We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, SACYR, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO - SOCIMI. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Alemania celebrará elecciones en febrero El contagio desde Asia junto con el incremento en...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, REAL ESTATE SECTOR, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Germany to hold elections in February The contagion from Asia, along with the increased geopolitical risk, dragged down European stock markets. In the STOXX 600, only Technology ended in gree...
Neinor Homes upsizes its Green Bond to €325mn on strong demand with €1,300mn orderbook - 4x oversubscribed Neinor’s bond issuance saw strong investor demand upsizing it to €325mn while also improving Neinor’s overall corporate cost of debt to 5.875% (from 6.5%) and extending maturities to 5.25 years (from 2 years)The use of proceeds is mainly focused on the refinancing of the existing corporate debt (€175mn) and the remaining proceeds (€150mn) will be allocated to growth opportunitiesEven after the upsizing and cost optimization, investors demand has largely surpassed the offer size bein...
Actualizamos P.O. por mejores perspectivas sectoriales y negocio de co-inversión. SOBREPONDERAR. Hemos revisado al alza nuestro P.O. un +19% hasta 17,14 euros/acc (potencial +18%) tras añadir a nuestro modelo los últimos acuerdos en el negocio de co-inversión, revisar al alza nuestras estimaciones de margen de los próximos años, ante las buenas perspectivas del sector y realizar el roll-over del modelo a dic’25. Reiteramos nuestra recomendación de SOBREPONDERAR. Tenemos una visión positiva sobre...
NEWS SUMMARY: IAG, NEINOR, SACYR, TALGO. The earnings season kicked off to a good start It was a positive week for most European indices, driven by the earnings release of large banks in the US last Friday, with the Ibex closing above 11,700 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600, most sectors closed with gains (15/20), led by Pharma and Insurance vs. the bigger losses of Basic Resources and consumer Goods. On the macro side, in the US, September’s production prices climbed more than expected and the U...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IAG, NEINOR, SACYR, TALGO. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La campaña de Rdos. empezó con buen pie Terminó una semana positiva para la mayoría de las bolsas europeas, alentadas el viernes por la presentación de Rdos. de algunos...
A director at Neinor Homes S.A. sold 10,327 shares at 15.010EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 61/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
We hosted our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024, virtually. In total, 63 companies were present. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on day 2. - >ACS (=): good operating momentum maintained, Abertis and its dividends on the front page - Atresmedia (=): Q3 should be challenging but outlook reiterated - Befesa (=): zinc prices held up well, offsetting the negative impact of maintenance on Q3 volumes - CaixaBank ...
The rate cut carried out and yet to come (ECB: -125bp to -150bp to come by end-2025e) is a real driver for listed real estate and creates the conditions enabling it to outperform. In this context, we are lifting 23 target prices for the 42 stocks covered. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing are now our Top Picks. Aedifica (Outperform vs Neutral) should also benefit. Lastly, we are lowering Care Property to Neutral and SFL to Underperform. - >...
La baisse de taux actée et à venir (BCE : -125 à 150 pb à venir d’ici fin 2025e) agit comme un véritable catalyseur pour l’immobilier côté et crée les conditions lui permettant de surperformer. Dans ce cadre, nous relevons 23 objectifs de cours sur 42 valeurs suivies. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing constituent désormais nos top picks. Aedifica (Surperformance vs Neutre) devrait également en bénéficier. Enfin, nous abaissons Care Property à N...
NEWS SUMMARY: NEINOR HOMES, OHLA, SOLARIA. IBEX on the cusp of 11,800 points The session in Europe was driven in part by the positive opening in the US, which continues its record trend and seeks to hit a new record high. In the STOXX 600, and after strong sector rotation during the session, Autos and Retail rose the most, with Pharma and Banks being the worst relative performers. On the macro side, in Spain the Govt. will raise GDP’24 growth to 2.7% from the previous 2.4%, in line with the 2.8...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NEINOR HOMES, OHLA, SOLARIA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS, DHL GROUP, UNICREDIT. El Ibex se queda a las puertas de los 11.800 puntos Jornada europea de menos a más, impulsada en parte por la apertura positiva en EE.UU. que continúa su tendencia de récord y busca renovar máximos históricos. Así en el STOXX 600, y tras bastante rotación sectorial durante la sesión, Autos y Retail fueron los sectores que más subieron, frente a Farma y Bancos que tuvieron el pe...
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, CAF, CHANGES IBEX, NEINOR HOMES. IBEX close to 11,300 points It was a positive session in Europe, with the US inflation data showing no surprises and where the IBEX led the gains following Inditex’s solid results. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Retail (driven by Inditex’s results) and Technology posted the biggest gains, whereas Real Estate (the second-best sector over the past three months) and Consumer Goods were the worst performers. On the macro side, in the US August’s g...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS, CAF, CAMBIOS IBEX 35, NEINOR. EUROPA: BAYER, UNICREDIT. El Ibex roza los 11.300 puntos Jornada positiva en Europa, con un dato de inflación en EE.UU. que no ofreció sorpresas y donde el Ibex lideró los avances tras los buenos resultados de Inditex. Así, en el STOXX 600 Retail (impulsado por los resultados de Inditex) y Tecnología presentaron las mayores ganancias mientras que Inmobiliario (el segundo mejor sector en los últimos 3 meses) y B. ...
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, NEINOR HOMES, OHLA, TALGO. Fear of a recession leads to profit taking After an extremely bearish opening dragged down by the sharp drops in Japan, during the evening the stock markets reeled in their losses following the release of the services ISM in the US that helped calm the markets regarding the macroeconomic situation and cooling expectations of an extraordinary rate cut. On the macro side, in Spain June’s industrial output recovered more than expected. In the euro ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, NEINOR HOMES, OHLA, TALGO. EUROPA: AIRBUS, BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El temor a la recesión desata las tomas de beneficios Tras una apertura fuertemente bajista lastrada por las fuertes correcciones en Jap...
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