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Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/05/2024

Several themes are set to drive the 2024 proxy season, among them the change of voting policy of ISS and a tipping point for climate resolutions. It will also be the last one before the first CSRD reports. Its long-term impact on Boards could also be underestimated. A wave of appointments of specialized sustainability profiles would upset their balance. We identify the AGMs likely to be play the most decisive role for the companies in the medium term: Alstom, Teleperformance, Worldlin...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 05/04/2024

Plusieurs éléments animeront les assemblées générales 2024 : changement de politique de vote d’ISS, résolutions climat à un tournant… alors que cette saison est la dernière avant les premiers rapports CSRD. Celle-ci pourrait d’ailleurs avoir un impact long terme sous-estimé sur les conseils. Une vague de nominations de profils spécialisés en durabilité bouleverserait leurs équilibres. Nous identifions les AG les plus déterminantes pour la gouvernance des sociétés à moyen terme : Alsto...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : It really is memory that is saving the semiconductors market

>Global sales for February 2024 up +16.4% y-o-y vs +15.5% in January - Worldwide semiconductor sales in February 2024 were published by the WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), with the usual one-month lag. On a three-month moving average, sales came to $ 43.6bn, slightly ahead of our forecast of $ 43.2bn. This represents a sequential decline of 3% (usual seasonal effect in February), but a fresh improvement in full-year growth to +16.4%, after +15.5% in Janu...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : C’est vraiment la mémoire qui sauve le marché des semiconducteu...

>Ventes mondiales de février 2024 à +16.4% yoy vs +15.5% en janvier - Les ventes mondiales de semiconducteurs de février 2024 viennent d’être publiés par le WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), avec comme toujours, un mois de décalage. En données lissées (moyenne 3 mois), elles ressortent à 43.6 Md$, légèrement au-dessus de notre prévision de 43.2 Md$. Il s’agit d’une baisse en séquentiel de 3% (saisonnalité normale de février), mais d’une nouvelle améliorati...

Anthony Dick ... (+5)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Maxime Kogge
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO : Véhicules électriques : d’un excès à l’autre ?

Le momentum autour de l’électrification, moins favorable dernièrement, a conduit à un changement profond de perception, passant d’un optimisme sans doute excessif à un pessimisme qui le semble tout autant. En effet, si nous avons revu en baisse nos hypothèses, nous visons néanmoins toujours une croissance dans les années à venir (y compris cette année), bien supérieure à celle du marché automobile dans son ensemble. Face à ces changements, tous les acteurs au sein de la chaîne de...

Anthony Dick ... (+5)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Maxime Kogge
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO : Electric vehicles: from one extreme to another?

With momentum around electrification less favourable of late, we have seen a major shift in perception, from doubtless overly rose-tinted optimism to what looks to be similarly excessive pessimism. While we have reduced our BEV assumptions, we nonetheless still anticipate growth in the next few years (including this year), well ahead of that of the automotive market as a whole. In the face of these changes, the players in the value chain (mines, semiconductors, auto) are differen...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Charlotte Vaisse
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
AMS AMS AG
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
SK SEB SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EN BOUYGUES SA
MUV2 MUNICH REINSURANCE COMPANY
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
UCB UCB S.A.
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
RMV RIGHTMOVE PLC
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Charlotte Vaisse
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
AMS AMS AG
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
SK SEB SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EN BOUYGUES SA
MUV2 MUNICH REINSURANCE COMPANY
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
UCB UCB S.A.
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
RMV RIGHTMOVE PLC
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Continuing upturn in January, again driven by memory

>Worldwide sales in January 24 at +15.5% y-o-y vs +12.5% in December 23 - Worldwide semiconductor sales for January 2024 were published this weekend by WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), with a month’s lag, as usual. As a three-month moving average, they came in at $ 47.6bn (in line with our forecast), or +15.5% y-o-y after 12.5% y-o-y in December. This gives a sequential decline of 2.1%. Continuing sharp improvement in memory segment, automotiv...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Poursuite de la reprise en janvier, tiré de nouveau par la mémo...

>Ventes mondiales de janvier 24 à +15,5% yoy vs +12,5% en décembre 23 - Les ventes mondiales de semis de janvier 2024 ont été publiées ce week-end par la WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), avec, comme toujours, un mois de décalage. En donnée lissées (moyenne mobile 3 mois), elles ressortent à 47.6 Md$ (en ligne avec notre prévision), soit +15,5% yoy après 12,5% yoy en décembre. Il s’agit aussi d’une baisse en séquentiel de 2,1%. Poursuite de la ...

X-Fab Silicon Foundries SE: 1 director

A director at X-Fab Silicon Foundries SE bought 270,000 shares at 7.430EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...

Michael Roeg
  • Michael Roeg

X-FAB - Transition year 2024, albeit with growth

FY24 will be a transition year with slower than usual growth due to e.g. inventory corrections, and above-average expansion capexBased on guidance, we cut our sales and earnings estimates for FY24 and beyond, and we pulled some capex forward from FY25 to FY24In response, we lower our TP to EUR 10 (from EUR 12), Buy reiterated

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

X Fab Silicon Foundries EV Still in a sweet spot of the semiconductor ...

We updated our X-Fab model after the FY23 results. As a result, we lower our Target Price from €12 to € 11. Nevertheless, we think investors were over-reacting as the shortfall in 4Q24 top-line was related to the demand for older 150mm CMOS technologies. Also their explanation for the shortfall in 4Q23 profitability made sense. We maintain our Accumulate rating as X-Fab is still in the sweet spot of the semiconductor market and its expertise in specialty applications for the automotive, indust...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/02/2024

La baisse de l’inflation et de la croissance (en Europe) et – paradoxalement – des taux d’intérêt plus hauts incitent à une reprise du M&A en Europe. Les secteurs qui devraient être les plus actifs sont : la Santé, la Technologie, l’Industrie, les Télécoms et les Utilities/Renouvelables. Nous présentons les perspectives M&A pour l’ensemble des secteurs d’activité et identifions 80 sociétés potentiellement actives (prédatrices, cibles, acquéreuses ou cédantes d’actifs). - ...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 02/09/2024

Falling inflation and weaker growth (in Europe) and – paradoxically – higher interest rates are driving an upturn in M&A in Europe. The sectors that are expected to be the most active are: healthcare, technology, industry, telecoms and utilities/renewables. We present the M&A outlook for all sectors of activity and identify 80 potentially active companies (predators, targets, buyers or sellers of assets). - ...

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