reports
- Simen Mortensen
Signs of sector recovery, and more Q1 results
The markets were much quieter following the Easter break, with limited news; however, the names we cover saw their shares up 2.6% on average, with Atrium Ljungberg (7.1%), SBB (7.1%) and Pandox (4.8%) the top performers. JM released its Q1 results and we reiterated our BUY, believing it has passed the earnings trough, while we reiterated our HOLDs on Corem and Fabege following their quarterly reports. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 5.04% for 2025e and 5.34%...
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
Atrium Ljungberg AB: 1 director
A director at Atrium Ljungberg AB bought 31,350 shares at 32.936SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 58/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
CIBUS CIBUS NORDIC REAL ESTATE AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
INTEA.B-SE INTEA FASTIGHETER
LOGI A ODD MOLLY INTERNATIONAL AB
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
CIBUS CIBUS NORDIC REAL ESTATE AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
INTEA.B-SE INTEA FASTIGHETER
LOGI A ODD MOLLY INTERNATIONAL AB
- Niklas Wetterling
Atrium Ljungberg (Hold, TP: SEK32.00) - Undervalued, as is the sector
Key focus in Q1 was soft net lettings excluding project properties of SEK-69m (-2.1% of its rental value). The stock is trading far below historical averages on P/NAV, P/FFO, and implied EBIT yield – but so is the sector. We consider Atrium Ljungberg fully invested, given its ongoing projects. We view the FFOps growth outlook as soft, forecasting a 2024–2027e CAGR of -2%, or +3% assuming fully let projects upon completion. We reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to SEK32 (40) on upd...
- Simen Mortensen
Q1 reporting begins, volatility persists, CEO to leave and ‘special ex...
The ‘tariff volatility’ in credit and equity markets persisted this week, reversing many of the gains from previous weeks. Atrium Ljungberg kicked off Q1 reporting season. Öresund’s representative left the board of Stenhus and appointed a special examiner to review the company’s management. Castellum’s CEO Joacim Sjöberg stated he plans to leave by Q4 2026. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 5.33% for 2025e and 5.66% for 2026e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Miika Ihamaki
Nokian Tyres (Hold, TP: EUR6.30) - No clear road
While we acknowledge Nokian Tyres’ ‘local-to-local’ approach in the US may shelter it from worst tariff impacts, we believe increased uncertainty on consumer sentiment in North America could lead to weaker demand for its high-value premium range in the short term, raising the risk of fixed-cost under-absorption and partly offsetting potentially better EBIT drop-through from Romania (Q2 onwards). We reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to EUR6.3 (6.7), following a c9% clean EBIT cut ...
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
CIBUS CIBUS NORDIC REAL ESTATE AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
INTEA.B-SE INTEA FASTIGHETER
LOGI A ODD MOLLY INTERNATIONAL AB
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Simen Mortensen
Sector recovery on tariff introduction
While still down YTD, the Nordic real estate sector did see a recovery this week on falling interest rates as a result of US tariffs being imposed. Furthermore, we upgraded JM to BUY (HOLD) and published several Q1 previews in the construction sector. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 5.06% for 2025e and 5.37% for 2026e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
PUBLI PUBLIC PROPERTY INVEST
- Stefano Toffano
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
DAI DAIMLER AG
GIVN GIVAUDAN SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
OR L'OREAL SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
FR VALEO SE
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
REP REPSOL SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
LPP LPP S.A.
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SAP SAP SE
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
BP. BP P.L.C.
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
GSK GSK PLC
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SDG SYNERGIE SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
NANO NANOBIOTIX SA
REP REPSOL SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
FACC FACC AG
SPIE SPIE SA
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
BP. BP P.L.C.
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
UMI UMICORE
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SDG SYNERGIE SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
NANO NANOBIOTIX SA
REP REPSOL SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
FACC FACC AG
SPIE SPIE SA
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
BP. BP P.L.C.
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
UMI UMICORE
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Stefano Toffano
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
DAI DAIMLER AG
GIVN GIVAUDAN SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
OR L'OREAL SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
FR VALEO SE
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
REP REPSOL SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
LPP LPP S.A.
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SAP SAP SE
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
BP. BP P.L.C.
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
GSK GSK PLC
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
RNO RENAULT SA
EO FAURECIA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
RNO RENAULT SA
EO FAURECIA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
HUFV A HUFVUDSTADEN AB CLASS A
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
A1T7SE AB SAGAX CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
CIBUS CIBUS NORDIC REAL ESTATE AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
PRISMA PRISMA PROPERTIES AB
INTEA.B-SE INTEA FASTIGHETER
LOGI A ODD MOLLY INTERNATIONAL AB
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