In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the annual Bain-Altagamma Luxury Goods study which expects a period of tur
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!
With 99% of all shoes sold in the US being imported in 2023, Donald Trump’s proposal to place a universal 10-20% tariff on imports from all foreign countries and an additional 60-100% tariff on imports specifically from China, would significantly impact the footwear (and apparel) categories. The in
>Mulling exit from non-core countries: what are they and what do they represent? - In a review of options to increase the value of its share price, Carrefour is considering pullouts from noncore countries, a press article claims. The three core countries are i/ France (45% of sales), ii/ Brazil (23% of sales) and iii/ Spain (13% of sales).The other five non-core countries collectively account for around 20% of sales (€ 18.4bn in 2023 sales).They are Italy (5...
>Cession potentielle de pays non-core : que sont-ils et que représentent-ils ? - Un article de presse mentionne que Carrefour, dans une étude de ses options pour revaloriser son cours de Bourse, étudierait la possibilité de céder des pays non-core. Les 3 pays core sont i/ la France (45% du CA, ii/ le Brésil (23% du CA) et iii/ l’Espagne (13% du CA).Les 5 autres pays non-core représentent globalement c.20% du CA (18.4 Md€ de CA 2023).Il s’agit de l’Italie (5%...
With Carrefour reportedly in the early stages of discussions with advisors to consider capitalistic/operational scenarios that could revive the share price (source: Bloomberg), we have listed the six potential scenarios. More than half are unrealistic or negative to the share price in our view, whi
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the growing valuation gap between European and US retailers. Happy reading!
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
Having stated in yesterday's PR that inventory composition would allow for "continued double-digit top-line growth", management confirmed that scenario during the call, supported by strong current trading that showed no signs of slowing. Interestingly, this momentum is broad-based as ADS is activat
>Some 14% underlying top-line growth - Yesterday, adidas reported final results for Q3 2024 in line with prelims which were out on 15 October. Sales rose 10% at constant FX and even 14% excluding Yeezy effects. Regions excluding Yeezy: Europe (+21%), LatAm (+30%) and Emerging markets (+17%) did well. China (+8%) was good despite negative comments from other consumer names and North America grew again (+1%). Segments: Footwear +14% and Apparel +5%. Moreover, adidas spe...
>Some 14% underlying top-line growth and 9% EBIT margin - Today adidas reported final results for Q3 2024 in line with prelims which were out on 15 October. Sales rose 10% at constant FX and even 14% excluding Yeezy effects. Regions including Yeezy: Europe (+18%), LatAm (+28%) and Emerging markets (+16%) did well. China (+9%) was good and North America improved as well (-7% including Yeezy and growing excluding Yeezy). Segments: Footwear +14% and Apparel +5%. Moreover...
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