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Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: another positive month for most EM...

EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TXT PW; TL Macro; PKO PW; PL Macro; SPL PW; WIZZ LN; PPC G...

HEADLINES: • Text: 4Q23-24 (calendar 1Q24) results – EBITDA down 12% yoy, 11% below our forecast NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: giving credit where credit is due, but keep realistic lags in mind • PKO BP: partial resolutions of AGM, dividend approved, AGM paused • Poland macro: CPI well-behaved, wage growth still soaring • Santander Bank Polska: 2Q24 CHF mortgage saga charges of PLN 1,109m NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: calls to improve Air Traffic Control in Europe in wake of delays NEGATIVE • Public Power Cor...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; CTPNV NA; EU Macro; TL Macro; CZ Macro; GPW PW; CP...

HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q24E CHF mortgage saga cost at PLN 1bn NEGATIVE • CTP: issues EUR 500m unsecured loan at 4.7% fixed, buys back EUR 500m of outstanding bonds POSITIVE • Europe macro: June surveys confirm stagnant industry, but rising inflation expectations • Türkiye macro: CBT extends the hawkish hold • Czech Republic macro: CNB preparing the ground for slower rate cuts • Warsaw Stock Exchange: OGM approves dividend of PLN 3/share NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: to invest in 500 MW wind farm proje...

 PRESS RELEASE

Edison issues report on Metlen Energy & Metals (MYTIL)

Edison Investment Research Limited Edison issues report on Metlen Energy & Metals (MYTIL) 25-Jun-2024 / 09:09 GMT/BST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.   London, UK, 25 Juni 2024   Edison issues report on Metlen Energy & Metals (MYTIL) to view the full report. All reports published by Edison are available to download free of charge from its website Edison is authorised and regulated by the . Edison is not an adviser or broker-dealer and does not provide investment advice. Edison’s reports are not solicitations to buy or sell any secu...

Toby Thorrington
  • Toby Thorrington

Metlen Energy & Metals - A new name for its next phase

Mytilineos recently announced a company name change to Metlen Energy & Metals. The decision to rebrand is in line with its strategy of establishing a strong international identity. It also confirmed its intention to examine an international listing, including on the London Stock Exchange. We profile Metlen and examine how it could look in the context of an LSE listing. It would rank c 90th in the LSE’s largest index firms on market capitalisation and c 50th based on earnings, indicating potentia...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Eurowag (stays BUY), OMV AV, GEKTERNA GA/TENERGY GA

HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): migration season starts now (stays BUY) • OMV: the company and its Partners have been awarded a second CO2 storage licence in Norway • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • Terna Energy: coverage discontinued • Short News (WPL, MTELEKOM)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Eurowag (stays BUY), OMV AV, GEKTERNA GA/TENERGY GA

HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): migration season starts now (stays BUY) • OMV: the company and its Partners have been awarded a second CO2 storage licence in Norway • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • Terna Energy: coverage discontinued • Short News (WPL, MTELEKOM)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SNP RO, RICHT HB, MIL PW, KRU PW, PCF PW, 11B PW

HEADLINES: • OMV Petrom: strategy update • Richter: acquires Belgian BCI Pharma to identify WHC preclinical drug candidates • Bank Millennium: ends repair programme • Kruk: announces a portfolio purchase in Spain • PCF Group: Project Gemini plan agreed and content rider concluded • 11 bit studios: Creatures of Ava to be released on 7 August • Short News (ALR, PKO BP, MTELEKOM)

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

WOOD Flash - OMV Petrom: strategy update

OMV Petrom held a capital markets day (CMD) on 19 June, to update its 2030E strategy and provide new targets to the market. The previous strategy update was held at the end of 2021, when the macro environment was less favourable. In this plan, therefore, the assumptions on crude oil and gas prices, and refining margins, have all been revised upwards. The 2030E target for Clean CCS EBIT has decreased slightly to EUR 1.4bn, from EUR 1.5bn, but expectations for the interim period are much higher. C...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Hungary macro; SNP RO; MTELEKOM HB

HEADLINES: • Hungary macro: MPC transitions to a vigilant phase • OMV Petrom: updates its dividend policy and proposes paying a special dividend • Magyar Telekom: announces a HUF 24.0bn buyback

Research Team
  • Research Team
OMV OMV AG
CCC CCC SA ... (+4)

WOOD Daily: Polish banks, OMV AV, CCC PW

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: anticyclical buffer to be raised to 200bp (from 0bp) over the next two years • OMV: strategy update • CCC: refinancing on the way by the end of its 1H24E • Short News (HUG, MBR)

