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ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun
ABGSC Metals & Mining Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Metals & Mining Research
  • Adrian Gilani
ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun
Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Skanska (Buy, TP: SEK255.00) - Volatile miss in Q1

Q1 EBIT missed, as the Residential and Commercial Development divisions had weaker-than-expected results. We have reduced our recovery expectations for these segments due to continued softness in Nordic housing sales and a slow recovery in US commercial property development. However, we still see upside potential in our SOTP-based valuation and reiterate our BUY. Nevertheless, based on our lowered forecasts, we have reduced our target price to SEK255 (270).

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Oscar Lindquist
ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Oscar Lindquist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Time to revisit

The unfolding trade war has led us to cut our global 2025–2027e demand and trim our spot price estimates. The negative price effect is partly countered by reduced mortality boosting volumes and lowering costs, leading to net EPS cuts of 11–2%. Given the sector’s solid track record in adapting to past crises and recent share-price declines, we see a significantly improved risk/reward and have a positive stance on the sector. We have upgraded Mowi, Bakkafrost, and Grieg Seafood to BUY (HOLD).

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Oscar Lindquist
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