While the Q1 raw materials cost headwind was worse than expected and not yet offset by price rises, still good execution on cost savings and positive temporary items helped. Given the weak Consumer Staples universe, Essity trading at a 10% premium to Kimberly Clark, and management’s outlook of a worsening raw materials cost headwind and price increases in Q1 having their full effect in H2e, we remain neutral on the stock – we thus reiterate our HOLD and SEK240 target price.
In our view, Essity faces the continued challenge of raw material headwinds not being fully offset by price rises, looking at Q1 developments (results due 27 April at 08:00am CET), countering the positive contribution from BSN Medical and cost efficiency moves in the quarter. With the shares still in neutral territory in terms of valuation and potential upside, we reiterate our HOLD recommendation and SEK240 target price.
While the Q4 raw material cost headwind was worse than expected, continued good execution on cost savings and positive temporary items balanced. Given the weak Consumer Staples universe and as Essity is trading at a premium to Kimberly Clark, we remain in neutral territory regarding the valuation and potential upside. Thus we reiterate our HOLD recommendation and have adjusted our target price to SEK240 (235) allowing for a move of the valuation base to 2019–2020e.
Raw material headwinds not fully compensated by price increases poses a continued challenge for Essity looking at Q3 developments (results due on 26 October), offsetting the positive contribution from BSN Medical and cost efficiency moves in the quarter. We reiterate our HOLD recommendation while we have trimmed our target price to SEK230 (240) after lowering our 2017–2019e EPS (by 2–6%) and generally weak sector performances.
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