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Cedric Rossi ... (+4)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #47

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!

Safilo Group: 1 director

A director at Safilo Group bought 25,773 shares at 0.944EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Sporting Goods: hurdling the threat of higher tariffs

With 99% of all shoes sold in the US being imported in 2023, Donald Trump’s proposal to place a universal 10-20% tariff on imports from all foreign countries and an additional 60-100% tariff on imports specifically from China, would significantly impact the footwear (and apparel) categories. The in

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

US eyewear: groups embrace the holiday season with cautious optimism

This week, National Vision (NV) and Warby Parker (WRBY) both reported positive Q3 numbers, confirming the first signs of stabilisation within the US eyewear market as the two players address different customer bases and price points. Obviously it was too early to draw conclusions from Trump's win o

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/07/2024

Banco BPM reports strong Q3 results and launches a takeover bid on Anima. Coty: cautious tone after Q1 results. Call and tender offer on certain bonds maturing in 2026.>...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Carrefour : Rumors of Non-Core Country Divestiture Studies by the Comp...

>Mulling exit from non-core countries: what are they and what do they represent? - In a review of options to increase the value of its share price, Carrefour is considering pullouts from noncore countries, a press article claims. The three core countries are i/ France (45% of sales), ii/ Brazil (23% of sales) and iii/ Spain (13% of sales).The other five non-core countries collectively account for around 20% of sales (€ 18.4bn in 2023 sales).They are Italy (5...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 07/11/2024

Banco BPM publie de solides résultats T3 et lance une offre sur Anima Coty : un ton prudent après les résultats T1. Rachat de certaines obligations 2026.>...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Carrefour : Rumeurs d’étude de cessions de pays non-core par la sociét...

>Cession potentielle de pays non-core : que sont-ils et que représentent-ils ? - Un article de presse mentionne que Carrefour, dans une étude de ses options pour revaloriser son cours de Bourse, étudierait la possibilité de céder des pays non-core. Les 3 pays core sont i/ la France (45% du CA, ii/ le Brésil (23% du CA) et iii/ l’Espagne (13% du CA).Les 5 autres pays non-core représentent globalement c.20% du CA (18.4 Md€ de CA 2023).Il s’agit de l’Italie (5%...

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Safilo: Q3 continuation of Q2, promising growth in October

Q3 numbers unveiled yesterday evening were a continuation of Q2 trends with continued margin improvement despite a 3.4% FX-n sales decline (flat growth ex-Jimmy Choo). During the call, management was cautiously optimistic on the back of all regions growing in October but the remainder of the quarte

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Hugo Boss: still limited visibility on FY25 outlook and MT targets

After outperforming the luxury sector over recent weeks, the stock was subject to profit taking moves yesterday, unleashed by the group's Q3 GM miss which overshadowed the EBIT beat, and another delay in its MT targets. We cut our FY24-26 estimates by 5% on average and adjust our WACC assumptions t

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/05/2024

Carrefour said to be mulling several options to increase valuation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program Auchan Retail reportedly plans to cut between 2,100 and 2,300 jobs>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 05/11/2024

Auchan Retail prévoirait la suppression de 2 100 à 2 300 postes Carrefour étudierait plusieurs options pour augmenter sa valorisation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program>...

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Hugo Boss: resilient sales increase and EBIT beat in Q3

This morning Hugo Boss has reported in-line Q3 sales of EUR1,029m incl. +1% FX-n sales growth thanks to limited exposure to China (c.6% of sales) and a resilient performance in EMEA. Q3 EBIT came in at EUR95m, or 5% above CSSe of EUR90m as the miss at the GM level was more than offset by tighter op

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Carrefour: considering all scenarios to revive the share price? Our br...

With Carrefour reportedly in the early stages of discussions with advisors to consider capitalistic/operational scenarios that could revive the share price (source: Bloomberg), we have listed the six potential scenarios. More than half are unrealistic or negative to the share price in our view, whi

Cedric Rossi ... (+4)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #46

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the growing valuation gap between European and US retailers. Happy reading!

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

UK Retail: relief on relatively unharmful 2025 budget

The tax increases outlined in the UK's 2025 budget have proved to be skewed towards corporates and wealthy households with the prospect of manageable extra-staff costs for Tesco (Buy) and Deliveroo (Neutral) and better purchasing power prospects, fuelling a continued recovery in grocery volume &amp

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/10/2024

Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/30/2024

The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...

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