reports
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 03.06.2022
WIG20/WIG30 indices review - No change in constituents AT: OMV - OMV received a binding offer for the acquisition of Borealis' nitrogen business (positive) Oil&Gas: OPEC+ meeting - OPEC to accelerate oil production in July and August PL: PKN/Lotos - Lotos and PKN agreed on a share swap ratio, merger finalization aimed for August (neutral/positive) RU: Moscow Exchange - May trading volumes 5% up yoy, no statistics on account balances (neutral)
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 24.05.2022
CZ: CEZ - CEZ not to bid for RWE's storage assets in Czechia, press (neutral) PL: PKO BP - 9% wage hike offered to half of staff (neutral) RU: Polyus - New shareholder may add its representative to the board (neutral) RU: Tatneft - Proposed final DPS revealed weaker than expected payout for 2021 (negative)
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 23.05.2022
FTSE Index June review - No changes of index constituents in our Coverage Universe AT: Strabag - Haselsteiner Foundation proposes share buyback resolution to AGM (positive) CZ: CEZ - CEZ paid for small Gazprom contract in EUR, rumoured to have opened an account with Gazprombank (neutral) RU: Moscow Exchange - April trading is 8% yoy down, account balances undisclosed (neutral) RU: Petropavlovsk - A likely initiation of takeover by UMMC (negative)
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 05.04.2022
AT: Andritz - Andritz to supply Metris platform to Forsyning Helsingor in Denmark (neutral) AT: PORR - Cartel fine legally binding (neutral) HR: Podravka - DPS of HRK 13 to be paid to shareholders (positive) RO: Medlife - Medlife bought 100% of Life Med (positive) RU: Moscow Exchange - March 2022 statistics: account balances grow 4x yoy and 2.5x mom, the currency split undisclosed; total trading up 71% yoy (positive)
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 31.03.2022
Oil&Gas: Oil price - A potential announcement of another release of US oil reserves puts pressure on the oil price ahead of today's OPEC meeting PL: PKN - The 2021 DPS proposal of PLN 3.50 is fully in line with previous guidance and market expectation (neutral) RU: Fertilisers - Essential goods incl. fertilizers are exempted from any U.S. anti-Russia sanctions (positive) RU: NLMK - NLMK continues steel supplies to Europe and USA (neutral) RU: Petropavlovsk - Loan from Gazprombank may ...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 16, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - POLYMETAL TUMBLES 33% AS FTSE EXCLUSION FURTHERS RUSSIA'S ISOLATION FROM GLOBAL MARKETSMoscow equity trading remains closed by the CBR. Among the only instruments still trading, Polymetal's London listing fell 33%, while FTSE announced the exclusion of the shares from its indexes, eliminating one of the last examples of Russia being included in global markets. STORIES> Oil and gas: Not benefiting much from strong Brent, but gaining from weak ruble> Tatneft: Moderate miss in 4Q2...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Ekaterina Usanova
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Mikhail Krasnoperov
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 16 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - АКЦИИ ПОЛИМЕТАЛЛА УПАЛИ В ЦЕНЕ НА 33% ПОСЛЕ ИСКЛЮЧЕНИЯ ИЗ ИНДЕКСОВ FTSEТорги акциями на Московской бирже по-прежнему не проводятся по решению ЦБ РФ. Бумаги Полиметалла с листингом в Лондоне - один из немногих российских инструментов, остававшийся на глобальных рынках, - упали в цене на 33% после того, как FTSE объявила об их исключении из своих индексов. Рубль торгуется около 105-110 за доллар. НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть под давлением перед публикацией ежемесячного отчета МЭА...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 14.03.2022
AT: Verbund - Press reports on windfall profit politics, special dividend in discussion (neutral) CEE: Banks - Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank announced withdrawal from Russia (neutral) CZ: CEZ - Tender for new block at Dukovany nuclear power plant to be launched this week (neutral) RU: Russia - Stock market to stay frozen another week (neutral) RU: Russian Steel - EU bans steel import from Russia (negative) RU: Russian Steel - Government plans to reduce domestic steel prices by restri...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
CEZ CEZ AS
