EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: summer performance ahead of our estimates (upgraded to BUY) • Elm: clarity is on its way (stays BUY) • AmRest: 3Q25 below expectations NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q25 EBITDA above our expectations and the market by 3-6% NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q25 highlights before the call - good quarter with an 8% beat to our estimate, 2026E guidance POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q25 results beat, on record-high refining output POSITIVE • Romgaz: 3Q25 results - net income beat our expec...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: tempting, but tricky (downgraded to HOLD) • Bank Handlowy: posts neutral set of 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Krka: 3Q25 results – positive surprise in the gross margin POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 3Q25 miss on gross margin compression NEGATIVE • Magyar Telekom: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 2Q FY26 – 10% EBIT beat on lower CASKX POSITIVE • DataWalk: actual 3Q25 numbers fully in line with th...
HEADLINES: • Turkish Airlines: buy the dip (upgraded to BUY) • Cimsa: 3Q25 financial results review POSITIVE • Tupras: 3Q25 results – net income beats expectations NEUTRAL • Isbank: 3Q25 highlights – slower margin rebound and 11% miss vs.to our estimate • Elm: 3Q25 financial results review NEGATIVE • Arabian Drilling: 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: receives recalls for three land rigs POSITIVE • Akcansa: 3Q25 conference call takeaways • CEZ: nationalisation in draft government plan, bu...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 3Q25 very solid; 20%+ ROE delivery; key catalyst will be M&A decisions NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 3Q25 beat driven purely by positive LLPs balance, still no breakthrough in NII performance NEUTRAL • ING BSK: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • mBank: 3Q25 bottom line misses estimates, but purely on higher tax and FX mortgage saga provisions NEUTRAL • Kruk: 3Q25 results a mixed bag – recoveries strong, revenues down, no breakthrough in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 3Q25 – operating recovery overshadowed by loss on bottom line, full-year guidance lowered NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (20-26 October) • DIGI Communications: chooses banks to list its Spanish unit POSITIVE • Titan: Fitch improves outlook to Positive, citing strong financial profile POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: consortium with Chevron wins tender for four new Greek offshore E&P blocks, as expected NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: CFO steps down NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: ann...
HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...
HEADLINES: • Zabka Group: 2026-28E rollout targets raised to 1.3k stores p.a.; dividend policy announced POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 losses deeper qoq on lower revenue and material write-offs • Rainbow Tours: consolidated August sales +17.6% yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales +7.9% yoy POSITIVE • Polish utilities: electricity sales tariffs for 4Q25 set at PLN 573/MWh POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: September Sensor Tower bookings estimates flat mom, improvement in core games N...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Tupras: enjoying life in the margins (stays BUY) • Kruk: 2Q25 beat, on a positive tax balance, lower financial costs and a drop in the cost to collect ratio POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 24% yoy, 6% above the consensus; weak 2H25E outlook NEGATIVE • Enea: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA 15% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply and better Generation; PLN 2.8bn capex, including wind farm acquisitions POSITIVE • Gentoo Media: 2Q25 financial...
HEADLINES: • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 adjusted EBITDA down 11% qoq, 4-9% above expectations POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, in line with our forecast, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways – supportive of the 2026E outlook NEUTRAL • Akcansa: competition investigation launched NEGATIVE • MedLife: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 August)
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Rainbow Tours: on the road to riches (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Erste Bank: 2Q25 results beat on positive one-off; solid performance in core result leads to 2025E guidance uplift POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: minor beat in 2Q25; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 2Q25 highlights – a clean 14% beat vs. our estimate POSITIVE • National Bank of Greece: 2Q25 highlights – in line, with guidance upgrade POSITIVE • Optima Bank SA: bottom-line beat in 2Q25...
HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q25 results – strong quality beat • Komercni Banka: beat on bottom line in 2Q25, driven solely by LLPs releases NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 2Q25 results – strong other income and lower provisions charges NEUTRAL • Kety: full 2Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Garanti Bank: 2Q25 highlights – still ahead of peers and soft 2026E guidance POSITIVE • BRD-GSG: solid 2Q25 results beat expectations POSITIVE • OMV Petr...
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: 2Q25 results beat, on lower FX mortgage saga costs; core operating in line, but very solid levels NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Tofas: 2Q25 results – in line operationally; 2025E guidance indicates higher profitability outlook POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: strong bottom-line delivery in 2Q25, ahead of expectations POSITIVE • Budimex: preliminary 2Q25 broadly in line with o...
A director at Bittnet Systems Sa Bucuresti sold 1,000,000 shares at 0.117RON and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last tw...
HEADLINES: • Ukraine macro: notes on the economy and the reconstruction process • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25 sales down 11% yoy, to PLN 20.3m NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: refund of interest on the overpayment related to the 2017 waste disposal decision NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk to be released for Apple Macs tomorrow NEUTRAL • Sipchem: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 July) NEUTRAL • Budimex: 2Q25E preview – EBIT up slightly, by 5% yoy (prelims due on 28 July) • Tupras: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 Ju...
HEADLINES: • Cimsa: on a path of growth and diversification (stays BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: inflation – short- and medium-term forecasts • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (30 June-6 July) • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 bookings down 10% qoq, but slightly better than Sensor Tower's estimates NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2 anime series in production NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: listing of new shares due to share split NEUTR...
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