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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ArcelorMittal: Modest 4Q25 EBITDA beat and upbeat 2026F outlook / KBC Group: BNP Paribas good results in Belgium, increasing outlook, notably reducing C/I ratio / Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 4Q25 results SBM Offshore: Early purchase of ONE Guyana FPSO by Exxon Mobil / Shell: Keeping SBB at $3.5bn / Sligro: FY25 net profit in line with expectations, SBB announced / Universal Music Group: YouTube ads revenue +9% YoY in 4Q25 and Sony Music up by 13% YoY / Wereldhave: Wereldhave Belgium FY25 results a...

 PRESS RELEASE

Weekly share repurchase program transaction details

Weekly share repurchase program transaction details Amsterdam, February 4, 2026 SBM Offshore reports the transaction details related to its EUR141 million (c. US$150 million1) share repurchase program for the period January 29, 2026 through February 4, 2026. The repurchases were made under the EUR141 million share repurchase program announced on February 20, 2025 and effective from April 24, 2025. The objective of the program is to reduce share capital and, in addition, to provide shares for regular management and employee share programs. Information regarding the progress of the share re...

 PRESS RELEASE

FPSO ONE GUYANA Purchase by ExxonMobil Guyana Completed

FPSO ONE GUYANA Purchase by ExxonMobil Guyana Completed Amsterdam, February 4, 2026 SBM Offshore and ExxonMobil Guyana Ltd, an affiliate of Exxon Mobil Corporation, have completed the transaction related to the purchase of FPSO ONE GUYANA, ahead of the maximum lease term which would have expired in August 2027. The purchase allows ExxonMobil Guyana to assume ownership of the unit while SBM Offshore will continue to operate and maintain the FPSO up to 2035. The transaction comprises a total cash consideration of c. US$2.32 billion. The net cash proceeds have been primarily used for the ful...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : 10 graphiques d’analyse : un pipeline de projets toujours solid...

Nous avons sélectionné 10 graphiques afin d’identifier les principaux drivers du secteur. Les Capex sont attendus en repli de 1.5% en 2026 après un rebond de 70% depuis le point bas de 2020. Cette baisse proviendra essentiellement du marché US (plus forte discipline compte tenu de points morts plus élevés). Nous privilégions SBM Offshore (Surperformance, OC 45 €), Vallourec (Surperformance, OC 22 € vs 20.8 €) et Technip Energies (Surperformance, OC 49 €) et adoptons une opinion plus prudente sur...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : 10 analysis charts: a pipeline of projects that remains solid

For the start of 2026, we have selected ten charts to identify the sector's main drivers. Capex is expected to fall by 1.5% in 2026 after a 70% rebound from the low point of 2020. This reduction will mainly come from the US market (greater discipline due to higher breakeven points). At this point in the year, we prefer SBM Offshore (Outperform, target price € 45), Vallourec (Outperform, target price € 22 vs € 20.8) and Technip Energies (Outperform, target price € 49) and have adopted a more caut...

 PRESS RELEASE

Weekly share repurchase program transaction details

Weekly share repurchase program transaction details Amsterdam, January 28, 2026 SBM Offshore reports the transaction details related to its EUR141 million (c. US$150 million1) share repurchase program for the period January 22, 2026 through January 28, 2026. The repurchases were made under the EUR141 million share repurchase program announced on February 20, 2025 and effective from April 24, 2025. The objective of the program is to reduce share capital and, in addition, to provide shares for regular management and employee share programs. Information regarding the progress of the share re...

David Vagman ... (+16)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Jason Kalamboussis
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Michiel Vereycken
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...

We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...

Dirk Verbiesen ... (+2)
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Quirijn Mulder

SBM Offshore/Momentum continues in FY26/BUY

We see no reason to change our positive view on SBM Offshore and keep it on our ING Benelux Favourites list. We raise our target price to €37.50 from €27.70 previously. The company is positioned in the prime segment of the FPSO market, where major oil firms are selecting the best deepwater sites to develop oil at break-even levels, generally in a range of US$20-35 per barrel. Where adequate infrastructure misses, FPSOs are the optimal solution for these large oil fields. SBMO's well-developed ne...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO : Une nouvelle année à valeur de test pour le secteur, une de plu...

La saison de résultats ne devrait pas apporter de mauvaises surprises concernant la fin 2025 (cf. messages rassurants lors de nos conférences et des pre-close calls) mais les perspectives 2026 devraient rester prudentes face au manque de visibilité. Face à cela, les managements vont à nouveau concentrer leurs efforts sur les leviers internes et l’agilité mais le sentiment sur le secteur pourrait rester fragile à court terme, nous conduisant à maintenir nos estimations prudentes et une approche o...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO : Yet another testing year for the sector

Earnings season is unlikely to bring any negative surprises for the end of 2025 (cf. the reassuring messages shared during our conferences and pre-close calls). However, the outlook for 2026 is likely to remain cautious given the limited visibility. As a result, management teams are expected to once again concentrate on internal levers and operational agility. Still, sector sentiment should remain fragile in the near term, leading us to maintain our cautious estimates and a stock-picking stance....

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