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Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Becoming more innovative; valuation increasingly att...

China’s healthcare industry has experienced a slump in stock prices due to weak market sentiment. Our channel check indicates that the industry is generally in good shape and has become increasingly innovative. Most healthcare companies are improving their operating efficiency and expecting to generate stronger revenue and/or earnings growth in 2024. The recent sell-off has made valuations more attractive. BUY on weakness. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: A brighter outlook in 2024.

Easing pressure from the anti-corruption campaign will result in stronger sales growth for medical products. Moreover, after years of persistent R&D efforts, many Chinese biopharmaceutical companies now expect a fruitful year of innovation in 2024. In addition, potential US interest rate cuts will also provide liquidity for R&D investment and support the development of biotech and CRO segments in 2024. We expect a brighter outlook in 2024. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Easing pressure from anti-corruption campaign, long-...

Most healthcare companies reported satisfactory 1H23 results while revising down revenue growth to factor in delays in some academic conferences and hospital procurement in 3Q23. As pressure from the anti-corruption campaign is easing, we believe sales activities of medical products will resume soon and that long-term growth outlook remains intact. We prefer companies with positive long-term outlooks and attractive valuations. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

MicroPort Scientific Corporation (853 HK): 1H23: Results beat; anti-co...

MicroPort reported revenue growth of 19.2% yoy to reach US$482.6m, and net loss declined by 17.9% yoy to Rmb162.6m in 1H23. The results are better than our fullyear growth estimates for 2023. MicroPort guided revenue to grow at approximately 25% yoy (excluding forex impact) and significant decrease in net loss in 2023. We are relatively conservative as the anti-corruption campaign clouds its growth outlook for 2H23. Maintain SELL and target price of HK$9.50.

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+16)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Terence Chiu
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, September 4, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Further moderation in manufacturing contraction; policy support necessary Sector Aviation Airlines still loss-making but improving; expecting a turnaround in 2H23. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Internet China e-commerce seeking growth through international market expansion. Property Demand-side policy easing more strongly than expected; top pick: COLI. Results Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb6.11/Target: Rmb7.10) 1H23: Below expectations; gearing up for the grow...

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+14)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, September 01, 2023

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines still loss-making but improving; expecting a turnaround in 2H23. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$26.40/Target: HK$39.30): 1H23: In line; expecting a smooth price hike. Estun Automation (002747 CH/BUY/Rmb23.23/Target: Rmb31.50): 2Q23: Earnings impacted by forex loss, but robot business remains solid. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/SELL/HK$9.30/Target: HK$5.20): 2Q23: Results rebound qoq, but 1H23 earnings still fall short of tar...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Underpenetrated ICL market in China; leading leading...

ICL is a promising segment of medical services. China’s ICL market had a low penetration rate of about 6% in 2021 vs developed countries’ 35-60%. The roll-out of DRG programmes continues to accelerate the outsourcing of testing services from hospitals. The accelerating post-pandemic market consolidation may also benefit leading ICL players. Our channel check shows that leading players (KingMed and Dian) expect to deliver steady growth in 2023 non-COVID-19-related revenue. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare - Regaining Strength

Now that the business environment has returned to normal, most healthcare companies expect higher visibility of revenue and earnings prospects in 2023. Medical services and consumable producers will likely benefit the most and see robust revenue expansion. CRO/CDMO firms may become less appealing to investors given their slower revenue growth and lower margin trend. Biotech firms have made significant R&D and commercial achievements, but will still face significant funding challenges in 2023. Ma...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

MicroPort Scientific Corporation (853 HK): 2022: Results miss expectat...

MicroPort reported revenue growth of 8.0% yoy and a net loss of US$436.5m in 2022, up from 2021’s loss of US$276.5m, missing our and market estimates. MicroPort has guided revenue growth of 20-25% yoy and significant improvement in operating efficiency in 2023, while we believe that possible GPO tenders and further weakening of global economic conditions could continue to cloud its growth outlook for the next few years. Maintain SELL with a lower target price of HK$14.50.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+15)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Jessie Guo Yuting
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kate Luang
  • Kelvin Chau Siu Pong
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Sunny Chen
  • Terence Chiu
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Zhifeng Shen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, April 3, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Points to further recovery, but employment still soft. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$8.97/Target: HK$11.50) 2022: Below expectations; recognition of RMB2,045m in impairment provision. China Merchants Port (144 HK/BUY/HK$12.04/Target: HK$13.48) 2022: Core earnings a slight beat; expecting earnings decline in 2023. Maintain BUY. China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK/BUY/HK$18.96/Target: HK$27.14) 2022: Results below expectations; targeting 20% sale...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+17)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Jessie Guo Yuting
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Philip Wong
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Zhifeng Shen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, April 3, 2023

