1Q25: Results in line with consensus; bottom line beats our forecast due to investment gain. Downgrade to HOLD. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt46.25/Target: Bt58.00) 1Q25: Results in line; credit costs decline qoq with a stabilised NPL ratio. TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt1.89/Target: Bt1.95) 1Q25: Results in line with consensus; reiterates selective lending po...
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