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Thijs Berkelder ... (+2)
  • Thijs Berkelder
  • Usama Tariq

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - Date1

We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...

Thijs Berkelder ... (+2)
  • Thijs Berkelder
  • Usama Tariq

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/14/2024

We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

K+S AG : Q3 EBITDA 11% above css; EBITDA outlook moved to low-end of a...

>Seasonally low Q3 EBITDA of €66m was 11% above consensus of € 59m vs. € 128m in Q2 24 - Q3 24 EBITDA seasonally dropped 49% q/q to € 66m compared to € 128m in Q2 24 and 11% above consensus forecast of € 59m. Typical Q3 maintenance costs weighed while revenues of € 866m were almost flat q/q at € 866m. Seasonal sequential decline in reported Ag volumes excluding trading activities to 1.8mt (Q2 24: 1.84mt, Q3 23: 1.87mt) was largely in-line with consensus (1.87m t inc...

Oliver Metzger ... (+2)
  • Oliver Metzger
  • Sinan Doganli

ODDO : First feedback – DAY 1

We host the 15th edition of the Corporate Conference in cooperation with Commerzbank on September 3rd & 4th 2024 in Frankfurt am Main. This year we are welcoming 90 German small, mid and large cap companies. - >Adidas (+) – On trackAixtron (=) – No short-term inflection, but high confidence in long-term prospectsAllgeier (+) – Is confident it can achieve 15% EBITDA margin by the end of 2025 ams OSRAM (=) – Some cautiousness on auto/industrial, still co...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

K+S AG : Q2 EBITDA in line on good European potash/specialties fertili...

>Q2 EBITDA of € 128m fully in-line with consensus/ODDO of € 129m vs € 200m in Q1 2024 - Q2 2024 EBITDA seasonally dropped 36% q-o-q to € 128m compared to € 200m in Q1 2024 and fully in line with our and the consensus forecast of € 129m. Seasonal sequential decline in reported Ag volumes excluding trading activities in LatAm to 1.84mt (Q1 2024: 1.97mt, Q2 2023: 1.63mt) was less pronounced than expected (1.8m t). Adverse mix and q-o-q lower MOP prices reduced Ag ASP to ...

K&S AG: 1 director

A director at K&S AG bought 1,760 shares at 11.670EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

K+S AG : Final Q1 confirm strong prelim Q1-EBITDA on strong European s...

>Final Q1 EBITDA of € 200m confirm preliminary results vs. € 162m in Q4 23 - K+S already reported preliminary Q1 results on 30 April, beating consensus EBITDA expectations by 21% with €200m compared to €165m at consensus, also confirming €500-650m (cons € 562m) EBITDA outlook range back then. Final Q1 24 EBITDA gained 23% q/q to € 200m compared to € 162m in Q4 23, despite sequentially stable Ag volumes of 2mt and stable Ag ASP of € 336/t, i.e. positive mix at European...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO : Glass half full – Volume recovery started after almost 2 years ...

As Spring approaches, we see industry-wide destocking coming to an end, emerging recovery trends in China gaining momentum and European spot energy cost relief rolling in, all helping to restore plant utilisation and earnings. We add more cyclicality to our preferred names, upgrading BASF to Outperform (Neutral). Momentum being regained in specialties chemicals distribution triggers our upgrade of IMCD to Outperform (Neutral). ‘From record to record’ remains our mantra at FUCHS. ...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/14/2024

Banks tick all the boxes in the market’s current configuration: search for discounted sectors, cyclical momentum, sectors driven by long-term interest rates that remain high and shareholder returns through very high dividend yields. Technical analysis reveals a strong conviction since early March, and this should continue. We prefer banks in southern Europe, where the macro outlook is brighter. Alongside CaixaBank, which we are maintaining in our list of European Large Cap stocks, we ...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 14/03/2024

Les banques cochent toutes les cases de la configuration de marché actuelle : recherche de secteurs décotés, momentum cyclique, secteurs portés par des taux longs qui restent hauts, retour à l’actionnaire via un très haut dividend yield. L’analyse technique montre une forte conviction depuis début mars, qui devrait se poursuivre. Nous favorisons les banques du sud de l’Europe, à la macro plus avenante. Aux côtés de CaixaBank, que nous conservons dans notre liste de valeurs Large Caps ...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

K+S AG : Q4 EBITDA 12% above consensus on strong volumes; EBITDA 2024 ...

>Q4 EBITDA of € 162m 12% above consensus of € 145m (ODDO BHF € 115m) vs € 72m in Q3 2023 - Q4 2023 EBITDA more than doubled q-o-q to € 162m compared to € 72m in Q3 2023 fuelled by 11% q-o-q higher group sales of € 974m (Q3 2023 € 881m, consensus € 954m). Ag ASP was almost flat q-o-q in Q4 2023 at €334/t (css € 332/t) compared to € 332/t in Q3 2023. Ag volumes gained strongly 9% q-o-q and 9% y-o-y to 2.04mt (css 1.95mt).Outlook of € 500-650m EBITDA implies...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

K+S AG : Russian/Belorussian tensions entirely priced out in potash. R...

>Expect solid finish to the year with EBITDA 2023 of € 665m, project € 0.70 DPS, yielding 5% - K+S is due to report FY 2023 results on 14 March. We expect a solid finish to the year with volume-driven 59% q-o-q EBITDA recovery to €115m from € 72m in Q3 2023. Positive mix effects via firm specialties fertiliser prices, unique to K+S among peers, contributed as well. However, our reduced accumulated EBITDA 2023 of € 665m (was € 721m) leaves K+S earnings in the lower hal...

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