We keep our BUY recommendation but have cut our target price to SEK285 (300) following the Q1 report. As expected, cost inflation is hitting Electrolux; although we believe it will be able to offset this, price rises are lagging cost inflation somewhat. This should result in falling earnings in Q2e, but solid earnings growth in H2e.
Appliance makers are not in fashion as raw materials prices are heading higher, and we expect Electrolux to raise its raw materials cost guidance for 2018. However, our proprietary selling price study shows clearly higher selling prices in North America, which is why we believe cost inflation should be offset and still see earnings growth in both Q1 and 2018. We reiterate our BUY but have lowered our target price to SEK300 (320) ahead of the Q1 report (due at 08:00 CET on 27 April).
Q4 earnings beat consensus expectations, mainly explained by 30% organic growth YOY for Latin America and considerably higher EBIT for the division than expected. We expect price increases in Latin America and North America to further support profitability in 2018e, and believe that Electrolux should be able achieve EBIT margins above 6%. On the back of higher estimates, we have raised our target price to SEK320 (310) and keep our BUY recommendation.
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