Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
Our Nov 25 Alpha Picks portfolio returned 2.2% mom, in line with the STI, while weighted portfolios outperformed. Gains were led by CSE, ASL and MPM. For Dec 25, we add KEP, UGAI and SATS, and remove FRKN, UMS and SIA. The refreshed portfolio remains positioned to benefit from ongoing EQDP-driven interest in small-/mid-cap names.
Top Stories Company Results | First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$2.05/Target: S$2.30) FR reported 9M25 earnings of US$240m which came in above both our and market expectations. Production is on track to hit management’s growth forecast of 20-25% in 2025, boosted by the fresh acquisition of ANJ’s assets, whereas 4Q25 is expected to be the peak production quarter this year. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$2.30 (from S$1.97), based on 10x 2026F PE. Company Results | SATS (SATS SP/BUY/S$3.4...
Greater China Economics | Economic Activity Industrial production growth slowed sharply to 4.9% yoy in Oct 25 (-1.6ppt mom). FAI also stayed weak, falling 1.7% yoy ytd (-1.2ppt mom), dragged by property FAI which dropped 14.5% yoy ytd. Retail sales growth edged lower to 2.9% yoy (-0.1ppt yoy). On a positive note, unemployment improved to 5.1%. Overall, the data points to a weakening growth momentum. Indonesia Company Results | XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,720/Target: Rp3,10...
2QFY26 net profit of S$78.9m (+13.2% yoy) was a solid beat to our expectations. Adjusted for all one-offs, core earnings rose 8.2% yoy. The beat was driven by a stronger-than-expected cargo performance, which recorded a strong 14.3% yoy revenue growth. We believe this strong cargo performance, achieved amid continued tariff war volatilities, has demonstrated the resilience and competitive strength of SATS’ global network. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$4.20, reflecting our stronger...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C an...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: October Conviction Calls The HSI and MSCI China gained 7.1%/8.2% mom in September on Fed easing and optimism over advancements in semiconductors and AI. We remain positive in the medium term but expect near-term consolidation after the recent strong gains. The best performer of the month was Alibaba (+53.0% mom). With some rotations expected in non-tech stocks, our October calls are: add Galaxy, Jacobson, Ping An, Trip.com and WuXi Bio to BUY; SELL Meituan. ...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: Add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, Li Auto and OOIL to our SELL list. Take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In August: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, ARCI, BBCA, BBNI, BRMS, MTEL, HRUM and NCKL. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Wake Me Up When September Ends: Our Aug 25 Alpha Picks underperformed marginally. Sep 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Hume ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth turns positive on price cuts. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$43.72/Target: HK$57.70): 1H25: Margins miss due to transition period; meaningful recovery in 2H25. Maintain BUY. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$73.45/Target: HK$91.00): 1H25: In-line VONB growth; strong OPAT beat. EVE Energy (300014 HK/HOLD/ Rmb48.07/Target: Rmb50.00): 2Q25: Earnings miss due to lowe...
SATS’ 1QFY26 reported net profit of S$70.9m (+9.1% yoy) was broadly in line, forming 27.3% of our full-year forecast. Revenue rose 9.9% yoy, driven by growth from both the food solutions and gateway service segments. Cargo turned in upbeat volume growth, outperforming industry average for the seventh consecutive quarter. Cargo is expected to remain resilient, despite near-term volatility of the global trade. We like SATS for its longer-term growth outlook. Maintain BUY with a higher target price...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In May: Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising Emphasis On Infrastructure Plays: Our May 25 Alpha Picks outperformed with resounding success. June 25 picks: Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, MYEG, Northeast Group. SINGAPORE S...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BRC Asia (BRC SP/HOLD/S$3.13/Target: S$3.29) 2QFY25: Above expectations as margins expand. SATS (SATS SP/BUY/S$2.98/Target: S$3.22) 4QFY25: Core earnings a slight beat; still aiming for cargo volume growth in FY26. Upgrade SATS to BUY. Update Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) (YZJSGD SP/BUY/S$2.05/Target: S$3.29) Big backlog – but new order wins needed in the medium term to restore confidence. Reiterate BUY. TRADERS' CORNER Singapore Exchange (SGX SP): Trading S...
GREATER CHINA Results Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$18.29/US$26.60): 1Q25: Revenue beats guidance but margin under pressure; expect DTC store expansion to be a near-term headwind on margin. Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK/BUY/HK$20.50/Target: HK$25.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat; well on track for margin improvement in 2025. INDONESIA Update Indofood CBP (ICBP IJ/BUY/Rp10,825/Target: Rp13,800): Remains a solid defensive stock with undemanding valuation. MALAYSIA Results Oriental Kopi Holdings (KOPI MK/BU...
SATS’ FY25 core net profit of S$260m (+199% yoy) came in slightly above expectations, thanks to stronger-than-expected cargo revenue in 4QFY25. Despite the ongoing tariff uncertainties, management reaffirmed its target for positive cargo volume growth in FY26, backed by new commercial wins. While we are largely cautious on the global trade outlook, we reckon that market sentiment toward SATS could turn more bullish if the company delivers even modest growth. Upgrade SATS to BUY. Target price: S$...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
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