For access to the full note, please contact Naresh Chouhan ( ) With EU Pharma (ex-Novo) now having reached decade high valuations vs EuroStoxx600, we believe the sector has broken out & the sustainability of the growth profile will now generate continued strong performance. Consensus 5yr sales & EPS CAGR’s stand at 4% & 7% for 15x 2026 PE. We show there is upside to this from underestimated pipelines where cons. rarely fully models “monster” drugs & from M&A which we expect to be strong at JPM ...
UCB presented detailed results of the positive phase 3 GEMZ study with Fintepla in CDKL5 deficiency disorder (CDD). The drug showed an estimated 52.7% median reduction in countable motor seizure frequency (CMSF) compared with placebo during a 14 week titration and maintenance period and a favourable safety profile. We view this as highly encouraging in this refractory epilepsy population. Given the infantile onset of CDD, we will be curious to see as of which age, patients could be included in t...
UCB announced an additional upgrade to its FY25 financial guidance, where it now expects revenue to exceed € 7.6b, representing +24% y/y (previously at least € 7b), and adj. EBITDA margin to be higher than 31% (previously at least 30%). This is the company's second guidance upgrade this year and shows that UCB's commercial momentum continues its upward trajectory supported by its 5 key growth drivers, including lead product Bimzelx which saw strong momentum in HS, as well as a favourable payer m...
Gecina has a unique €17bn portfolio of prime offices in Paris that is benefitting from increasing market polarisation and constrained supply of prime space on central locations. While indexation is set to normalise (this is valid for the entire real estate market), we expect positive rent reversion to continue: this is beneficial for rents, asset valuations and LTV. The balance sheet is sound and ready to seize new investment opportunities in a Parisian investment market that is starting to open...
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