A director at BP bought 12,000 shares at 4.815USD and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing Clo...
Swiss-based Accelleron was formed from the spin-off of ABB’s highly profitable turbocharger division in 2022. We view the share as a promising investment on 1/ market leadership in an attractive niche, 2/ about ~40% ROCE, 3/ conversion of ~80% of EBITDA into cash, leading to fast deleveraging, and a solid base for shareholder remuneration (75% pay out), and 4/ strong long-term visibility linked to a ~75% service share, the bulk of which is recurring. Despite an already strong stock pe...
>Slowdown in demand confirmed for 2025 - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has marginally lifted its demand growth estimates by 60 kb/d to +920 kb/d for 2024 but maintains unchanged its 2025 estimate at +1 Mb/d. This level compares with +1.2 Mb/d on average over 2000-2019 and a record of +2 Mb/d in 2023. This slowdown can be explained by the economic slowdown and the deployment of renewable energies. Chinese demand has slowed sharply for th...
>Le ralentissement de la demande se confirme en 2025 - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel et révise légèrement à la hausse ses estimations de croissance de la demande de 60 kb/j à +920 kb/j pour 2024 mais les maintient inchangées à +1 Mb/j pour 2025. Ce niveau se compare à +1.2 Mb/j en moyenne en 2000-2019 et un record de +2 Mb/j en 2023. Ce ralentissement s’explique par le ralentissement économique et le déploiement des énergies renouvelables. La demande ...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.80 per share: Another positive operating update – The work-overs of two new existing wells have added 441 boe/d after a combined 20 m of previously unperforated reservoir pay was accessed. The first well is producing 410 boe/d. It was previously shut-in. The second well is producing an extra 31 boe/d (+65%) and continues to clean-up. With a total cost of 100 wells on Condor’s fields includ...
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
>Q3 results 10% above forecasts thanks to gas and low carbon - EBIT was 10.7% above the consensus but down 17.7% q-o-q, one of the weakest performances since the pandemic. Adjusted net profit was also 10.6% above forecasts with the effective tax rate at 42% as expected. Earnings at the gas and low carbon activity provided the positive surprise of the quarter, up 25.2% on a sequential basis and 16% above forecasts, benefiting from higher realised prices and lower amor...
>Résultats T3 10% supérieurs grâce au gaz & low carbon - L’EBIT ressort 10.7% supérieur au consensus mais en baisse de 17.7% QoQ, un des plus faibles depuis la pandémie. Le résultat net ajusté ressort lui aussi 10.6% supérieur aux attentes avec un taux d’imposition effectif comme attendu à 42%. Le résultat de Gaz and Low Carbon est la bonne surprise du trimestre, il est ressorti en hausse de 25.2% en séquentiel et 16% supérieur aux attentes profitant de meilleurs pri...
>A robust cash generation supporting a dividend increase and confirmation of the SBB - Adjusted EBIT came in at $ 5.22bn, 10.7% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: $ 4.62bn, consensus: $ 4.72bn). The group generated net adjusted profit of $ 2.26bn, 10.6% above estimates (ODDO BHF: $ 1.89bn; consensus: $ 2.05bn) and down 17.7% q-o-q with an effective tax rate of 42%. Results by division were as follows:Gas and low carbon was the pleasant surprise and came in at $ 1.75...
>A robust cash generation supporting a dividend increase and confirmation of the SBB - Adjusted EBIT came in at $ 5.22bn, 10.7% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: $ 4.62bn, consensus: $ 4.72bn). The group generated net adjusted profit of $ 2.26bn, 10.6% above estimates (ODDO BHF: $ 1.89bn; consensus: $ 2.05bn) and down 17.7% q-o-q with an effective tax rate of 42%. Results by division were as follows:Gas and low carbon was the pleasant surprise and came in at $ 1.75...
We measured the impact of the contribution from Michel Barnier’s exceptional tax on 88 stocks exposed to France. Some 17 of them would experience a (negative) impact on their EPS of more than 4% on average over 2024 and 2025: LDC (-8.3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7.9%), ADP (-7.9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6.9%), Derichebourg (-6.3%), Hermès (-5.6%), Safran (-5.6%), Bouygues (-5.6%), M6 (-5.2%), Thales (-5%), TF1 (-4.9%), Nexans (-4.9%), Vinci (-4.7%), Compagnie des Alpes (...
We measured the impact of the contribution from Michel Barnier’s exceptional tax on 88 stocks exposed to France. Some 17 of them would experience a (negative) impact on their EPS of more than 4% on average over 2024 and 2025: LDC (-8.3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7.9%), ADP (-7.9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6.9%), Derichebourg (-6.3%), Hermès (-5.6%), Safran (-5.6%), Bouygues (-5.6%), M6 (-5.2%), Thales (-5%), TF1 (-4.9%), Nexans (-4.9%), Vinci (-4.7%), Compagnie des Alpes (...
Nous avons mesuré l’impact de la contribution exceptionnelle Barnier sur 88 valeurs exposées à la France. 17 d’entre elles auraient un impact (négatif) sur leurs BPA de plus de 4% en moyenne sur 2024 et 2025 : LDC (-8,3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7,9%) ADP (-7,9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6,9%), Derichebourg (-6,3%), Hermès (-5,6%), Safran (-5,6%), Bouygues (-5,6%), M6 (-5,2%), Thalès (-5%), TF1 (-4,9%), Nexans (-4,9%), Vinci (-4,7%), Compagnie des Alpes (-4,4%), FDJ (-4%). - ...
Nous avons mesuré l’impact de la contribution exceptionnelle Barnier sur 88 valeurs exposées à la France. 17 d’entre elles auraient un impact (négatif) sur leurs BPA de plus de 4% en moyenne sur 2024 et 2025 : LDC (-8,3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7,9%) ADP (-7,9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6,9%), Derichebourg (-6,3%), Hermès (-5,6%), Safran (-5,6%), Bouygues (-5,6%), M6 (-5,2%), Thalès (-5%), TF1 (-4,9%), Nexans (-4,9%), Vinci (-4,7%), Compagnie des Alpes (-4,4%), FDJ (-4%). - ...
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