Commodities Bullishly Inflecting; Buy Energy, Materials A weight-of-the-evidence approach continues to support our constructive intermediate-term outlook. Below we highlight recent positive developments and areas of the market that are actionable at current levels. · Recent Positive Developments. Recent positive developments include the MSCI ACWI and EAFE (ACWI-US, EFA-US) breaking to new highs while the MSCI ACWI ex-US and EM (ACWX-US, EEM-US) indexes are holding above important suppo...
EM Remains In Favor; Shanghai Comp Breaking Out A weakening US dollar (DXY) continues to be a major tailwind for both EM equities and the commodity Sectors. Improving price and RS trends for these risk-on areas of the market are among the many characteristics consistent with historical bull markets. Therefore, we continue to label this a bull market and we believe global equities are still in the early innings of a broad-based advance. • EM Equities. Price action has remained weak for the US...
EM Breakout -- Add Exposure The laundry list of market characteristics consistent with historical bull markets continues to grow, helping support our ongoing belief that global equities are in the early stages of a broad-based advance. • US Dollar; EM Equities. The US dollar (DXY) exhibits signs of rolling over, something we outlined as increasingly likely in our 12/10/19 Int'l Macro Vision strategy. This is bullish for global equities -- especially EM -- and has paved the way for the MSCI E...
Opportunities within Mobile Payments, Metals & Mining, and Utilities The MSCI ACWI and S&P 500 continue to recover following the most recent test of support at their respective 200-day moving averages. With market internals still mixed, support levels holding, and indexes continuing to consolidate sideways, our neutral but constructive outlook remains intact. • Major themes: Mobile Payments, Metals & Mining, and Utilities. We believe the secular mobile payments theme (ETF: IPAY) has room to...
New York, February 06, 2017-- Moody's Investors Service comments that Vale's Ba3 senior unsecured foreign currency rating and stable outlook remain unchanged following the company's announcement that it plans to issue an add-on to the 10- year USD 1 billion senior unsecured notes issued by Vale Overseas Limited in August 2016 and fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Vale S.A.. The proposed add-on to the USD 1 billion notes issued in August 2016 is part of Vale's liability...
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