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ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Alfa Laval (Buy, TP: SEK580.00) - Strong mix in mixed report

Q3 was mixed, with Marine order growth of 47% organically YOY (strong pumping systems) and a 190bp margin beat versus consensus in Energy, but Food & Water orders 5% below. However, outlook comments for an improved short cycle eased our concerns of a 2025 slowdown in Food & Water. We are 10–11% above consensus on 2025–2026e adj. EBITA, as we believe mix improvements in Marine should drive margins. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK580 (545), based on a 3–4% increase in ...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist

Alfa Laval AB: 1 director

A director at Alfa Laval AB bought 1,050 shares at 476.000SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist

Order growth continues

Q3 results due on 24 October at 7:30 CET. We expect orders +9%, margin of 16.9% (16.7%). Forceful LT trends justify high valuation.

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Alfa Laval (Buy, TP: SEK545.00) - Marine full speed ahead

We are 4% above consensus on Q3e orders (driven by Marine), and expect the company to guide for stable or somewhat lower demand in Q4. We have lowered our 2025–2026e adj. EBITA by 3–4% on lower energy prices (we have trimmed our Energy forecasts), but remain 5–6% above consensus. We reiterate our BUY and target price of SEK545.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Lara Mohtadi
  • Olof Cederholm

The Capital Goods Data Miner - August 2024

Our key long ideas are: Alfa Laval, Hexagon, Metso, Sandvik, Volvo. We are cautious on: Autoliv, Nibe, Wärtsilä

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Alfa Laval (Buy, TP: SEK545.00) - Consensus still looking bearish

Q2 was solid overall but mixed divisionally. The results reinforced our confidence in our above-consensus earnings for 2025–2026e, as we believe mix improvements in Marine should drive consensus higher. While Energy disappointed in Q2, management’s detailed outlook comments for improved demand QOQ and sales and margins troughing in Q3 eased our concerns about the division. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK545 (535) following small changes to our 2024–2026e adj. EBITA.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

Extending the growth streak

Marine drives 6% order beat, EBITA in line. Backlog and exposure secure double-digit earnings growth. Great exposure, visibility, financials - keep BUY.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
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