Rental units still holding Peab back

A tale of several cities

Pre-quarter material published

Valuation has come up, we move to HOLD

Leading indicators

Looks better

Low quality beat and lower capex

Heads-up for Q2 report 22 July

Lowering growth and capex?

Non-rec hurts 2025e earnings

Norway: Best ideas Q2'25

Peab AB: 1 director

A director at Peab AB bought 1,273,500 shares at 85.000SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...

Peab (Hold, TP: SEK85.00) - Q1 EBIT broadly as expected

Peab reported a Q1 seasonal EBIT loss (as expected), driven by winter-related effects in Industry. We have lowered our 2025e EPS due to the low tax rate in Q1, despite a broadly in-line underlying performance. We have slightly raised our revenue and EPS forecasts for 2026–2027 by c1%. We continue to see better risk/reward in peers and reiterate our HOLD and SEK85 target price.

Fine results from Civil

Norsk Hydro (Sell, TP: NOK55.00) - Q1 shipments delayed to Q2

Norsk Hydro’s Q1 results fell somewhat short of market expectations (EBITDA 4% below consensus) and it cut its Extrusions guidance. A large share of the miss appears to reflect late shipments in the bauxite and alumina (B&A) segment following heavy rainfall, which should mean higher volumes in Q2. We have made only minor changes (-1–0%) to our 2026–2027e EPS. We continue to see downside risk to aluminium prices, and reiterate our SELL and NOK55 target price.

Muted estimate changes

Weak deliveries and higher cost

Heads-up for Q1 report 29 April

Favouring peers

Mixed upside potential, despite market recovery expectations

Pent-up demand and falling interest rates remain the backbone for newbuild recovery expectations. However, as the recovery has not yet started, property developers screen as the most attractive long-term, but visibility remains mixed. Diversified construction companies are more attractive on near-term P/Es, although many seem to be fully valued on solid share-price performance over the past six months. We maintain a neutral sector view; NCC and Skanska are our top picks.