GREATER CHINA Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$8.97/Target: HK$11.50) :2022: Below expectations; recognition of Rmb2,045m in impairment provisions. China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK/BUY/HK$18.96/Target: HK$27.14): 2022: Results below expectations; targeting 20% sales growth in 2023 with strengthened landbank. China Resources Gas (1193 HK/BUY/HK$28.95/Target: HK$35.10): 2022: Below expectations; gas shortages in 4Q22 weighed on margins. China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp (601888...

Greater China Research Team ... (+6)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - December 2022

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls: The positive sentiment on the economic reopening may carry over into December and limit the extent of any consolidation. We are adding more beneficiaries of the reopening and policy easing. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformed The JCI by 3.7%: Our picks: ROTI, BBRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Rejoining The Global Equity Uptrend: Nov 22 Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI. Dec 22 picks: ...

FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
AMATA AMATA CORP
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
1155 MALAYAN BANKING BHD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
SMGR PT SEMEN INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
AP AP THAILAND
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
PTI TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA TBK PT (ADR)
853 MICROPORT SCIENTIFIC CORP
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
MAHB MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
3690 MEITUAN DIANPING 3690 HK
SCB-R SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
UMSH UMS HOLDINGS LTD
2359 WUXI APPTEC CO LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER HOLDINGS CO LTD
ONEE THE ONE ENTERPRISE PCL
CLI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
9961 TRIP.COM GROUP LTD
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

China Strategy Alpha Picks: December conviction calls

Contrary to our expectations of continued volatility, Chinese equities put up a strong performance in November, buoyed by hopes of an economic reopening. The positive sentiment may carry over into December and limit the extent of any consolidation. So for December, we are adding more beneficiaries of the reopening and policy easing.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Effective Omicron-targeting vaccines expected to pav...

China has further eased its COVID-19 policy and highlighted a potential new plan to accelerate vaccination coverage. We believe effective Omicron-targeting vaccines will pave the way for China’s gradual reopening. CSPC’s mRNA vaccine is likely to win EUA approval by end-22. Moreover, the relaxation supports a better revenue and earnings growth visibility for most healthcare companies in 2H22 and 2023. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Greater China Research Team ... (+6)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - November 2022

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls: Equities would stay volatile in November, as reopening hopes play out against falling global dollar liquidity. We keep SELLs on our list, and add defensives and reopening beneficiaries. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Another Month Of Outperformance: Our picks: ROTI, BBRI, BBNI, SMGR, TLKM, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For A More Risk-On Sentiment: Oct 22 Alpha Picks underperformed the FBMKLCI. Nov 22 p...

FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
AMATA AMATA CORP
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
1155 MALAYAN BANKING BHD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
SMGR PT SEMEN INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
AP AP THAILAND
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
PTI TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA TBK PT (ADR)
853 MICROPORT SCIENTIFIC CORP
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
MAHB MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
3690 MEITUAN DIANPING 3690 HK
SCB-R SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
2359 WUXI APPTEC CO LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER HOLDINGS CO LTD
ONEE THE ONE ENTERPRISE PCL
CLI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
9961 TRIP.COM GROUP LTD
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

China Strategy Alpha Picks: November conviction calls

Chinese equities should remain volatile in November as we see hopes of easing pandemic control measures playing out against a backdrop of falling global dollar liquidity. We add a combination of defensive plays and beneficiaries of reopening. We add CR Beer, CSPC, Meituan, PICC P&C, and WuXi AppTec to our BUY list; and add MicroPort Scientific to our SELL list.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Outperformers in a possible global recession.

GPO tenders and NRDL price negotiation have become common practices of China’s healthcare industry, for which companies are already well prepared for and hoping to gain market share by tender wins. Although the US’ tightening policy have depressed share prices, we believe firms with leading market positions in the subsectors and strong ability to withstand risks and deliver future returns will outperform in the possible global recession in 2023. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

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