reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; TPE PW; ENA PW; WPL PW; CZ Macro; MTELEKOM HB; BR...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: January 2026 – cold comfort for gas
Brent crude oil prices have finally stopped falling, bouncing by USD 3.1/bbl in January 2026. In December 2025, a small increase in oil production from OPEC was offset by declines in Russia and Kazakhstan. The WOOD benchmark refining margin rose slightly, but company margins declined. Olefin prices increased, while naphtha prices were stagnant, bringing some respite to petrochemicals.
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
INF INFOTEL SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
AUB AUBAY SA
DSV DSV PANALPINA A/S
ATE ALTEN SA
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
COK CANCOM SE
BC8 BECHTLE AG
ADN1 ADESSO AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
ALSN ALSO HOLDING AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
ECONT ECONOCOM GROUP SE CLASS D
REY REPLY S.P.A.
AEIN ALLGEIER HOLDING AG
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
NA9 NAGARRO
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
GSK GSK PLC
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ATO ATOS SE
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
INF INFOTEL SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
AUB AUBAY SA
DSV DSV PANALPINA A/S
ATE ALTEN SA
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
COK CANCOM SE
BC8 BECHTLE AG
ADN1 ADESSO AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
ALSN ALSO HOLDING AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
ECONT ECONOCOM GROUP SE CLASS D
REY REPLY S.P.A.
AEIN ALLGEIER HOLDING AG
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
NA9 NAGARRO
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
GSK GSK PLC
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ATO ATOS SE
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; Polish media; DVL PW; SNP RO; BELA GA; Turkish aut...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
- Jovan Sikimic
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BN DANONE SA
BAER JULIUS BAER GRUPPE AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DEMANT DEMANT A/S
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
SHEL SHELL PLC
SGSN SGS SA
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BN DANONE SA
BAER JULIUS BAER GRUPPE AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DEMANT DEMANT A/S
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
SHEL SHELL PLC
SGSN SGS SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; TEN PW; MUR PW; MONET CP...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
R22 R22
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
VRC VERCOM SA
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Polish Banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Ba...
We keep our positive bias on the Polish banks, although the upside is melting away, with the continuous positive share price performance. The upside left for our median 12M PTs lands at 17%+, just enough to keep our marginally positive stance on the sector. The WIG Banks index has returned c.45%+ in the LTM, mostly a function of a multiples expansion, as the 2025E median EPS change was almost zero in the LTM and the 2026E EPS saw a median cut of 10% in the LTM, driven mostly by the change in the...
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
H2O ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SPLUS HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON SHOPPER PARK PLUS ZRT
ZAB THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PE RO ZABKA GROUP
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; CCC PW; ALE PW; INPST NA; BDX PW; SPL PW; SNP RO;...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY26 – broadly in line NEUTRAL • CCC: profit warning – 4Q25 EBITDA down 50-60% yoy, FY25E guidance missed by 15% NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro raises delivery fees by c.4%, effective as of 2 March NEUTRAL • Budimex: extension of strategic options review process for FBSerwis until April 2026 NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q25E preview (due on 4 February) • OMV Petrom: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Titan: EUR 350m bond at 3.5% to fund M&A and...
- Research Team
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Jonathan Lamb
Orlen: what a year that was (downgraded to HOLD)
We have downgraded Orlen to HOLD (from Buy), with a new price target (PT) of PLN 102.7 (from PLN 73.3), offering upside of -2.2%. For Orlen, 2025 was an annus mirabilis and the share price broke new records, so we see limited upside from here. Gas prices fell in 2025, lowering our expectations for upstream and supply EBITDA. Capex in 2025E was below plan, but we expect negative FCF in 2026-27E. Acquisitions and discoveries keep Orlen’s upstream segment on a growing trajectory, while the first of...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BCG LN; KRU PW; BFT PW; SNP RO
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: the perfect storm cannot last forever (stays BUY) • Kruk: plans to change organisational structure NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: Poland's antitrust watchdog brings charges against the company NEGATIVE • OMV Petrom: State-owned Bulgarian Energy Holding to become a partner in Han Asparuh offshore project POSITIVE
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Macro; MUR PW; PCO PW; XTB PW; PZU PW; CTPNV NA; WIZZ L...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: rates unchanged, and some positive news • Murapol: sells 767 and hands over 1,286 units in 4Q25 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1Q26 revenues growth eases to 4% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • XTB S.A.: over 250k new clients in 4Q25 in sight NEUTRAL • PZU/Bank Pekao: merger uncertain even by end-4Q27E, according to the Minister of State Assets NEUTRAL • CTP: prices EUR 500m 4Y bond at 3.4%; leases space in Amsterdam to Crisp POSITIVE • Wizz Air: may grow capacity by ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KRU PW; SPL PW; EBS AV; CAR PW; DHS HB; CCOLA TI; EME Macr...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 4Q25 trading update – miss on annual investments, but recoveries strong NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska/Erste Bank: shift of shareholdings finalised as of 9 January NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: December sales increased by 13.6% yoy NEUTRAL • Duna House: strong 4Q KPIs; Czexit; Italy stake raised to 95% POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 trading update and 2026E volume guidance NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-8 January)
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Czech PX in the lead in December
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PRIUA PRIMOCO UAV SE
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TXT PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; MBK PW; SPL PW; CPS PW; MBR PW; CD...
HEADLINES: • Text: preliminary 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – MRR of USD 6.98m (-1.1% qoq and -1.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • PZU/Bank Pekao: delay merger deadline NEGATIVE • mBank: to face PLN 362.1m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: updates market on the impact of sale of 60% stake in Santander Consumer Bank NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: calls EGM for 22 January NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court upholds May ruling on Solorz family succession POSITIVE •...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
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