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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Acomo: Acquires Manuzzi, expanding footprint in Southern Europe ASR: Ingrid de Swart to succeed Jos Baeten as CEO of ASR in May 2026 Fagron: Antitrust clearance for Brazilian Purifarma and Injeplast deals PostNL: Relaxation USO D+3 brought forward, pre-earnings analyst call 3Q25 Sofina: Over €0.5bn of additional firepower

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update October: Removing VGP – Adding Shurgard a...

In this October update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we are removing VGP while adding Shurgard and Wolters Kluwer. Since its recent inclusion in our Dynamic Top Pick List in July-25, VGPs share rose by 10.6%. While we still believe there is significant upside to the share price, we don't see short term catalysts. In fact, the macro picture remains cloudy with the jury still out on the impact of tariffs and the erratic US policy shifts. Also, we are a bit concerned that competition in Western Eur...

Kristof Samoy ... (+3)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Lewi
Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Sofina Sofina launches €545 rights offering

This morning Sofina announced a rights offering of up to €545.6m, issuing a maximum of 2,446,428 new shares at €223.00 per share. This represents a 12.1% discount to the TERP of €253.61 (based on the 23 September 2025 closing price of €255.80). The subscription ratio is 1 new share for 14 preferential rights. The proceeds aim to enhance Sofina's investment platform, enabling increased capital deployment, larger investment tickets, and flexibility in exit timing. Sofina's reference shareholder (c...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM International: Supportive Investor Day despite short-term setback; Sofina: Collecting cash for a purpose

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Sofina TikTok deal nears, clearing political overhang on Sofina's larg...

The WSJ reported that ByteDance, parent of TikTok, is nearing a deal to resolve U.S. regulatory concerns. A consortium led by Oracle, Silver Lake, and Andreessen Horowitz are set to control 80% of its U.S. business under a U.S.-China framework. The arrangement also includes an American-dominated board and Oracle handling U.S. user data in Texas, while licensing ByteDance's algorithms. Sofina acquired a minority stake in ByteDance in 2016 through a special purpose vehicle alongside other investor...

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thibault Leneeuw
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Sofina: Portfolio companies doing rather well, NAV dampened by USD weakness. Coverage change

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update September: Adding AB InBev and Exor

In this September update we added 2 stocks to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List : We added AB InBev after the share price weakened post-2Q results. ABI's 2Q volumes fell 1.9% organically, below expectations, mainly due to a 9% drop in Brazil where a price hike led to temporary market share loss. However, strong revenue per hl growth (+4.9%) drove a 6.5% organic EBITDA increase, with 1H growth at +7.2%, near the top of FY guidance (+4–8%). AB InBev, the world's largest brewer, generates ...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

What's Cooking? Acquisition in Rennes contributing immediately to 1H25...

We saw a good set of 1H25 results as a 13% y/y increase in turnover translates into an increase in underlying operating profit from EUR 8.4m (excluding Savoury business) to €12.7m although raw material costs remain historically high, mainly for animal proteins and ingredients. Energy and transport costs have also risen further. We maintain our positive stance (Accumulate, € 135 Target Price) as What's Cooking? expects to continue the good results of 1H25 in 2H25. They expect FY25 REBITDA to be b...

Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Sofina Cognita €6bn deal collapse impacts Sofina's 13.4% stake

A €6bn private equity deal for Cognita, a UK-based private school operator and one of Sofina's key holdings, is on the brink of collapse. Jacobs Capital, the majority shareholder, aimed to sell a significant stake in Cognita in Apr'25. The stake sale to the primary bidders, Blackstone and CVC, is now unlikely to proceed, according to the Financial Times. The deal's failure stems from a valuation mismatch and the UK's new 20% VAT on private school fees, which has introduced market uncertainty. In...

Livio Luyten
  • Livio Luyten

Holdings Report - July 2025 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -0.5% Durin...

1M Performance - Absolute Total Return: During Jul'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a total return of -0.5% which was mainly driven by the performance of the multi-asset holdings (-0.9%), while the single-asset holdings posted a return of +0.4%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+11.7%), KBC Ancora (+9.4%) and Quest For Growth (+5.5%) while the 3 worst performers were Brederode (-6.4%), Heineken Holding (-5.0%) and D'Ieteren Group (-4.7%). YTD Pe...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM International: 2Q25 Results; Positive tone, weak orders. CM.com: 1H25 results; disappointing performance, guidance downgrade. Gimv: Gimv fuels Hemink's sustainable expansion. KPN: Solid 2Q25, guidance raised largely on €25m IPR claim benefit. Philips: 2Q25 Preview; improvement needed. Randstad: 2Q25 in line; outlook touch below; FX spoils the party but operational leverage story is unfolding. Sofina: Newsletter #16. Universal Music Group: EU opens in-depth investigation into Downtown ...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : AVS NA, CSUA NA, GIMBb BB, KPNa NA, RANDa NA, SOFb BB,...

: AVS NA, CSUA NA, GIMBb BB, KPNa NA, RANDa NA, SOFb BB, N4SA NA, PHVS US

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update July: Removing Fagron and Melexis, Adding...

Since the last publication of our Dynamic Top Pick List on 5 June 2025, our selection has seen again a nice outperformance versus the reverence indices (AEX, Bel20 and Eurostoxx50) of on average 3.3%. Our July update brings 3 adjustments to the list : Since being added to the list in December 2024, Fagron's share price has surged +/-22%, driven by strong Q1 2025 results and robust growth across all regions. Fagron reaffirmed its FY25 guidance and unveiled its “Compounding for Growth” strategy, ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Intermarché to take over 81 integrated Colruyt stores in France. Colruyt: FY24/25 in line with updated guidance, cautious FY25/26 outlook. Sofina: Cognita exit looks to be pending

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage

In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...

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