AI in 2027; Intel’s turnaround; TSMC in 2026; Mobileye; Ericsson. Tech...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 4 names we over the last two weeks, follow the link below.

Mobileye 4Q25: 2026 reset, growth re-accelerates from 2027. Buy, $17

Mobileye reported 4Q25 yesterday.

Tesla in 2026: The dawn of Robotaxis. Top Pick.

The robotaxi market is at an inflection point, with Waymo, Tesla, and others expanding commercial operations this year. Tesla is best positioned to lead this transition. It benefits from three structural advantages versus peers: the lowest unit cost, a flexible supply base that avoids diminishing capital returns, and a massive fleet that accelerates learning and product improvement.

CES 2026: Nvidia the latest to validate Tesla's ADAS dominance

At CES yesterday, Nvidia unveiled the “Alpamayo” model family and development tools designed to speed up reasoning-driven autonomous vehicle deployment. This note updates our view following Mobileye's major US win and Nvidia's "Alpamayo" announcement.

Mobileye’s US Win: This validates further Tesla’s Strategy (A Decade L...

Mobileye released additional details this morning on the major design win announced during last earnings, with a US-based OEM for Surround ADAS.

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 3Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 242 pages of detailed analysis on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:

Waymo’s latest datapoints: 10x growth in 2 years? Implications.

Mobileye 3Q25: new surround ADAS win encouraging, but overall momentum...

Mobileye reported 3Q25 yesterday.

Robotaxis: Why isn’t Waymo ramping faster?

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 229 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides. Please follow the link below for more details.

2026 AI Capex, HBM Pricing, Auto Semi Recovery, and more.

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 22 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Mobileye 2Q25: no incremental visibility on commercial traction. We re...

Mobileye reported 2Q25 yesterday.

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 237 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Autos & industrials, OpenAI/io deal, NVLink Fusion, AI cloud & capex, ...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 5 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Tier 2 AI capex, PC pull-ins, Cisco downgrade. Our weekly wrap-up.

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 14 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Auto/Industrial recovery; Enterprise IT slowdown; Chinese semicap; Rob...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 29 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Autos & Industrials, AI re-platforming, HBM, Tesla, Intel, LAM, and mo...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 21 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Mobileye 1Q25: legacy business healing, SuperVision adoption slow, imp...

Tariffs – How would a recession affect our coverage?

The tariffs announced by the Trump administration in the last two weeks have resulted in major swings in the stock market and broader concerns regarding the global economy. We developed a framework to understand the situation and interpret its daily evolution last week and follow up today with an initial perspective on potential macro implications.

Mobileye win at Volkswagen: Passenger ADAS flying lower, not higher, a...

Mobileye announced this morning its first design win for Surround ADAS: Volkswagen group. See the attached article for key facts, and our take.