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Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkey on top again, but muted thi...

EME Equity Market – September 2022 Market performance – in a rough month for the markets, Turkey emerges as the top-performing region, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 8.3% mom in EUR terms and 10.7% mom in USD in September; while the ISE index outperformed all the other indices once again, but with a muted performance this time, adding just 1.0% mom in EUR terms and 0.1% in local currency terms. All the other indices recorded negative performances, with the Czech PX Index losing 4....

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
CEZ CEZ AS
PETG PETROL D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
COG COGNOR HOLDING SA
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
CCC CCC SA
EEG1T EKSPRESS GRUPP A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
ADPL-R-A AD PLASTIK D.D.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PLZL POLYUS (GDR)
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
SF3 STS GROUP AG
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
GR6 GRADUS
FINT FINTEL ENERGIJA
KOFOL KOFOLA CESKOSLOVENSKO A.S.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
SHO SHOPER
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – US Macro; SHO PW; SPL PW; PEO PW; PKO...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: US macro - may be heading for 6% rates and recession • Shoper: 2Q22 adjusted EBITDA broadly in line with preliminary figure NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: sees increase in OSII buffer - cross-read for Bank Pekao • PKO BP: sees OSII hike to 200bps (up from 100bps) • Polyus: 1H22 financial results - in line with consensus EBITDA, further pressure ahead NEUTRAL • Short News (COTE, SNP, SNG)

Gerben Hieminga ... (+2)
  • Gerben Hieminga
  • Nadège Tillier

Energy price caps are appealing, but are not without risks

In this article our power market experts Gerben Hieminga and Nadège Tillier discuss the energy price cap recently proposed by the European Commission and detail the 10 things they will be monitoring closely in the run-up to, and after, the introduction of the cap

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: markets mostly up in July, amid a ...

EME Equity Market – July 2022 Market performance – markets mostly up during the month, but Russia’s MOEX down 9.4% in EUR terms. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 2.3% mom in EUR, but lost 0.5% mom in USD in July. The Greek ASE Index was the best performing benchmark, advancing 5.0% mom in EUR. Hungary’s benchmark, the BUX Index, added 4.4% mom and 6.5% mom in EUR and HUF terms, respectively. Romania’s BET Index gained 1.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.3% mom in local currency, while Turkey’s ISE20 added...

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
YNDX YANDEX NV CLASS A
CEZ CEZ AS
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
LTS GRUPA LOTOS S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
KMB KOMERCIJALNA BANKA AD SKOPJE
TRP TERAPLAST
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
ADPL-R-A AD PLASTIK D.D.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
PLZL POLYUS (GDR)
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
ZB-R-A ZAGREBACKA BURZA DD
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ARNT-R-A ARENATURIST D.D.
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
PEN PHOTON ENERGY NV
FINT MINING AND METALLURGICAL COMPANY NORILSK NICKEL (GDR)
ALG FINTEL ENERGIJA
KSPI ALLEGRO.EU SA
TNB KASPI KZ
HUGE NLB BANKA
ALR HUUUGE
IGN1L ALRO SLATINA
SHO IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO SHOPER
PINK PEPCO GROUP NV
KCEL PILULKA LEKARNY AS
GPP KCELL JSC
GRUPA PRACUJ DA
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EREGL TI; TITC GA; EBS AV; OTKAR TI; EUROB GA; ETE GA; TNB...

HEADLINES: • Erdemir: attractive dividend yield, offset by cost pressures (HOLD - reinitiation of coverage) • Titan Cement: recovering lost ground (stays BUY) • Erste Bank: posts very solid 2Q22 results and guidance mix POSITIVE • Otokar: 2Q22 results - strong beat POSITIVE • Eurobank: strong 2Q22, guidance upgraded for 2022E • National Bank: another solid beat, with upside risks for 2022E forecasts • NLB Banka: 2Q22 results review - annualised ROE reaches as much as 20.8% • Zagreb Stock E...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKN PW; LTS PW; POLY LN; PLZL LI; SAB1L LH