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

WOOD Flash - OMV: strategy update

OMV held a capital markets day on 13 June, to update its 2030 strategy and give new targets to the market. The overall expectations for the clean operating cash flow has been increased from EUR 7.0 to EUR 7.5bn, for a clean operating profit target from EUR 6.0bn to EUR 6.5bn, and the details are different, but the broad thrust of the strategy remains the same. Inflationary pressures have increased the annual investment budget to EUR 3.8bn, from EUR 3.5bn. The upstream part of the energy segment ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 14/06/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN) C: target price of £0.50 per share: High impact well offshore Morocco on track to spud in August – The FY23 financials were in line with our forecasts. The high impact Anchois East well is expected to spud in August. A drilling success could increase the size of Anchois to over 1 tcf (300 bcf net to Chariot). Our overall unrisked NAV for Anchois, including Anchois East Footwall and Anchois East North Flank, is £0.42 p...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: FROTO TI; CZ Macro; HU Macro; RICHT HB; BELA GA; SNP RO

HEADLINES: • Ford Otosan: getting ready to fire on all cylinders (upgraded to BUY) • Czech Republic macro: May inflation moderates, to hit the low point soon • Hungary macro: May inflation up, but in line with expectations • Richter: acquires Mithra assets for an EV of EUR 175m NEUTRAL • Jumbo: turnover +10%/+8% in May/5M24 POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: to invest EUR 750m in renewable fuels at Petrobrasi refinery NEUTRAL • Short News (ALR, PKO)

Atinc Ozkan ... (+2)
  • Atinc Ozkan
  • Can Yurtcan

Ford Otosan: getting ready to fire on all cylinders (upgraded to BUY)

We upgrade Ford Otosan to BUY (from Hold) and raise our 12M price target (PT) to TRY 1,554 (from TRY 905.5). We believe that investors have partially reflected the effects of new vehicle launches in the share price and adopted a conservative stance on the company’s cash flow generation. Our investment case remains unchanged, and we believe that Ford Otosan is well positioned to benefit from the ongoing structural transformation of the European automotive market, by capitalising on its next-gener...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EBS AV; NLBR SV; WPL PW; ADNOCDRI UH; RICHT HB; OMV AV; LP...

HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: strong capital position, strong returns (stays BUY) • NLB Group: presentation of offer to Addiko shareholders – takeaways NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: concludes conditional agreement to acquire Romanian travel e-commerce business POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling JV increases its stake in Gordon Technologies POSITIVE • Richter: Mithra declares bankruptcy, Richter talks continue NEUTRAL • OMV: starts up co-processing biofuels plant at Schwechat refinery NEUTRAL • LPP: 1Q24E result...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EU Macro; GR Macro; CAR PW; OMV AV; SNP RO

HEADLINES: • Europe macro: European parliamentary elections – broadly as expected • Greece macro: 1Q GDP flash estimate shows improvement • Inter Cars: May sales up by a mere 2% yoy NEGATIVE • OMV: New Zealand to lift ban on oil exploration, which may benefit the company POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: to acquire PV projects with 130 MW capacity, with partner Renovatio NEUTRAL • Short News (BHW, HUG)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EU Macro; ETE GA; NLBR SV; EU Oil and Gas Monthly; CGEO LN...

HEADLINES: • Europe macro: ECB delivers cautious introductory cut • National Bank of Greece: declares EUR 0.36/share dividend, following SSM approval POSITIVE • NLB Group: publishes takeover offer to acquire Addiko Bank NEUTRAL • European oil and gas monthly: May 2024 – gas prices’ surprising comeback • Georgia Capital: in civil dispute over education investment NEGATIVE • Auto Partner: Investor Day takeaways NEUTRAL • CCC: 5.8m shares admitted to trading NEUTRAL • Romgaz: share split; new price...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: NLBR SV; GR Banks; PL Macro; TPEIR GA; APR PW; Global Airl...

HEADLINES: • NLB Group: a tale of growth and expansion (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Greek banks: SSM greenlights banks' dividend distributions POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP extends the pause • Piraeus Financial Holdings: revises 2024E guidance up POSITIVE • Auto Partner: May sales up by a limited 7% yoy NEGATIVE • Global airlines: French ATC strikes prompt Ryanair to call on EU to take action to protect freedom of movement NEGATIVE • mBank: announces path for succession in Management Board NEUT...

Can Demir ... (+2)
  • Can Demir
  • Miguel Dias

NLB Group: a tale of growth and expansion (BUY - transfer of coverage)

In this report, we transfer coverage of NLB Group (NLB), maintaining our BUY rating, but increasing our price target (PT) significantly, to EUR 176.0 (from EUR 100.0), offering potential upside of 56%. NLB has been expanding its position in all its key markets for several years, and is now well positioned to benefit from a supportive regional macro backdrop and, in our view, further market consolidation in the region’s banking sector. Management remains very optimistic about the bank’s future an...

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