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Hans D’Haese ... (+2)
  • Hans D’Haese
  • Maxime Stranart

Sligro/3Q25 postview; another weak trading update/HOLD

We keep our HOLD but reduce our target price from €11.5 to €10.5 following Sligro's weak 3Q25 trading update. We continue to view the equity story as a margin recovery play but note that improvements in FY25F are expected to remain modest with the group reiterating its 5.5-6.0% EBITDA margin guidance, while delays in client onboarding in Belgium is another negative, in our view. We therefore reduce our EBIT forecasts by 10% for both FY25F and FY26F. Sligro's balance sheet offers limited room for...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

DEME Group: First Havfram vessel ready. Fastned: 3Q25 trading update – new stations boost growth, organic lags BEV penetration. NN Group & ASR: Pension reform on track for 1st tranche move from DB to DC in Jan 26. Sligro: Another weak trading update, but FY25 guidance reiterated. Talabat: Surprise CEO departure

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?

Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?

Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...

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