In this note, we provide additional context on the results and outlook. This with a focus on China, AI and High NA EUV dynamics for both Memory and Logic. As previously stated, CSS expectations for High NA remain too high and are likely to be revised downward. We also provide a framework for the expected 4Q25 bookings. Our analysis indicates a 5.2% y/y headwind in 2026 due to the expected China dynamics. We put this in perspective compared to the tailwind from AI. Our adjustments result in an in...
ABN AMRO: Pre-close 3Q: HAL inclusion. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Albertsons 2Q25/26 results. AMG: Lithium supply deal with Beijing Easpring. ASML: 3Q25 results supportive. Barco: 3Q25 trading update inline, surprise buyback. Belgian telcos: Start of the market test for cooperation agreement in Flanders. CM.com: Preview 3Q25 trading update. NSI: Vacancy increase as expected, marginal guidance update. Staffing sector: PageGroup 3Q25 trading update. Zabka: 3Q25 Preview - Like-for-Like(...
ASML reported 3Q25 revenues below expectations, yet the outlook for 4Q25 is ahead of CSS. ASML expects approximately 15% sales growth in 2025 in line with CSS (14.4%). Despite the revenue miss, net earnings were slightly better than expected due to lower SG&A, R&D and net interests. ASML expects 2026 sales not to be below 2025, as Chinese demand will be significantly lower. Net bookings came in above a low CSS estimate. We would like to see a very strong order intake in 4Q25 before we lose visib...
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