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
NLMK NOVOLIPETSK STEEL
CHMF SEVERSTAL PAO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
MAGN MAGNITOGORSK IRON & STEEL WORKS PJSC
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
MOEX MOSCOW EXCHANGE MICEX-RTS PJSC
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 11.03.2022
AT: Oesterreichische Post - Q4 21 in line, muted outlook wording (neutral) AT: OMV - Borealis declined the binding offer of EuroChem for the acquisition of its fertilizer business (neutral) AT: OMV - OMV is considering building a waste sorting plant in Germany (neutral) CZ: Komercni Banka, Erste Group - Central bank to increase counter-cyclical capital buffer to 2.5% from April 22 (negative) HR: Hrvatski Telekom - Dividend proposal od HRK 8.00 per share (neutral) HR: Valamar Riviera ...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 10.03.2022
AT: AGRANA - Update on current situation in Ukraine and Russia (neutral) AT: Lenzing - FY results below expectations on higher cost inflation, outlook of better EBITDA yoy vague, but in line (neutral) AT: Lenzing - Lenzing appoints Stephen Sielaff to CEO position (neutral) AT: Verbund - Verbund acquired 70% in a wind/solar portfolio in Spain (neutral) PL: AmRest - Temporary suspension of operations in Russia (negative) PL: Eurocash - Solid Q4 21 preliminary figures with EBITDA 14% ah...
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 07.03.2022
AT: OMV - Initiation of a strategic review on its exposure to Russia will trigger a value adjustment of EUR 1.5-1.8 bn in Q1 22 (negative) AT: Wienerberger - Share buyback of up to 3% (positive) HU: OTP - Q4 21 conference call notes with focus on RU/UA (neutral) RU: Moscow Exchange - Q4 21 conference call: Strategy revision should take time, the stock market trading freeze carries on (neutral) SI: NLB Group - Conference call on Sberbank Slovenia acquisition (positive)
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 3, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - GOVERNMENT MULLS BUYING MORE STOCK, MSCI EXPELS RUSSIARussian stocks remained frozen in Moscow and were mostly frozen abroad as well yesterday. The government is mulling tapping more of the NWF to buy Russian stocks. MSCI will expel Russia from global benchmarks, and ratings agencies have cut the market to junk status.STORIES> MSCI expels Russia from global and emerging benchmarks> GDP could decline by 10-15% in 2022> Weekly inflation surges to 0.45% over February 19-25> Basic s...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 3 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗПроизводство в базовых отраслях российской экономики выросло в январе на 1% по сравнению с предыдущим месяцем (с учетом корректировки на сезонную составляющую) после роста на 0,6% в декабре. Динамика улучшилась благодаря оптовой торговли и грузообороту транспорта. В период с 19 по 25 февраля потребительские цены в России выросли на 0,45% против 0,24% неделей ранее. Причинами, судя по всему, стали повышение спроса на непродовольственные товары, а также ослабление рубля, котор...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - March 2, 2022
MARKET COMMENT - RDX DOWN MORE THAN IN 1998, MSCI RUSSIA THE MOST SINCE 2008 AS MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS CLOSEDWhile Moscow stock trading remains closed, offshore and composite indexes dropped another 6-57%. The RDX offshore DR index has now fallen 91% since its October decade-long peak, a fall sharper than that of 1998 or 2008. The government announced plans to support the market with share purchases, while capital restrictions and supply shocks have also been in the news.STORIES> Government mull...
- Andrew Keeley
- Andrey Gromadin
- Anton Chernyshev
- Anton Stroutchenevski
- Artem Vinogradov
- Arthur Cherkesov
- Cole Akeson
- Dmitry Troshin
- Georgiy Ivanin
- Konstantin Samarin
- Research Team
CIS Market Daily - 2 марта 2022
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСегодня утром котировки Брент выросли до $111/барр., и, вероятно, поднимутся еще выше, хотя МЭА объявило, что страны ОЭСР скоординированно выведут на рынок 60 млн барр. нефти из своих стратегических резервов. После объявлений ВР и Equinor, сделанных ранее на этой неделе, еще несколько крупных международных нефтяных компаний сообщили о решении продать свой бизнес в России или выразили серьезную обеспокоенность сложившейся ситуацией.НОВОСТИ> Нехватка предложения начала сказыва...
