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Jean Danjou ... (+3)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 02/05/2024

Nous sortons GALP de notre liste ODDO BHF European Large Caps. La valeur a réalisé une performance de +31,3% depuis son entrée le 20 mars dernier. Notre analyste adopte ce jour une opinion Neutre (vs Surperformance) sur la valeur qui a atteint notre objectif de cours. - ...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Vidrala : 2024 guidance reflects more supportive pricing environment a...

>Q1 2024 results above estimates on strong contribution from Brazil - Vidrala’s Q1 2024 results came a touch above our estimates favoured by strong inorganic growth (+7.9% in sales and +12% in EBITDA on the full consolidation of Vidroporto) as organic contribution was limited to +1.4% in sales and detracted -4.7% in EBITDA. EBITDA margin stands at 26.2% (40bp contraction) compared to our 25% estimate thanks to the strong contribution from Brazil (42.7% EBITDA margin) ...

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 30/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

VIDRALA: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results Sales: € 419.4 M (+11.0% vs. +6.0% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 109.8 M (+9.0% vs. +2.4% BS(e)); EPS: € 1.64 M (-9.8%).

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Spanish banks outlook upgrade, CaixaBank and Unicaja earni...

S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Spanish banks outlook upgrade, CaixaBank and Unicaja earni...

S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

VIDRALA: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 419,4 M euros (+11,0% vs +6,0% BS(e)); EBITDA: 109,8 M euros (+9,0% vs +2,4% BS(e)); BPA: 1,64 M euros (-9,8%).

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

Unicaja Banco : Solid Q1 2024 figures but NII guidance unchanged and s...

>Neutral rating maintained – target price raised to € 1.25 (vs € 1.20) - We maintain our Neutral rating, with a higher target price of € 1.25 (vs € 1.20). The Q1 2024 figures broadly confirm the bank’s favourable underlying operating trends (top line, costs, CoR) and solid balance sheet. We have upgraded our net income expectations (+4% on average for 2024-26e) to factor in a lastingly more favourable NII trajectory and a slightly less conservative CoR scenario. Follo...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

Unicaja Banco : T1 2024 solide mais guidance NII inchangée & valorisat...

>Opinion Neutre réitérée – OC porté à 1.25 € (vs 1.20 €) - Nous réitérons notre recommandation Neutre avec un objectif de cours porté à 1.25 € (vs 1.20 €). Les chiffres T1 2024 confirment globalement l’orientation favorable de l’opérationnel underlying (top line, coûts CdR) et la solidité bilancielle du groupe. Nous révisions à la hausse nos anticipations de RN (+4% en moyenne sur 2024-26e) afin d’intégrer la trajectoire in fine plus durablement favorable des NII et u...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/29/2024

Atos: the French State wants to acquire the group’s sovereign business, cash needs are bossted to € 1.1bn (vs € 0.6bn)Picard: talks between Moez Zouari and Lion Capital reportedly resumeDeutsche Bank announces an unexpected legal provision of € 1.3bn for Q2>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 29/04/2024

Atos : l’Etat souhaite acquérir les activités souveraines du groupe, les besoins de liquidités sont revus à 1,1 md EUR (vs. 0,6 md EUR)Picard : les discussions entre Moez Zouari et Lion Capital auraient reprisDeutsche Bank annonce une provision légale inattendue de 1.3 md EUR pour le T2>...

Emna Ben Bdira ... (+2)
  • Emna Ben Bdira
  • Maxime Kogge

Acerinox : Exceptionals aside, robust Q1 and constructive message on r...

>Mixed results because of HPA but robust leaving aside exceptionals - Acerinox on Thursday reported mixed Q1 results with EBITDA of € 111m, 10% below our estimate and 5% below the consensus. The guidance was met however since the group expected a slightly higher EBITDA vs Q4 (€ 96m). The gap with expectations is mainly due to the High Performance Alloys (HPA) division whose earnings normalised strongly after Q3 and Q4 had been driven by a very high price effect from p...

Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

UNICAJA: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23: NII: € 390 M (+32.2% vs. +29.5% BS(e) and +29.1% consensus); Total Revenues: € 462 M (+23.9% vs. +18.9% BS(e) and +19.1% consensus); Operating Income: € 237 M (+47.7% vs. +37.4% BS(e) and +37.1% consensus); Net Profit: € 111 M (vs. € -34 M in 1Q’23 vs. € 84 M BS(e) and € 87 M consensus). 1Q'24 vs. 4Q'23: NII: € 390 M (+2.6% vs. +0.5% BS(e) and +0.2% consensus); Total Revenues: € 462 M (+4.5% vs. +0.3% BS(e) and +0.4% consensus); Operating Income: € 237 M (+5.4% vs. -2.0% BS(e) a...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

Grupo Catalana Occidente S.A. : Q1 2024 broadly solid and valuation st...

>Outperform rating maintained – target price raised to € 47.0 (vs € 46.0) - GCO’s Q1 2024 figures broadly underpin our positive stance on the stock, as does the attractive valuation (despite the marked re-rating seen YTD of +16%, +5 pt ahead of the SIXE sector index), given its robust fundamentals and niche profile. We have slightly upgraded our 2024-2026 net income estimates (+2% on average), with a broadly confident stance on momentum for the two businesses (traditi...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Prosegur Cash SA : Q1 operating results in line

>Gradually recovering from Argentina’s devaluation - Revenues decreased 1% y-o-y in Q1 (vs -20% in Q4 and -3% in Q3) to € 470m, broadly aligned with our estimates yet a touch below the consensus, with a very negative forex impact (-49pp this quarter vs - 60pp in Q4). This headline sales decline is mainly due to the impact derived from the Argentine peso devaluation in late December 2023 and its translation to the accounts with IAS 29 hyperinflation rules, which noneth...

Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

UNICAJA: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Intereses: 390 M euros (+32,2% vs +29,5% BS(e) y +29,1% consenso); M. Bruto: 462 M euros (+23,9% vs +18,9% BS(e) y +19,1% consenso); M. Neto: 237 M euros (+47,7% vs +37,4% BS(e) y +37,1% consenso); BDI: 111 M euros (vs -34 M euros a 1T’23 vs 84 M euros BS(e) y 87 M euros consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 390 M euros (+2,6% vs +0,5% BS(e) y +0,2% consenso); M. Bruto: 462 M euros (+4,5% vs +0,3% BS(e) y +0,4% consenso); M. Neto: 237 M euros (+5,4% vs -2,0% BS(...

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