HEADLINES: • Polish oil & gas: you can't have one, without the other (PKN Orlen stays BUY, Grupa Lotos upgraded to BUY) • Polymetal: considering potential disposal of Russian assets POSITIVE • Polyus/Polymetal: ban of Russian gold imports to the EU could be approved formally today NEGATIVE • Siauliu Bankas: 2Q22E results preview (due on 29 July) • Short News (EL, FP, TEL)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LVC PW; FP RO; SNP RO; ALR RO; ZB CZ; PLZL LI; POLY LN

HEADLINES: • LiveChat Software: Zendesk, LVC's closest peer, to be acquired for USD 10.2bn POSITIVE • Fondul Proprietatea: results of the tender offer • OMV Petrom: reduction of price at pump might be voluntary and covered by cuts in other taxes • Alro: completes new automated extrusion line • Zagreb Stock Exchange: increases stake in Macedonian Stock Exchange to 17.05% • Polyus/Polymetal: US and G7 agree on import ban on new gold from Russia

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 20.06.2022

 AT: Flughafen Wien - Home carrier Austrian Airlines' summer capacities correspond to roughly 80% of pre Covid levels (neutral)  CZ: CEZ - Acquiring Czech nuclear servicing company from Gazprombank (neutral)  PL: Consumer - E-commerce momentum seems to weaken as survey shows 51% (down from 64%) declared lasting changes to shopping patterns (neutral)  PL: Insurance - Insurers could raise mandatory motor insurance premiums for reckless drivers (positive)  RO: Transgaz - Fitch keeps rating BBB...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LTS PW; LWB PW; CEZ CP; MTELEKOM HB; PLZL LI

HEADLINES: • Lotos: announces conditional dividend distribution POSITIVE • Bogdanka: Treasury kicks off acquisition of Enea's shares • CEZ: announces acquisition of Skoda JS, its major nuclear fleet supplier • Magyar Telekom: acquires fibre network covering 110k access points for HUF 6.95bn NEUTRAL • Polyus: buys 100% stake in Chulbatkan gold deposit from Highland Gold Mining POSITIVE • Short News (SNP, SNG, TGN)

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 17.06.2022

 ATX indices review - FFF and NoS changes in IMMOFINANZ and Marinomed Biotech  CECE index review - FFF and NoS changes in Allegro, Colt and MOL  FTSE Index June review - No changes of index constituents in our Coverage Universe  STOXX Europe 600 Index review - No changes of index constituents in our Coverage Universe  WIG20/WIG30 indices review - No change in constituents  AT: Erste Group - Willibald Cernko appointed as CEO until end 2024 (neutral)  AT: Vienna Insurance Group - Results of...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 08.06.2022

 ATX indices review - FFF and NoS changes in IMMOFINANZ and Marinomed Biotech  AT: Flughafen Wien, Austrian State Holding - Head of state holding's supervisory board to step down, Flughafen Wien CFO Ofner rumoured to take the helm (neutral)  AT: voestalpine - FY 21/22 EBITDA in line with guidance, improved CF in Q4, DPS of EUR 1.20; FY 22/23 EBITDA range of EUR 1.8-2.0 bn below headline consensus which however was rather sticky throughout spring (neutral)  HU: OTP Bank - Windfall tax estimat...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 24.05.2022

CZ: CEZ - CEZ not to bid for RWE's storage assets in Czechia, press (neutral) PL: PKO BP - 9% wage hike offered to half of staff (neutral) RU: Polyus - New shareholder may add its representative to the board (neutral) RU: Tatneft - Proposed final DPS revealed weaker than expected payout for 2021 (negative)

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 16.05.2022

 AT: Erste Group - CEO Spalt will not extend his contract which ends in June 2023 (negative)  CEE: Banks - UniCredit and Citi considering asset swaps with Russian financial institutions  RO: Electrica - Dark cloud on the Electrica Q1 22 result, bottom line in red (negative)  RO: One United Properties - Q1 22 revenues from sales of RON 197 mn, up 19% yoy, and a net profit of RON 166 mn, up 320% yoy (positive)  RO: Purcari Wineries - Q1 22 net profit increased by 16.51% yoy (positive)  RU: P...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish equities gain 13.3%, other...

EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...

GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KER KERNEL HOLDING S.A.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
TCELL TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S.
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
YNDX YANDEX NV CLASS A
CEZ CEZ AS
PETG PETROL D.D.
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
SPI S IMMO AG
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
CIE CIECH S.A.
VESBE VESTEL BEYAZ ESYA SANAYI VE TICARET
AST ASTARTA HOLDING
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
EEG1T EKSPRESS GRUPP A.S.
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
AFKS SISTEMA PJSFC
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
FMF FAMUR SA
TKFEN TEKFEN HOLDING
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MAIL MAIL.RU GROUP LTD. SPONSORED GDR
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
KMB KOMERCIJALNA BANKA AD SKOPJE
TRP TERAPLAST
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
ADPL-R-A AD PLASTIK D.D.
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
PLZL POLYUS (GDR)
OGZD GAZPROM (GDR)
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
A4L ALLTERCO AD
IIA IMMOFINANZ AG
ZB-R-A ZAGREBACKA BURZA DD
ENJSA ENERJISA ENERJI
SF3 STS GROUP AG
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
MINING AND METALLURGICAL COMPANY NORILSK NICKEL (GDR)
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
KSPI KASPI KZ
TNB NLB BANKA
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
SHO SHOPER
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
KCEL KCELL JSC

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 29.04.2022

 AT: AMAG - Q1 results in line with RBIe but above consensus, major cash drain from NWC, FY 22 EBITDA guidance of > EUR 200 mn heralds (expected) upside to estimates (neutral)  AT: Andritz - Record order backlog, in-line results and guidance confirmed (positive)  AT: Erste Group - Q1 22 net profit beating expectations / strong core revenues offset by higher opex and weak trading result / guidance for 2022 marginally tweaked upwards / CET1 drop should be only temporary (positive)  AT: Oester...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EL RO; TEL RO; TGN RO; SPL PW; MIL PW; PL Banks; GARAN TI;...

HEADLINES: • Romanian utilities: for those willing to wait (Electrica stays BUY, Transgaz stays HOLD, Transelectrica upgraded to HOLD) • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q22 results review - strong beat vs. expectations on low provisions • Bank Millennium: 1Q22 results review - results in line with expectations • Polish banks: government proposals to aid mortgagors may hit Polish banks' 2022-23E earnings NEGATIVE • Garanti: 1Q22 highlights NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 1Q22 results - EBITDAaL up 2% yoy, in ...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 19.04.2022

 AT: Andritz - Andritz suspended all new business in Russia (neutral)  AT: STRABAG - Hermann Melnikov resigned from the supervoisory board (neutral)  RU: Fertilisers - Export quotas till end-May increased (positive)  RU: Petropavlovsk - Sale of assets is considered among other options (negative)  RU: Polyus - Interim board to be formed on June 6 (neutral)  RU: Russia - DR delisting and conversion law signed by President Putin (negative)  RU: The Russian central bank held out the prospect ...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 12.04.2022

 AT: Wienerberger - Q1 trading statement reveals encouraging start into FY 22 (positive)  PL: PGNiG - Gazprom missed the deadline for appealing the Stockholm tribunal decision regarding the gas price compensation to PGNiG (neutral)  RU: Polyus - CEO resigned, new CEO appointed (neutral)

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 07.04.2022

 RO: Medlife - Medlife bought a 60% stake in Pro Life Clinics (neutral)  RO: One United Properties - One acquires a plot of land with an area of 3,065 sqm to expand One Lake Club (positive)  RU: Petropavlovsk - Major shareholder remains in business (neutral)  RU: Polyus - Major shareholder sold a 29.99% stake and left the board (neutral)  RU: Sberbank - Included on the SDN list (negative)

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 31.03.2022

 Oil&Gas: Oil price - A potential announcement of another release of US oil reserves puts pressure on the oil price ahead of today's OPEC meeting  PL: PKN - The 2021 DPS proposal of PLN 3.50 is fully in line with previous guidance and market expectation (neutral)  RU: Fertilisers - Essential goods incl. fertilizers are exempted from any U.S. anti-Russia sanctions (positive)  RU: NLMK - NLMK continues steel supplies to Europe and USA (neutral)  RU: Petropavlovsk - Loan from Gazprombank may ...

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