- Research Team
WOOD Flash – Russian coverage universe: under review
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...
QIWI QIWI PLC SPONSORED ADR CLASS B
AFLT AEROFLOT RUSSIAN AIRLINES
AFKS SISTEMA PJSFC
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
PJP X5 RETAIL GROUP N.V. SPONSORED GDR REGS
MAIL MAIL.RU GROUP LTD. SPONSORED GDR
RTKM ROSTELECOM PJSC
MTSS MOBILE TELESYSTEMS PJSC
2ET ETALON GROUP (GDR)
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
ROSN ROSNEFT OIL CO. SPONSORED GDR REGS
NVTK NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
5M71 MAGNIT PJSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
3LSA LSR GROUP (GDR)
MOEX MOSCOW EXCHANGE MICEX-RTS PJSC
PLZL POLYUS (GDR)
LKODN OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC SPONSORED ADR
OGZD GAZPROM (GDR)
SBNC SBERBANK RUSSIA PJSC SPONSORED ADR
ATAD TATNEFT (GDR)
904596 SURGUTNEFTEGAS (GDR)
MINING AND METALLURGICAL COMPANY NORILSK NICKEL (GDR)
OZON OZON HOLDINGS
GDEV NEXTERS INC
HHR HEADHUNTER GROUP PLC
Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 21.02.2022
FTSE Index March review - AllCap (SML) add: MedLife, Russneft; del: Eurocash; TotalCap (Micro+SML) add: Conpet, Purcari Wineries, Sphera Franchise Group; L->M: MOL, Moscow Exchange AT: Atrium - Merger with Gazit completed (neutral) AT: OMV - OMV will not reportedly invest in Achimov IV/V gas field in Russia (neutral) CZ: CEZ - Czech government to launch tender for the new nuclear power plant in the coming weeks (neutral) PL: Bank Pekao - Iincrease of FX mortgage related legal risk prov...
- Andrey Gromadin
- Konstantin Samarin
Oil and Gas - Strong 4Q21 Results Expected, 1Q22 Outlook Even Brighter
The 4Q21 earnings season is about to kick off starting with Rosneft on Friday, followed by Novatek (February 16) and Gazprom Neft (February 17) next week. Lukoil, Tatneft and Gazprom will report 4Q21 financials in March-April. We expect sector EBITDA to rise again, particularly in the gas segment amid record high European gas prices. Dividend distributions should rise across the sector as well. Based on our estimates for 4Q21, most of the companies should see their full-year financials bounce ba...
LKOH OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC
SIBN NOVATEK JSC
GAZP GAZPROM NEFT PJSC
ROSN GAZPROM PJSC
NVTK ROSNEFT OIL CO.
LKODN ROSNEFT OIL CO. SPONSORED GDR REGS
OGZD NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
TATNP OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC SPONSORED ADR
GZPFY GAZPROM (GDR)
TATNEFT (PREF A)
GAZPROM NEFT (GDR)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW, TRP RO, EAT PW, GTC PW, TEN PW, Previews
HEADLINES: • mBank: 2021 was a breakthrough year, 4Q21 underlying results solid • Teraplast: 4Q21 results below expectations but 2022E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • AmRest: 4Q21 preliminary sales up 36% yoy POSITIVE • GTC: Hungary may liquidate Central Bank foundations • Ten Square Games: technical launch of a new game - Magical District: Hero's Story NEUTRAL • Moscow Exchange: strong volumes imply all-time high profits in 4Q21E (due out on 4 March) NEUTRAL • Dino Polska: 4Q21E results preview...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Ignitis (stays BUY), Frontier Banks, EME Strategy, ING PW,...
HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: bloodied, but still attractive (stays BUY) • Frontier banks: retrospective CHF law approved by Slovenian National Assembly NEGATIVE • EME Strategy: inflation projections revisions • ING BSK: posts very strong 4Q21 results POSITIVE • Garanti: 4Q21 highlights and 2022E targets • OMV: 4Q21 results, EUR 2.3 dividend • OMV Petrom: 4Q21 results, RON 0.0341 dividend • Ozon: 4Q21 and FY21 preliminary results - GMV up 131% in 4Q, 8% above our expectations POSITIVE • Georg...
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