Sampo reported somewhat softer Q1 results than we had expected, with a ~3%-points miss on the combined ratio after adjusting for run-off gains, and 2% lower premiums than we and consensus had forecast. While we view the miss on the combined ratio as a temporary effect of a stronger negative impact from the harsh winter weather than we had forecast, the weaker than expected premiums growth in If… has contributed to us lowering 2019–2020e EPS by c1%. We have also trimmed our target price to EU...
We expect the Nordic non-life insurers’ Q1 results to reveal a general negative impact following relatively harsh winter weather in Q1 versus previous years. Examples of 90-year snow depth records being broken indicate increased claims frequency in the quarter, while sluggish equity markets together with rising interest rates are likely to weigh on investment returns, leaving reported EPS below normalised levels. We maintain our HOLD recommendations on the stocks covered; Gjensidige remains ou...
Sampo reported strong Q4 results with a 6% higher than expected DPS of EUR2.6 and a ~3%-points beat on the combined ratio. We have raised our 2018–2020e EPS estimates by ~1% on the report. We have also raised our 2018–2020e DPS estimates by 4–6% on the higher than expected dividend. We have increased our SOTP valuation from EUR46 to EUR48 with If.. trading at a 18x P/E. As the stock is trading at a 2018e P/E of 16x and a P/B of 1.9x, and a c6% 2017e dividend yield, we believe Sampo is fair...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.