EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak set of results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • Akbank: 1Q25 highlights – management cautious on margin, but positive on fees • Yapi Kredi: 1Q25 highlights, before the call – beat on NII and fees (evolved better than the guidance) • Solutions by STC: weak 1Q25 financial results, disappointing revenue growth NEGATIVE • Poland macro: April data paint an encouraging picture • PCF Group: PLN 173m write-offs to hit the 2024 results, related mostly to Bifrost NEGATIVE • Richter: positive ...
Outperformer on all ends… – Titan has emerged as an all-around outperformer in recent years, leading its global peer group in EBITDA growth (28% 3Y CAGR), and ranking among the top performers in terms of share price (>150% 2Y return). Its strategic presence in regions with strong underlying fundamentals has positioned Titan among the few players to achieve volume growth since 2022, while disciplined cost control and high-return capex have driven a sector-leading 7pps margin expansion. Despite i...
Outperformer on all ends… – Titan has emerged as an all-around outperformer in recent years, leading its global peer group in EBITDA growth (28% 3Y CAGR), and ranking among the top performers in terms of share price (>150% 2Y return). Its strategic presence in regions with strong underlying fundamentals has positioned Titan among the few players to achieve volume growth since 2022, while disciplined cost control and high-return capex have driven a sector-leading 7pps margin expansion. Despite i...
HEADLINES: • Titan Cement: cementing its leadership (BUY - transfer of coverage) • 11 bit studios: 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA above our expectations, headlines hit by substantial write-offs POSITIVE • PGE: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Tauron: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: 1Q25 sales up 39% yoy, to PLN 22.1m POSITIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market up by a strong 15% yoy in 2M25 POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: signs supply agreement with CE...
We transfer coverage of Titan Cement, with a BUY rating and a price target (PT) of EUR 50.0/share, which implies 31% upside from current levels. We like the company for its market-leading positions, and sustainable capital allocation policy, which have helped Titan to more than double its top line the last ten years. We expect the USA and Greece to be the main revenue drivers in the next three years, on the back of structural demand growth for cement products. Despite a 45% rally in the shares o...
Repeat of 2024, with different headwinds – Following a year in which Greek equities performed broadly in line with EU periphery stocks (but better than broad EU indices), 2025 looks somewhat trickier given international headwinds (e.g. tariffs, geopolitics). Easing monetary policy is certainly a positive, in the sense that it could justify higher valuations, but the overriding driver of re-rating would be a resolution of the war in Ukraine, as is the case for the EU as a whole. On the positive s...
Repeat of 2024, with different headwinds – Following a year in which Greek equities performed broadly in line with EU periphery stocks (but better than broad EU indices), 2025 looks somewhat trickier given international headwinds (e.g. tariffs, geopolitics). Easing monetary policy is certainly a positive, in the sense that it could justify higher valuations, but the overriding driver of re-rating would be a resolution of the war in Ukraine, as is the case for the EU as a whole. On the positive s...
Summary Cimsa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS - Company Profile and SWOT Analysis, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights Cimsa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (Cimsa), is a cement manufacturer. It offers clinker, cement, and ready-mixed concrete products to domestic and international markets. The company p...
The ATHEX has shed c3% since the start of August, significantly underperforming vs both broader Europe (Stoxx 600 +0.7%) and periphery markets (MIB +2.8%). Performance has been weighed down primarily by banks, which have fallen c7% over the period, compared to a c4% return registered by their EU peers. Non-financials have also stalled, with just a handful of companies in the green since August (mostly from the mid-cap space). Of note is that this move is out of sync with fundamentals, as most co...
The ATHEX has shed c3% since the start of August, significantly underperforming vs both broader Europe (Stoxx 600 +0.7%) and periphery markets (MIB +2.8%). Performance has been weighed down primarily by banks, which have fallen c7% over the period, compared to a c4% return registered by their EU peers. Non-financials have also stalled, with just a handful of companies in the green since August (mostly from the mid-cap space). Of note is that this move is out of sync with fundamentals, as most co...
As the listing of the local business in the US approaches, we expect the market to gradually adopt a SOTP approach in valuing Titan, something which on our estimates could help crystallise value >€700mn or €9/share, given the lower risk premia attached on US assets. This should eventually move the valuation debate to the €40 area. We have reflected this in our model early on, now basing our valuation on a SOTP (US vs rest) lifting our PT to €40.5 (from €31), placing the stock at 6.3x 1-yr fwd EV...
As the listing of the local business in the US approaches, we expect the market to gradually adopt a SOTP approach in valuing Titan, something which on our estimates could help crystallise value >€700mn or €9/share, given the lower risk premia attached on US assets. This should eventually move the valuation debate to the €40 area. We have reflected this in our model early on, now basing our valuation on a SOTP (US vs rest) lifting our PT to €40.5 (from €31), placing the stock at 6.3x 1-yr fwd EV...
Profitability step-up confirmed; where do we go now? – Titan Cement reported FY’23 EBITDA of €540mn, delivering 63% yoy growth on the back of 3.5% volume growth, double-digit pricing and c7pps margin expansion. With FY’23 EPS at €3.4, Titan has effectively beaten its FY’26 target three years earlier, rendering the communicated business plan obsolete. Going forward, mgmt echoed a positive outlook but refrained from updating the guidance, something we believe reflects more management conservatism ...
Profitability step-up confirmed; where do we go now? – Titan Cement reported FY’23 EBITDA of €540mn, delivering 63% yoy growth on the back of 3.5% volume growth, double-digit pricing and c7pps margin expansion. With FY’23 EPS at €3.4, Titan has effectively beaten its FY’26 target three years earlier, rendering the communicated business plan obsolete. Going forward, mgmt echoed a positive outlook but refrained from updating the guidance, something we believe reflects more management conservatism ...
2023: Reclaiming investor spotlight – Greek equities had another year of stellar performance, with the ASE index popping >40%, eclipsing the Stoxx 600 by >25ppts. Strong fundamentals (mid-teens EBITDA growth for non-financials, >50% NII growth for banks) were coupled with falling risk premia thanks to crystallized domestic political stability and expectations for Greece’s return to investment grade (IG), further propelled by the generic risk-on rally in Q4 and low positioning. Financials (+66%) ...
2023: Reclaiming investor spotlight – Greek equities had another year of stellar performance, with the ASE index popping >40%, eclipsing the Stoxx 600 by >25ppts. Strong fundamentals (mid-teens EBITDA growth for non-financials, >50% NII growth for banks) were coupled with falling risk premia thanks to crystallized domestic political stability and expectations for Greece’s return to investment grade (IG), further propelled by the generic risk-on rally in Q4 and low positioning. Financials (+66%) ...
EBITDA reset to >€500mn with market yet to fully price in the rebased profit level – 2023 has turned out markedly above our and consensus expectation, with Titan Cement primed to deliver a whopping 60% yoy EBITDA growth in FY23, some 30% above consensus a year ago. With demand trends remaining healthy in Titan’s markets, we expect the group to remain on a growth trajectory vs the rebased level of profitability and now envisage mid-single digit EBITDA growth through to 2026e. Although the stock h...
EBITDA reset to >€500mn with market yet to fully price in the rebased profit level – 2023 has turned out markedly above our and consensus expectation, with Titan Cement primed to deliver a whopping 60% yoy EBITDA growth in FY23, some 30% above consensus a year ago. With demand trends remaining healthy in Titan’s markets, we expect the group to remain on a growth trajectory vs the rebased level of profitability and now envisage mid-single digit EBITDA growth through to 2026e. Although the stock h...
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