reports
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
ABN Amro: Miss but strong capital, good set of results / Ahold Delhaize: Strong 4Q25 but no major surprise on FY26 adj. EPS guidance / Alfen: No recovery yet and another transitional year / BAM Group: Preview: 2026 outlook the key item / Econocom: Better REBITA, net debt, but EBIT below, much lower net profit, dividend halved, 2026-28 guidance postponed to “medium term” / Exor: Ferrari 4Q25 and 2026 guidance beat / Gecina: Results and guidance in line, DPS set to grow over 2026-30 / Heineken: No...
- Francesca Ferragina
- Michiel Vereycken
Real Estate Update/A new normality
European real estate rebounded in 2025, signalling positive momentum after two difficult years. In 2026, we expect investors to adapt to a new, normalised environment with recalibrated profitability that should drive transaction activity. This comes alongside a normalisation of rents (on the back of lower inflation) – a slowdown that will be notable but largely expected. We see a company's ability (and willingness) to pursue EPS-accretive investments and being active in capital recycling opportu...
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
ASC ASCENCIO SCA
VGP VGP NV
NSI NSI N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE N.V.
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Retail Estates 1H25/26 Results, no big acquisition, but managing the b...
RET reported its 1H25/26 results (September end) slightly below our estimates. EPRA EPS amounted to €3.06 vs. our expectation of €3.10. NRI grew 2.95% to €72.7m vs. 74.0m expected. Despite many bankruptcies, occupancy remained relatively stable at 97.4% vs. 97.6% over 1H24/25. Out of 19 outlets in restructuring, RET has relet 2 and is in exclusive talks on 10. The difference with our expectations results largely from lower net investments of €5.1m vs. €40.0m expected. The debt ratio increased 0....
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Arcadis: Feedback from conference call 3Q25. Belgian telcos: Telenet positive net adds in broadband, near ECM decision. CTP: 34k sqm lease signed in Poland. Eurocommercial Properties: Organic momentum is getting stronger. Fugro: Reasonable 3Q, challenging 4Q and beyond. Heijmans: Order book quality improves further. KPN: VodafoneZiggo guidance maintained, ECM decision near. Proximus: CPaaS peer Twilio reports strong 3Q25 results. Retail Estates: Jysk new tenant of 5 Leen Bakker B...
- Francesca Ferragina
- Michiel Vereycken
Retail Estates/Model update/BUY
We update our model with added cautiousness on the top line but leave our bottom line and NTA projections almost unchanged. Our FY26-28F earnings CAGR is at c.2%. Despite some problematic tenants (Leen Bakker, Casa and Carpetright, accounting for c.2.5% of rents), Retail Estates has a history of being capable of quick/efficient reletting and good tenant mix improvement on the back of this. We confirm our positive stance on the company, which currently trades at a 21.3% NTA discount to its FY26F ...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Real Estate Report, Company Profiles
Over the past month, the EPRA BELUX index has underperformed (total return) the EPRA Developed Europe index by 3.2%, the STOXX50 by 5.4%, and the BEL20 by 3.6%. This underperformance relative to the EPRA Developed Europe Index can be attributed to the stronger performance of UK real estate compared to eurodenominated stocks, as UK equities led the recovery following a selloff in August. Additionally, the BELUX region had already posted strong year-to-date performance, which limited further upsid...
- Jacob Mekhael
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Retail Estates Sagax takes 10.8% stake in Retail Estates, upgrade to B...
Yesterday evening Nextensa announced the sale of its 9.0% stake for 89.6m to an undisclosed party at EUR 66.3 per share. This morning, Sagax AB issued a press release that they bought a 10.8% stake in RET for 1,190m SEK (107m EUR). Sagax has been expanding its portfolio outside of Scandinavia. It has been active in the Benelux since 2016 and reported assets of 9.8bn SEK (884m EUR) in the Benelux. We welcome that the overhang of the Nextensa stake is cleared and a new active shareholder has enter...
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Retail Estates Leen Bakker gets court protection in Belgium
Leen Bakker België NV is currently under judicial protection as of 14th August 2025 and seeks buyers for its 44 stores to avoid closure. We believe this will have a limited impact on Retail Estates that leases 11 retail properties to Leen Bakker in BE. This makes up 1.39% of the rental income, while there are no arrears. The chain is owned by private equity company Gilde that bought it from Blokker Holding in 2017 and merged it with Kwantum. Both are related to home furnishing and rely on out-of...
- Michiel Declercq
Sipef 1H25 strong results make the group on track for a new record yea...
Sipef reported strong results, with the recurring net profit (gs) of $ 57.7m comfortably exceeding expectations (kbcse: $45.9m). While revenue growth of +23.3% to $ 250.4m (kbcse: $ 250.4m) was in line driven by a slightly higher than expected production growth of 19.1% to 208.0kt (kbcse: 204.1kt), we were particularly surprised by the strong gross profit growth of 65.6% to $ 113.3m (kbcse: $ 94.1m). As a result, the group now expects the recurring net result (gs) to be significantly higher than...
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