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Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

Titan Cement | Growth cast in concrete

Profitability step-up confirmed; where do we go now? – Titan Cement reported FY’23 EBITDA of €540mn, delivering 63% yoy growth on the back of 3.5% volume growth, double-digit pricing and c7pps margin expansion. With FY’23 EPS at €3.4, Titan has effectively beaten its FY’26 target three years earlier, rendering the communicated business plan obsolete. Going forward, mgmt echoed a positive outlook but refrained from updating the guidance, something we believe reflects more management conservatism ...

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

Titan Cement | Growth cast in concrete

Profitability step-up confirmed; where do we go now? – Titan Cement reported FY’23 EBITDA of €540mn, delivering 63% yoy growth on the back of 3.5% volume growth, double-digit pricing and c7pps margin expansion. With FY’23 EPS at €3.4, Titan has effectively beaten its FY’26 target three years earlier, rendering the communicated business plan obsolete. Going forward, mgmt echoed a positive outlook but refrained from updating the guidance, something we believe reflects more management conservatism ...

Andreas Souvleros ... (+7)
  • Andreas Souvleros
  • CFA
  • Christiana Armpounioti
  • Marios Bourazanis
  • Natalia Svyriadi
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

Greek Equity Strategy – 2024 outlook | Junk no more

2023: Reclaiming investor spotlight – Greek equities had another year of stellar performance, with the ASE index popping >40%, eclipsing the Stoxx 600 by >25ppts. Strong fundamentals (mid-teens EBITDA growth for non-financials, >50% NII growth for banks) were coupled with falling risk premia thanks to crystallized domestic political stability and expectations for Greece’s return to investment grade (IG), further propelled by the generic risk-on rally in Q4 and low positioning. Financials (+66%) ...

Andreas Souvleros ... (+7)
  • Andreas Souvleros
  • CFA
  • Christiana Armpounioti
  • Marios Bourazanis
  • Natalia Svyriadi
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

Greek Equity Strategy – 2024 outlook | Junk no more

2023: Reclaiming investor spotlight – Greek equities had another year of stellar performance, with the ASE index popping >40%, eclipsing the Stoxx 600 by >25ppts. Strong fundamentals (mid-teens EBITDA growth for non-financials, >50% NII growth for banks) were coupled with falling risk premia thanks to crystallized domestic political stability and expectations for Greece’s return to investment grade (IG), further propelled by the generic risk-on rally in Q4 and low positioning. Financials (+66%) ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Flash – Mytilineos/Titan Cement: coverage UNDER REVIEW

We are putting our coverage of Mytilineos and Titan Cement UNDER REVIEW, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks.

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

TITAN CEMENT | Profitability step-up on solid foundations; top pick

EBITDA reset to >€500mn with market yet to fully price in the rebased profit level – 2023 has turned out markedly above our and consensus expectation, with Titan Cement primed to deliver a whopping 60% yoy EBITDA growth in FY23, some 30% above consensus a year ago. With demand trends remaining healthy in Titan’s markets, we expect the group to remain on a growth trajectory vs the rebased level of profitability and now envisage mid-single digit EBITDA growth through to 2026e. Although the stock h...

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

TITAN CEMENT | Profitability step-up on solid foundations; top pick

EBITDA reset to >€500mn with market yet to fully price in the rebased profit level – 2023 has turned out markedly above our and consensus expectation, with Titan Cement primed to deliver a whopping 60% yoy EBITDA growth in FY23, some 30% above consensus a year ago. With demand trends remaining healthy in Titan’s markets, we expect the group to remain on a growth trajectory vs the rebased level of profitability and now envisage mid-single digit EBITDA growth through to 2026e. Although the stock h...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greek stocks in the lead

EME Equity Market – November 2023 Market performance – Greeks in the lead, in a month with only green across the region. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 5.6% mom in EUR terms and 8.7% mom in USD in November. The Greek ASE Index was the top performer in our region (+6.9% mom), followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.5% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom). The Czech PX Index saw the most muted performance, advancing 2.8% mom.

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
ALR ALRO SLATINA
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
Research Team
  • Research Team
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS ... (+22)

WOOD Daily: TKNSA TI; OTP HB; BHW PW; EUR PW; DOAS TI; ULKER TI; SOKM ...

HEADLINES: • Teknosa: good things come in small packages (BUY - initiation of coverage) • OTP Bank: beats expectations with 3Q23 delivery • Bank Handlowy: solid 3Q23, DPS feasible and attractive, still a reason to own the stock NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 3Q23 beat on costs POSITIVE • Dogus Otomotiv: strong bottom-line beat in 3Q23 POSITIVE • Ulker: 3Q23 results - strong beat POSITIVE • Sok Marketler Ticaret: 3Q23 in line operationally, strong bottom-line beat on deferred tax income NEUTRAL • Public P...

MarketLine Department
  • MarketLine Department

Cimsa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Fina...

Summary Cimsa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Finance Report, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights Cimsa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (Cimsa), is a cement manufacturer. The company offers clinker, cement, and ready-mixed concrete products to domestic and international mar...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: gains in all geographies – Turkey ...

EME Equity Market – July 2023 Market performance – gains keep on rolling in all geographies, with special mention of Turkey’s stellar performance. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 8.6% mom in EUR terms and 9.5% mom in USD in July. Turkey clearly outperformed its peers, gaining 18.6% mom in EUR terms. Most other geographies performed more or less at similar levels, with the Polish WIG20 in the upper part of the range, advancing 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and Czech PX indic...

GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
CCC CCC SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
TKFEN TEKFEN HOLDING
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TRP TERAPLAST
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SF3 STS GROUP AG
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG ALRO SLATINA
PCO 4IG NYRT
GPP PEPCO GROUP NV
2381 GRUPA PRACUJ DA
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
4071 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
BOROUGE ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
BOROUGE
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GARAN TI; FROTO TI; OMV AV; SNP RO; BOROUGE UH; ALK MS; TI...

HEADLINES: • Garanti: 2Q23 highlights - in line with change of heart on discretionary provisions • Ford Otosan: 2Q23 financials - better-than-expected results POSITIVE • OMV: 2Q23 results - weak net income in 2Q23 • OMV Petrom: net loss in 2Q23, but lower than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 2Q23 results - in line • Alkaloid: 2Q23 - another strong quarter, with broad-based growth POSITIVE • Titan Cement: tailwinds from lower energy prices, construction demand POSITIVE • Mytilineos: CEO comfortabl...

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

Titan Cement | Greener, leaner, better

H1’23 results driving upgrades… – Following an impressive Q1’23, Titan Cement reported another blowout quarter, with Q2’23 EBITDA +45% yoy. With H1 EBITDA +77% yoy at €241mn, Titan looks set for a significant step-up in profitability in FY’23 for second consecutive year. In the light of the stellar H1, we raise our 2023-25e EBITDA by 9-11%, now envisaging FY’23e EBITDA of €411mn (+24% yoy) and FY’24e EBITDA of €428mn. Our updated estimates reflect better demand and pricing, as well as an improve...

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

Titan Cement | Greener, leaner, better

H1’23 results driving upgrades… – Following an impressive Q1’23, Titan Cement reported another blowout quarter, with Q2’23 EBITDA +45% yoy. With H1 EBITDA +77% yoy at €241mn, Titan looks set for a significant step-up in profitability in FY’23 for second consecutive year. In the light of the stellar H1, we raise our 2023-25e EBITDA by 9-11%, now envisaging FY’23e EBITDA of €411mn (+24% yoy) and FY’24e EBITDA of €428mn. Our updated estimates reflect better demand and pricing, as well as an improve...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TUPRS TI; ELPE GA; MOH GA; PPC GA; RBI AV; DNP PW; ENJSA T...

HEADLINES: • Mediterranean refiners: the morning after (Tupras stays BUY, HELLENIQ Energy and Motor Oil Hellas downgraded to HOLD) • Public Power Corporation: managing the margins (upgraded to BUY) • Raiffeisen Bank International: strong 1Q23, upgrades 2023E guidance POSITIVE • Dino: minor beat in 1Q23 results POSITIVE • Enerjisa Enerji: 1Q23 results - strong cash flow and FY guidance announced POSITIVE • Piraeus Bank: positive first read on the 1Q23 results and updated guidance POSITIVE • My...

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

Titan Cement | Cementing growth

2022: (Energy) Crisis averted… – Despite the adverse macro in 2022, with energy prices and freight costs at all-time highs, Titan delivered 20% yoy growth in EBITDA during the year (and 24% above the 2019 mark), materially above our expectations at the start of 2022 on the back of strong pricing across all regions. The recent easing of the energy crisis has improved group prospects, something also reflected in the share price, with Titan advancing +20% YTD outperforming the ASE Index. 2023: 2-d...

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

Titan Cement | Cementing growth

2022: (Energy) Crisis averted… – Despite the adverse macro in 2022, with energy prices and freight costs at all-time highs, Titan delivered 20% yoy growth in EBITDA during the year (and 24% above the 2019 mark), materially above our expectations at the start of 2022 on the back of strong pricing across all regions. The recent easing of the energy crisis has improved group prospects, something also reflected in the share price, with Titan advancing +20% YTD outperforming the ASE Index. 2023: 2-d...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: US macro, IS macro, CAI AV, STH PW, JMT PW, ENA PW, BFT PW...

HEADLINES: • US macro: the Fed switches to a softer tone • Iceland macro: Sedlabanki raises rates by 100bp • CA Immo: 4Q22 results - low rental income, but encouraging progress on disposals NEUTRAL • STS Group: 4Q22 final EBITDA at the upper range of the prelims; growth guidance for FY23E POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q22 profit below our expectations but net cash and DPS surprised positively NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q22 results review - prelims confirmed NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: strong 4Q22 result...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: multi-month rally interrupted in T...

EME Equity Market – January 2023 Market performance – strong start to 2023 in Czechia and Greece; multi-month rally interrupted in Turkey. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD in January. The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the best performers, posting double-digit gains of 12.3% and 10.0% mom in EUR terms, respectively. There were also very decent performances from Poland, Hungary and Romania, with gains of 5.5% mom, 5.5% mom and 4.7% mom in EUR terms, respe...

BRE MBANK SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
COG COGNOR HOLDING SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KGH KGHM POLSKA MIEDZ S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BELA JUMBO S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
HMX1R HANSAMATRIX AS
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
SF3 STS GROUP AG
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
PEN PHOTON ENERGY NV
MINING AND METALLURGICAL COMPANY NORILSK NICKEL (GDR)
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
Andreas Souvleros ... (+5)
  • Andreas Souvleros
  • CFA
  • Natalia Svyriadi
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

Greek Equity Strategy – 2023 outlook | Clear and rewarding destination...

2022: The comeback – Greek equities staged an impressive comeback in 2022, outpacing most international markets with a 7% total return vs a 2-digit drop suffered by other European indices (and the S&P in EUR terms). Underpinning the ASE was certainly the better macroeconomic backdrop, with the Greek economy expanding by >5% in 2022 compared with c3% for the EU. Light positioning, healthy corporate profitability and more attractive yield gaps than in other regions were additional supporting facto...

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