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Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 07/02/2024

The ‘quality growth’ ODDO BHF London Forum took place last week with 20 companies from Germany, Benelux, Spain and France in attendance. We organised 289 meetings, with around 100 investors. Going into the Q2 2024 earnings season, the stance was, unsurprisingly, largely in line with recent statements. But we were favourably impressed by CIE Automotive, ID Logistics (target price raised to € 410 vs € 380), Spie, TKH, Fugro and Lectra. We have adjusted our forecasts for five companies (...

Anthony Dick ... (+3)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 02/07/2024

Le ODDO BHF London Forum ‘quality growth’ s’est déroulé la semaine dernière avec 20 sociétés allemandes, du Bénélux, espagnoles ou françaises. Nous avons organisé 289 meetings, avec une centaine d’investisseurs. A l’approche des résultats du T2 2024, les discours ont, sans surprise, peu dévié des communications récentes. Mais, nous avons été favorablement impressionnés par CIE Automotive, ID Logistics (OC relevé à 410 € vs 380 €), Spie, TKH, Fugro et Lectra. Nous avons modifié nos pré...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

Michelin : Lower volumes but better price-mix in H1 and over the FY

>OK consensus on H1, probably still too high over the full year (-3%) - Michelin's group pre-close call, held yesterday evening ahead of the interim results (published on 24 July AMC), allowed the tyre manufacturer to confirm, unsurprisingly, its full-year targets despite a weaker-than-expected volume dynamic and thanks, conversely, to a price/mix that is undoubtedly even better (environment, selective commercial policy). These trends will likely be observed in H1 (vo...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

Michelin : Moins de volumes mais plus de prix/mix au S1 et sur l’année

>Un consensus OK sur le S1, sans doute légèrement trop haut sur l’année (-3%) - Le pre-close call de Michelin, tenu hier soir en amont des résultats semestriels (publication le 24/07 après Bourse), a permis au pneumaticien de confirmer, sans surprise, ses objectifs annuels malgré une dynamique volumes plus faible qu’attendu et grâce, à l’inverse, à un prix/mix sans doute encore meilleur (environnement, politique sélective). Ces tendances devraient notamment s’observer...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

A-rated TMT credit has appeal/Market softness creates buying opportuni...

In this report we evaluate the single-A TMT space. We argue that the notes of Wolters Kluwer and Relx look attractive. We prefer to avoid the notes of Proximus until we get further clarity about competitive dynamics in Belgium, following the expected entry of Digi. ASML and SAP, where spreads have widened a little since April 2024, could appeal to some investors. In this note we provide a summary of our general findings, followed by company descriptions.

Andreas Riemann
  • Andreas Riemann

Adidas : Q2 due 31 July – Underlying sales growth to be in the double ...

>Accelerating momentum, expecting 11% underlying sales growth - adidas will report Q2 2024 results on 31 July. We forecast sales to increase 4% y-o-y to € 5.5bn. The major driver should be currency neutral growth of 7% y-o-y. This reflects some 11% growth of the underlying business which is an improvement compared to 5% in Q1 and a Yeezy effect of -4%. We assume a 3% contribution from Yeezy this year compared to 7% in Q2 last year. In terms of regions, China (up 10%) ...

Farid Bitari ... (+4)
  • Farid Bitari
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas David
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Generative AI: a genuine revolution, pending the next revolutio...

Our conviction on the long-term growth potential and opportunities of generative AI is renewed. The enabler sectors (semiconductors, software and IT services) and those that provide the infrastructure (utilities, metals, capital goods and real estate) will be the primary beneficiaries, leading us to make certain target price changes. Among AI ‘user’ sectors (media, healthcare, automotive, banking and insurance, oil services, defence, aerospace and airlines), the effects will doub...

INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LR LEGRAND SA
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
REL RELX PLC
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
RNO RENAULT SA
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
INF INFOTEL SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
AUB AUBAY SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
ATE ALTEN SA
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ENEL ENEL SPA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
ICAD ICADE SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
OREGE OREGE SA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
VACN VAT GROUP AG
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SAP SAP SE
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
SIE SIEMENS AG
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
REY REPLY S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
OVH OVH GROUPE
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
Farid Bitari ... (+4)
  • Farid Bitari
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas David
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : L’IA générative, une véritable révolution, en attendant la proc...

Notre conviction sur le potentiel de croissance LT et d’opportunités de l’IA générative est renforcée. Les secteurs 'enablers' (semiconducteurs, software et IT services) et fournisseurs d’infrastructures (utilities, métaux, biens d'équipements et immobilier) en seront les premiers bénéficiaires, conduisant à certains changements d’OC. Parmi les secteurs ‘utilisateurs’ de l’IA (média, santé, automobile, banque et assurance, services pétroliers, défense, aéronautique et compagnies ...

INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LR LEGRAND SA
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
REL RELX PLC
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
RNO RENAULT SA
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
INF INFOTEL SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
AUB AUBAY SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
ATE ALTEN SA
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ENEL ENEL SPA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
ICAD ICADE SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
OREGE OREGE SA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
VACN VAT GROUP AG
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SAP SAP SE
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
SIE SIEMENS AG
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
REY REPLY S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
OVH OVH GROUPE
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/06/2024

Peu de secteurs polarisent autant que le luxe automobile sportif. A la pointe de l’innovation technologique et artistique pour les uns, il est le reflet d’inégalités excessives pour les autres. Nous estimons que le secteur a un rôle prépondérant à jouer sur l’atténuation du changement climatique, mais aussi l’économie circulaire ou la transition juste. Considérant les impacts, risques et opportunités matériels, nous plaçons Ferrari en Best-in-Class ESG, Porsche en Neutre ESG, et Aston...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 06/25/2024

Few sectors are as polarising as luxury sports cars. At the cutting edge of technological and artistic innovation for some, they reflect excessive inequality for others. We believe the sector has a key role to play in climate change mitigation, as well as in the circular economy and just transition. Taking into account material impacts, risks and opportunities, we see Ferrari as ESG Best-in-Class, Porsche as ESG Neutral and Aston-Martin Lagonda as ESG Not Recommended. - ...

Christophe Chaput ... (+3)
  • Christophe Chaput
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : What stock market momentum in France depending on the results o...

>Retail REITs broadly the best positioned - The announcement of the dissolution of parliament created a stock market shock or French real estate stocks leading to a negative performance of 10.6% since 7 June vs -4.2% for our other real estate stocks, notably in line with the increase in the 10-year OAT yield (c.+5bp) and its difference with the German 10-year yield (+c.23bp).The outcome of the legislative elections is still uncertain. Based on the sc...

Christophe Chaput ... (+3)
  • Christophe Chaput
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Quel momentum boursier sur l’immobilier côté français en foncti...

>Les foncières de commerce globalement les mieux positionnées - L’annonce de la dissolution de l’Assemblée Nationale a créé un choc boursier sur les valeurs immobilières françaises engendrant une performance négative de 10.6% depuis le 7 juin vs -4.2% sur nos autres valeurs immobilières, en ligne notamment avec la hausse du rendement de l’OAT 10 ans (+c.+5 pb) et son écartement avec le 10 ans allemand (+c. 23 pb).L’issue des élections législatives est encore inc...

Emmanuel Matot ... (+5)
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 06/24/2024

Dutch real estate companies showed signs of cautious optimism at the recent Provada conference, with logistics and retail favoured. Healthcare shows some positive signs, with limited devaluations. The Dutch government's potential reduction of the Real Estate Transfer Tax and new REIT regime could benefit listed real estate companies active in the country. - ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+6)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jeremy Garnier
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 24/06/2024

Dutch real estate companies showed signs of cautious optimism at the recent Provada conference, with logistics and retail favoured. Healthcare shows some positive signs, with limited devaluations. The Dutch government's potential reduction of the Real Estate Transfer Tax and new REIT regime could benefit listed real estate companies active in the country. - ...

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