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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 24/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Historic permit award in Italy opens a new growth area - ADX has been offered and accepted the “d 363 C.R-.AX” permit in the Sicily Channel, offshore Italy, covering a maximum area of 346 km2. ADX applied for the permit in 2018, but the moratorium on awarding new exploration blocks in Italy was only lifted last year. ADX will become a licensed operator in Italy as well as Austria ...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Soft NCS production in December

The Norwegian Offshore Directorate’s (NOD) preliminary NCS figures for December showed soft liquids production of 2,018kboed (2% below forecast) and solid gas production of 361mcm/d (2% above forecast). Overall production was 4.29mmboed, up 1.2% MOM (in line with its forecast), but down 5.3% YOY. On a company level, Equinor, Vår Energi and DNO saw higher production MOM in November, while Aker BP (which has already reported Q4 production) and OKEA saw lower production MOM.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics and discussion

This week, we released a sector update for our E&P coverage. We made minor changes to our oil and gas prices assumptions, but struggled to find an appealing risk/reward among our large caps, especially gas-heavy names. We favour Aker BP and Panoro Energy as our top picks, while Equinor remains a funding candidate. In other news, Equinor and Aker BP released Q4 trading statements. We view Equinor’s figures as neutral, and Aker BP’s as strong, due to solid production and realised oil and gas price...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 17/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Corcel (CRCL LN)C; Target price of 1.00p per share: Initiating Coverage - Corcel is a ~£6 mm market cap AIM-listed E&P company focused on Portuguese-speaking Angola and Brazil. It offers a unique exposure to the prolific Kwanza onshore basin in Angola which reopened to international companies in 2021. Corcel is also building a portfolio of mature onshore producing assets in Brazil. The key asset in Angola is the KON-16 licence, which C...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Limited prospects for re-rating

While our coverage universe has seen a strong start to the year, we have made minor alterations to our oil and gas price assumptions, as sanction-related upside potential appears to be priced in the Brent oil and share prices. Thus, we struggle to find an appealing risk/reward among the large caps, especially gas-heavy names, prompting us to downgrade Vår Energi and BlueNord to HOLD (BUY). We favour Aker BP and Panoro Energy as our top picks, while Equinor remains a funding candidate.

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

 PRESS RELEASE

International Petroleum Corporation Announces Results of Normal Course...

International Petroleum Corporation Announces Results of Normal Course Issuer Bid International Petroleum Corporation (IPC or the Corporation) (TSX, Nasdaq Stockholm: IPCO) is pleased to announce that IPC repurchased a total of 313,864 IPC common shares (ISIN: CA46016U1084) during the period of January 1 to 10, 2025 under IPC’s normal course issuer bid / share repurchase program (NCIB).  IPC’s NCIB, announced on December 3, 2024, is being implemented in accordance with the Market Abuse Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 (MAR) and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) No 2016/1052 (Safe Harbour Reg...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Equinor reported a preliminary internal gas price of USD12.05/mmbtu for Q4, slightly below Bloomberg consensus and 10% below the TTF day-ahead for the quarter. It also announced that the ongoing outage at its Hammerfest LNG facility was being extended by 10 days to 19 January. In other news, BlueNord reported preliminary net production of 28.9kboed for December, and 26.0kboed for Q4, slightly below our estimate of 29.0kboed.

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

 PRESS RELEASE

International Petroleum Corporation Announces Results of Normal Course...

International Petroleum Corporation Announces Results of Normal Course Issuer Bid and Updated Share Capital International Petroleum Corporation (IPC or the Corporation) (TSX, Nasdaq Stockholm: IPCO) is pleased to announce that IPC repurchased a total of 163,562 IPC common shares (ISIN: CA46016U1084) during the period of December 23 to 31, 2024 under IPC’s normal course issuer bid / share repurchase program (NCIB). IPC’s NCIB, announced on December 3, 2024, is being implemented in accordance with the Market Abuse Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 (MAR) and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU)...

 PRESS RELEASE

International Petroleum Corporation Announces Results of Normal Course...

International Petroleum Corporation Announces Results of Normal Course Issuer Bid International Petroleum Corporation (IPC or the Corporation) (TSX, Nasdaq Stockholm: IPCO) is pleased to announce that IPC repurchased a total of 258,360 IPC common shares (ISIN: CA46016U1084) during the period of December 16 to 20, 2024 under IPC’s normal course issuer bid / share repurchase program (NCIB).  IPC’s NCIB, announced on December 3, 2024, is being implemented in accordance with the Market Abuse Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 (MAR) and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) No 2016/1052 (Safe Harbour R...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, BlueNord announced that plateau production at Tyra is now expected to be delayed by around three weeks due to adverse weather, shifting the timeline to the second half of January 2025. Consequently, we expect a dividend announcement around or with its Q4 results (due on 12 February). In other news, the Arkenstone drilling campaign has been temporarily suspended after encountering shallow gas. Also, DNO and OKEA have agreed to swap 10% interests in the Mistral and Horatio prospects.

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