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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ArcelorMittal: 4Q24 EBITDA beats by 8%, strong year-end CF, dividend +10%. Ayvens: Still in neutral. BAM: Preview - non-res UK and possible share buyback. IBA: Signs first P1 system order in the South Asian region with AIG in Hyderabad, India. Kinepolis: Reasonable start to 2025 for US/Canada and France box office, attendance. Lotus Bakeries: Another strong year for Biscoff. Ontex: Post Christmas Turkey

 PRESS RELEASE

Solid Q4 & FY 2024 Results - Delivering on the roadmap*

Solid Q4 & FY 2024 Results - Delivering on the roadmap* Fourth quarter and full year 2024 results Leasing and Services margins Underlying margins1 stood at 541 bps in Q4 2024 vs. 507 bps in Q4 2023. Margins stood at EUR 675 million, up +44.9% vs. EUR 466 million in Q4 2023. For 2024, margins stood at EUR 2,697 million, corresponding to 532 bps of earning assets on an underlying basis.     Used Car Sales (UCS) result per unit stood at EUR 1,2672 excluding the impacts of depreciation adjustments, with a gradual decrease vs. Q3 2024 (EUR 1,420) amplified by unfavourable seasonality. UCS r...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Ayvens : Q3 2024 postview: questions on growth...

>A negative reaction on the stock, which makes sense in our view… - Following the Q3 publication, Ayvens’ share price lost c.1%, an appropriate reaction in our view. Granted, not everything in the publication was negative, and areas for satisfaction can be found, but we see more reasons for disappointment than satisfaction particularly looking at the components of specific lines rather than the consolidated result.The two biggest disappointments in our vi...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Ayvens : Postview T3 2024 : des questions sur la croissance…

>Réaction négative du titre, cohérente selon nous… - Suite à la publication de son T3, le titre Ayvens a reculé de c. 1%, une réaction cohérente, selon nous. Certes tout n’est pas négatif dans cette publication, et des motifs de satisfaction peuvent être trouvés, mais nous voyons davantage de motifs de déception que de satisfaction en particulier en analysant les constituants de certaines lignes plutôt que le total consolidé.Les deux plus grosses déceptio...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Ayvens : Optically in line...but details that raise questions

>Optically in line, but underlying elements with gaps - Q3 appears to be line broadly speaking, but with positive and negative gaps for some lines.Fleet: at 3,332 vehicles, down -1.6% over 1 year, and -1.2% on a sequential basis, of which -1.2% for the fleet financed on a sequential basis (and -0.9% in fleet management). This is beyond the unexpected downturn (we and the consensus were expecting a slight increase to better reflect the commercial determination), ...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Ayvens : En ligne optiquement… mais certains détails interrogent

>En ligne optiquement, mais des sous-jacents avec des écarts - Le T3 apparait en ligne au global, mais avec des écarts positifs et négatifs sur certaines lignes.Flotte : à 3 332 véhicules, en recul de 1.6% sur 1 an, et de 1.2% en séquentiel, dont -1.2% sur la flotte financée en séquentielle (et -0.9% sur le fleet management), au-dela d’une baisse non anticipée (le css et nous attendions une légère hausse pour traduire davantage de volontarisme commercial), expliq...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: 3Q24 preview - no signs of recovery expected. AB InBev: All to play for in the final quarter. Arcadis: A mixed bag. Ayvens: Struggling to get out of neutral. dsm-firmenich: Taking your vitamins is healthy. D'Ieteren: Belron equity at €23.5bn, EV €32.2bn in minority shareholder transaction. Euronext: 3Q24 and CMD Preview. Flow Traders: Bumper harvest. Heijmans: 3Q24 as expected, keeps FY outlook in place. Proximus: Key politician pushing for major governance shake up. ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Robust Q3 & 9M 2024 Results(1) - Integration on track

Robust Q3 & 9M 2024 Results(1) - Integration on track Third quarter and nine months 2024 results Leasing and Services margins Underlying margins1 stood at 521 bps in Q3 2024 vs. 539 bps in Q2 2024. Margins stood at EUR 647 million, down by -6.8% vs. Q2 2024, notably impacted by a EUR -66 million swing in mark-to-market of derivatives and breakage revenues. For 9M 2024, margins stood at EUR 2,047 million, corresponding to 530 bps on an underlying basis    Used Car Sales (UCS) result per unit stood at EUR 1,4202 excluding the impacts of reduction in depreciation costs and Purchase Price Al...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Ayvens : Decent Q2, particularly on opex management, some one-offs to ...

>Pretty good Q2 figures on opex, the rest is close to expectations, margins somewhat helped by one-offs Q2 2024 - For H1, Ayvens reported pretty good-quality figures, with two points to highlight.Leasing & service margin: broadly in line but helped by non-recurrent items for c. € 28m (novation/breakage = end of some contracts that crystallise the mark-to-market effects, which are positive in this instance). These factors are likely to be on a smaller scale over t...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Ayvens : Un T2 correct, en particulier sur la gestion des Opex, un peu...

>T2 2024 plutôt bon sur le front des Opex, le reste proche des attentes, la marge un peu aidée par de l’exceptionnel - Au titre de son S1, Ayvens publie des résultats plutôt de bonne facture, avec deux éléments que nous retiendrons.La marge de leasing & service : plutôt en ligne, mais aidée par des éléments non-récurrents pour c. 28 M€ (novation/breakage = fin de certains contrats sur lesquels sont cristallisés les mark-to-market, positifs en l’occurrence). Ces é...

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