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Evolution AB: 1 director

A director at Evolution AB bought 1,500 shares at 853.950SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 61/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

Citycon Oyj: 1 director

A director at Citycon Oyj bought 12,000 shares at 3.139EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...

Citycon OYJ: Update following rating put under review for downgrade

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its fierce competition and weak credit metrics.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Transactions and an upgrade

This week, Public Property Invest and Cibus Nordic Real Estate (Cibus) announced acquisitions, while Entra closed an asset sale 13% above book value. On Thursday, we upgraded Atrium Ljungberg to HOLD (SELL), and trimmed our target price on Balder (one of our sector top picks) to NOK90 (92) while reiterating our BUY. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.48% for 2024e and 5.06% for 2025e.

Niklas Wetterling
  • Niklas Wetterling

Atrium Ljungberg (Hold, TP: SEK200.00) - Less downside risk, back to H...

As the stock is down 18% since the Q3 results, we have upgraded to HOLD (SELL). Even though the 2025-2026e FFOps growth outlook remain weak, we no longer consider the valuation demanding enough to justify a SELL. There is a near-term potential positive catalyst that would add cSEK100m in net lettings (possibly in Q4 or Q1), depending on a zoning plan approval. We have cut our target price to SEK200 (215) due to the market interest rate uptick.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

SEK10bn deal, residential prices and several deals by PPI

This week, we raised our 2025e FFOps for PPI by 16.5% on recent transactions, Skanska divested assets, K-Fastigheter and Brinova agreed a SEK10bn residential deal, and we published a residential prices update. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.39% for 2024e and 4.94% for 2025e.

Atrium Ljungberg AB: 2 directors

Two Directors at Atrium Ljungberg AB bought 7,520 shares at between 195.280SEK and 198.000SEK. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ov...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

New bonds, bond turmoil and transactions

This week, both Public Property Invest and Citycon issued c5-year EUR bonds. SBB received additional letters from bondholders expressing an intention to accelerate regarding its Eurobonds. NCC announced the sale of a SEK3.6bn newbuild in Solna, Stockholm, while Skanska announced an internal transaction and JM the sale of a Finnish residential property. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.38% for 2024e and 4.93% for 2025e.

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Alfa Laval (Buy, TP: SEK590.00) - We’re gonna need a bigger boat

Our deep dive into the Marine division’s business units has reinforced our view that consensus fails to reflect the positive mix effects in the backlog, especially from the profitable cargo pumps, for which we estimate a >30% EBITA margin. We expect 31% adj. EBITA growth until 2026 and are 8% above consensus for 2025–2026e. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK590 (580).

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Final Q3s and several transactions

Approaching year-end, property transactions appeared to see the typical seasonal uptick in the past week. Also, Q3 reporting season concluded with Sveafastigheter and SBB Norden releasing their results. Finally, Kojamo announced the appointment of its new CEO. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.34% for 2024e and 4.88% for 2025e.

Moody's Ratings places the ratings of Citycon OYJ on review for downgr...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's)  has today placed on review for downgrade the Ba1 long-term corporate family rating (CFR),  Ba3 junior subordinated rating of Citycon OYJ ("Citycon") and concurrently the backed senior unsecured MTN program rating rated (P)Ba1 and the Ba1 rated backed senior unsecured bonds...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Transactions, CMD and halted DPS

This week Balder, Citycon and SBB announced divestments, Public Property Invest was assigned an IG rating by Fitch, and Corem hosted its CMD. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.45% for 2024e and 5.01% for 2025e.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
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