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ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

If it's too good to be true, it usually is

Salmon prices higher on another blow to '24e supply, but farmers struggling to reap the benefits due to weak biology. Valuation not demanding, but more mixed triggers short term.

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

As good as it gets – down to SELL

Q1e EBIT of DKK 664m (-2% vs. comp.any-collected consensus). '24e/'25e EBIT up 1%/3%, still 6%-13% below consensus. Unattractive valuation and sentiment to turn: SELL (Hold).

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

Slow start to an exciting year

We estimate Q1 EBIT of NOK 774m (-10% vs. FactSet consensus). '24e EBIT -5% as biological issues offset higher spot prices. Patience is a virtue: '24-25e PE 10x-9x – BUY, TP NOK 65 (59).

 PRESS RELEASE

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Key information relating to the cash dividend...

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Key information relating to the cash dividend to be paid by Lerøy Seafood Group ASA Dividend amount: NOK 2.5 per shareDeclared currency: NOKLast day including right: 28 May 2024Ex-date: 29 May 2024Record date: 30 May 2024Payment date: 5 June 2024Date of approval: 28 May 2024 This information is published in accordance with the requirements of the Oslo Børs Rule Book II section 4.2.4 (1) no. 3.  

 PRESS RELEASE

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Annual report for 2023

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Annual report for 2023 Please find attached Lerøy Seafood Group ASA's annual report for 2023. The annual report is also attached in a machine-readable format according to ESEF (European Single Electronic Format). As part of the group’s integrated reporting, an overview of priorities, measurements, and targets within environment, social and governance (“ESG”) is included. The Board of Directors has proposed a dividend payment of NOK 2.50 per share for distribution in 2024. Key dates are set out in a separate stock exchange announcement. ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Årsrapport for 2023

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Årsrapport for 2023          Vedlagt følger årsrapport for Lerøy Seafood Group ASA for 2023. Som del av konsernets integrerte rapportering inneholder årsrapporten en oversikt over fokusområder, måleindikatorer og mål innen miljø, samfunnsmessig og finansiell bærekraft (ESG). Årsrapporten er også vedlagt i et maskinlesbart format i tråd med ESEF (European Single Electronic Format).  Styret har foreslått et utbytte til utbetaling i 2024 på NOK 2,50 per aksje. Det vises til egen børsmelding med relevante datoer. ...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Lerøy Seafood (Buy, TP: NOK52.00) - Better harvest mix in Q1

Lerøy Seafood’s Q1 trading update revealed harvest volumes in line with our estimates, but with a better mix on higher-than-expected volumes from Lerøy Midt and lower volumes from Lerøy Sjøtroll in Q1, while higher wild-catch volumes also contributed positively. We have raised our 2024e EPS by 1.5%, and we now expect Q1 operating EBIT of NOK880m (previously NOK752m), in line with consensus of NOK881m (full Q1 report due at 06:30 CET on 15 May). We reiterate our BUY and NOK52 target price.

 PRESS RELEASE

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Trading update Q1 2024

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Trading update Q1 2024 HARVEST VOLUMES OF SALMON AND TROUT Total harvest volume of salmon and trout for Q1 2024 was 26,400 GWT, excluding volumes from Scottish Seafarms. Harvest volumes per region/company (in 1,000 GWT): Lerøy Aurora: 6.0 Lerøy Midt: 13.7 Lerøy Sjøtroll: 6.7 (of which 3.3 was trout) CATCH VOLUMES OF WILDFISH Total wild catch volumes (Lerøy Havfisk) was 24,100 tonnes for Q1 2024 of which 6,700 tonnes of cod. The complete Q1 2024 report will be released on 15 May 2024 at 06:30 CET. Queries may be addressed to the company’s CFO Sjur S. M...

 PRESS RELEASE

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Oppdatering volum i første kvartal 2024

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Oppdatering volum i første kvartal 2024 SLAKTET VOLUM AV LAKS OG ØRRET Slaktet volum av laks og ørret for første kvartal 2024 ble 26.400 GWT. Dette inkluderer ikke volumer fra Scottish Seafarms. Slaktet volum av laks og ørret per region / havbruksselskap (i 1.000 GWT): Lerøy Aurora: 6,0 Lerøy Midt: 13,7 Lerøy Sjøtroll: 6,7 (hvorav 3,3 var ørret) FANGSTVOLUM VILLFISK Fangstvolum av villfisk (Lerøy Havfisk) utgjorde 24.100 tonn i første kvartal 2024, hvorav 6.700 tonn med torsk. Fullstendig rapport for første kvartal 2024 blir offent...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Bakkafrost (Hold, TP: NOK590.00) - Strong Q1e coming up

We expect Q1 operating EBIT of DKK666m (8% above consensus of DKK615m), driven by higher harvest volumes, as EBIT/kg margins are broadly in line (our estimated group EBIT/kg is DKK30.8 versus consensus of DKK31.2). Faroe Islands harvested 14.3kt in Q1 and we expect solid average harvest weights, while Scotland harvested 7.3kt. We expect high superior shares in both regions. For the Fishmeal, Oil and Feed segment, we expect EBIT of DKK162m, in line with consensus of DKK164m. The Q1 report is due ...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Lerøy Seafood (Buy, TP: NOK52.00) - Below consensus for Q1e

We expect Q1 operating EBIT of NOK752m, 13% below consensus of NOK863m, with the difference explained by our lower harvest estimate (results due at 06:30 CET on 15 May). We have raised our Q1e Wild Catch operating EBIT due to the timing of sales, but cut 2024–2026e on lower margin assumptions. In turn, we have lowered our 2024–2026e EPS by 3.0–2.0%, but reiterate our BUY and NOK52 target price.

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

The quality report

Knowing who has the best farming locations, production areas and operations is key to assessing future performance potential. Our extensive asset quality research findings suggest SalMar has the best sites, and the best MAB portfolio, while Mowi has outperformed its benchmark the most and has the most conservative estimates versus our expectations. Grieg Seafood is the most undervalued and Lerøy Seafood has the highest margin rebound potential in our view.

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