JET reported a mixed 1Q24 trading update. There was, again, good performance in its core European stronghold, Northern Europe & UK. There was continued weak performance in North America and Southern Europe & Australia. We have small upward revisions to our estimates. We remain positive on the overall investment case as we believe the business is at the inflection point to both grow and improve profitability. In our view, the positives strongly outweigh the negatives, and we reiterate our BUY rat...
Post TKWY and ROO's Q1 figures and ahead of DHER's publication, we note an improving growth trend in Q1. This growth will nevertheless have to rebalance towards orders as out-of-home food is also set to face disinflation this year. The ability to recreate HSD% growth will be the name of the 2024-25
Azelis: Bloomberg report citing M&A interest. BE Semiconductor Industries: 1Q24 preview, focus on order intake. Greenyard: Crème de la Crème acquisition. Just Eat Takeaway.com: Deliveroo reports 1Q24 trading. Melexis: 1Q24 Preview, focus on pricing. NSI: Guidance confirmed, LTV improves, small but interesting investments might come. Sligro: 1Q24 results in line with expectations Vastned: Key €100m single asset disposal achieved
1Q24 GTV decreased by 2% at constant fx to € 6547m (kbcse: € 6519m, css: € 6559m), but was up 3% at constant fx when excluding for N-A, or in line with the +2% to +6% FY24 guidance. Although order volumes of 214.2m came in slightly below expectations (kbcse: 215.1m, css: 216.7m), this was offset by a strong ATV growth 4.5% to € 30.6 per order (kbcse: € 30.3, css: € 30.2m), especially in N-E, the UK & IRE. We are pleased that performance in JET's core geographies continued to improve in 1Q24, eve...
NEXT can claim the leading position in the UK fashion category. Moreover, the company managed the transition from offline to online comparatively well. However, top-line growth should remain at 4% a year until 2026 as the business outside the UK is too small. The operating margin should decrease 40bp to 17.6% on higher wages and general Opex inflation. We initiate coverage with a Neutral rating and a TP of 8,900p (based on a peer group and DCF). - ...
NEXT can claim the leading position in the UK fashion category. Moreover, the company managed the transition from offline to online comparatively well. However, top-line growth should remain at 4% a year until 2026 as the business outside the UK is too small. The operating margin should decrease 40bp to 17.6% on higher wages and general Opex inflation. We initiate coverage with a Neutral rating and a TP of 8,900p (based on a peer group and DCF). - ...
ASML: 1Q24 Results; weak orders but case intact. CM.com: Reasonable 1Q24 trading update, positive EBITDA surprise. Just Eat Takeaway.com: 1Q24 trading update - slowly creeping back to order growth. Staffing: Dutch period 3 - March volume and revenue seeing slight recovery in the trend. TomTom: 1Q24 results - touch weaker but no major surprises
>Orders slightly weak and GTV slightly better. - The 1Q24 orders missed company compiled consensus by 1%. The miss is equally spread over the four regions. On GTV the group number was in line with consensus with UK&I and NE beating by 1%, NA missing by 1% and SE&ANZ missing by 3%. Looking at momentum we note that this continued to improve in both orders as well as GTV and for all regions. Excluding NA orders where down 3% yoy (was still down 4% yoy in 4Q23) with -1% i...
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we highlight how resilient equity markets had been over the past months, despite a c
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the recovery in global passenger air traffic. Happy reading!
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the expected growth recovery among e-commerce players and the necessary b
Today, we initiate coverage on Just Eat Takeaway (JET), a global online food delivery platform with proven industry-leading margins in Northern Europe. In this note, we take a closer look at the underlying market trends, the competitive landscape and the potential impact of the sale of JET's US business, Grubhub. Following the post-pandemic normalisation, we have seen a rapid recovery in margins, driven by efficiency gains and cost savings. We expect this trend to continue into 2024, with JET al...
Following vague guidance, we feel that JET has only good visibility on about half of its business (Northern Europe + UK) while struggling in the dark on the other half (North America, southern Europe, Australia). While many bullish analysts are calling for a rerating based on the core regions' grow
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