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Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: Update for 7 more proposals

In this latest update, we now include BEAD proposals from 39 states & territories. Comcast and AT&T remain at the top of the list among wireline operators. Fiber’s share of locations has stabilized with small share shifts in either direction with each update (fiber’s share increased slightly after this update). Satellite and FWA together account for close to a third of the locations awarded.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: Funding wins and investments by operator

In this note on BEAD, we summarize the funding wins so far for each operator along with the matching investment they are expected to make based on the cost estimates of each state. Based on the state estimates, they are contributing 63% of the estimated build costs and the operators are expected to invest 37% of the cost. The share of investments needed varies depending on the operator, and in some cases may be lower than estimated.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: NTIA Deadline is here

Today is the deadline for all states to submit their final proposals. We now include proposals from 32 states in this latest update on BEAD. Fiber’s share of locations has nearly stabilized with small share shifts in either direction with each update (fiber’s share declined slightly after this update). Satellite and FWA together account for a third of the locations awarded.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: Half-time report

Our latest BEAD update includes proposals from 25 states. Fiber remains the preferred technology with its share improving slightly from our last update. In this note, we analyze the results, compare them with estimates from our Broadband Insights database, and its implications for broadband companies. We also update our summary for BEAD proposals so far.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: More state proposals; Fiber share nearly stable

24 states have now reported their BEAD proposals. Fiber remains the preferred technology, and their share of locations slipped only slightly in this latest round of updates. In this note, we analyze the results, compare them with estimates from our Broadband Insights database, and its implications for broadband companies. We also update our summary for BEAD proposals so far.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: Fiber slips further; FWA gains some ground

Georgia, New Mexico and Oklahoma have reported their BEAD proposals. We are also including the numbers released by Washington yesterday. While fiber remains the dominant technology, its share slipped further. FWA and satellite increased their share of locations. In this note, we analyze the results, compare them with estimates from our Broadband Insights database, and its implications for broadband companies.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: More state proposals; Fiber still dominant but Satellite gaining...

We now have BEAD proposals from 12 states. While fiber still remains the dominant technology, its share of locations has decreased as Satellite gains more ground. In this note, we analyze the results, compare them with estimates from our Broadband Insights database, and its implications for broadband companies.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: West Virginia releases final proposal

What’s new: West Virginia released their final proposal last night. Among large broadband operators, Frontier was the big winner. Comcast continues to feature in the list of proposed providers. Fiber continues to be the preferred technology. In this short note, we discuss the proposal, compare the results with our estimates from Broadband Insights database, provide a quick summary of BEAD proposals so far, and discuss the implications for broadband companies.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

2Q25 Broadband Trends

What’s new: in this report we discuss one of the drivers of slower broadband growth – a rise in mobileonly households. While we do not have the data to support it, we discuss the reasons why we find it a plausible explanation for the slower industry growth. We also update our industry forecast and reprise our work on competitive positioning of the operators based on relative cNPS scores.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: Louisiana releases final proposal

Louisiana was the second state to release their final proposal at the end of last week. Virginia just beat Louisiana and was the first. Louisiana Local Fiber Consortium, which includes T-Mobile, was the big winner again. Surprisingly, Comcast was the only large Cable operator among the winners. The ILECs won less than we expected. Fiber continues to be the technology of choice for BEAD. In this short note, we discuss the proposal, compare the results with our estimates from Broadband Insights da...

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

ATUS Post-2Q25 Model Update

This note focuses on estimate changes. Earlier today, we provided a review of results and our thoughts following the earnings call. The major changes are lower EBITDA but higher FCF due to lower cash taxes. No change to thesis.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

ATUS: Thoughts following the 2Q25 call

In this note, we provide our thoughts on EBITDA growth in 2H25, broadband ARPU growth, the HFC ABS debt, total ABS debt capacity and its impact on Altice’s capacity to meet the 2027/28 debt maturities, impact of tax reforms and FCF for the year.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

ATUS 2Q25 Quick Take: Subs beat but EBITDA missed; Guidance unchanged

EBITDA missed expectations again but guidance for the year remains unchanged. The miss was driven by lower broadband revenue and higher other operating expenses. The guidance implies that EBITDA will grow by at least 3% in the back half of the year. This seems unlikely on the surface, but management has implemented a 5% workforce reduction in 2Q which they expect to help meet EBITDA guidance for the year.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

Autumn for Broadband 2Q25

In this installment of our Autumn for Broadband series, we provide a quick update on trends in the broadband market based on what we have seen from the companies that have reported so far. Net adds remained nearly flat compared to a year ago (when adjusted for ACP impact) but were within the pre-pandemic norm. Industry subscriber trends have mostly stabilized over the past 3 quarters, but y/y growth remains below pre-pandemic levels.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

ATUS Quick Hit: Altice announces $1BN of asset backed term loan facili...

Altice just announced that they have entered into a $1BN asset backed term loan facility. The debt issuance should help in refinancing part of the 2027 debt maturities. We provide some quick thoughts in this short note.

Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

There is more Cable and Fiber M&A coming

This report provides a detailed update to our fiber forecast, with implications for the Fiber and Cable operators. The analysis suggests a strong incentive for Mobile and Cable operators to continue to consolidate assets. The analysis leverages the latest release of FCC data coupled with new features and data sets that have been built into Broadband Insights.

Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

Updating Price Targets for One Big Beautiful Bill Act

We have updated the price targets for our coverage as a result of the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Prior to the bill becoming law, we had already added the value of tax reform to our price targets on a probability-weighted basis. We have now increased the probability from 75% to 100%.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Rethinking BEAD 2.0 as States Rethink Their Options

Earlier this month, as expected, Secretary of Commerce Lutnick released new rules for BEAD, requiring all the states to rebid and prioritizing the lowest cost option. Our initial reaction was that the new rules would shift funds from fiber to satellite, a negative for wired providers including CMSCA, CHTR, T, and VZ/FYBR. We still think that but in talking to numerous stakeholders, that magnitude of the shift may be less than we initially thought. In this note we examine two themes that have ...

Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

A closer look at Cox footprint

We’ve been getting questions from clients about competitive dynamics in Cox’s markets after Charter announced its acquisition. In this note, we use Broadband Insights to explore the fiber competition in Cox’s markets today and in the future, who the largest competitors are, and market demographics.

Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

ATUS Post-1Q25 Model Update

This note focuses on estimate changes. Earlier today, we provided a review of results and our thoughts following the earnings call. We kept broadband estimates unchanged but increased our EBITDA estimate. No change to thesis.

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