reports
- Klaus Ringel
- Klaus Ringel
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Polish Food Retail – DNP PW; EUR PW; JMT PL; ZAB PW; BFT P...
HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
OMV OMV AG
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
- Maria Mickiewicz
Polish Food Retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY...
We believe that, after the price war-impacted 2024 and the seasonally-challenged 1Q25, Polish grocers should enjoy Easter-supported demand and a leap in the VAT hike in 2Q25E. In our view, the Polish consumer has matured, following the tough experience of the pandemic, and the inflation bubble that followed. With a propensity to consume no longer close to 100%, we see the rollout-led growth as more tangible than pure lfl expansion. Within the high-growth names, we prefer Żabka (initiation with a...
- Clement Genelot
Food Retail: trade war lifted multiples, beware of future sector rotat...
European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each
- Hans D’Haese
- Maxime Stranart
Zabka/1Q25 postview: reiterating IPO guidance/HOLD
We reiterate our HOLD on Zabka but increase our target price from PLN22 to PLN23 to reflect a lower WACC following a cut in the central bank rate in Poland in May. We remain convinced by Zabka's long-term growth story but remain cautious on Like-for-Like growth delivery over 1H25F, on subdued volumes, the company having warned they have to lap tough comps. Share overhang is also a short-term concern, the lock-up period for CVC and Partners Group having expired on 15 April. The valuation multiple...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GFC GECINA SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GFC GECINA SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Jakub Krawczyk
- ING Helpdesk
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: VGO PW; PGE PW; 11B PW; DNP PW; KRKG SV; GEV CP; ELPE GA; ...
HEADLINES: • VIGO Photonics: top Polish defence industry exposure (downgraded to HOLD) • PGE: strong 1Q25 recurring EBITDA, 26% above our expectations POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: weak 1Q25, misses our forecast, on higher opex NEGATIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA beats in 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Krka: 1Q25 – record net profit, on high FX revaluation gains POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: strong 1Q25 - EBITDA 15% above our expectations, but 2025E guidance implies an EBITDA margin contraction POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q25 r...
- Adrian Pehl
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
INF INFOTEL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
G24 SCOUT24 AG
INH INDUS HOLDING AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
LTA ALTAMIR ACT PORTEUR
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
BOSN BOSSARD HOLDING AG
SFSN SFS GROUP AG
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
DUFN DUFRY AG
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DUE DURR AG
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
VK VALLOUREC SA
IVG IVECO GROUP
SPAC 468 SPAC I SE
TUI TUI AG
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Adrian Pehl
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
INF INFOTEL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
G24 SCOUT24 AG
INH INDUS HOLDING AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
LTA ALTAMIR ACT PORTEUR
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
BOSN BOSSARD HOLDING AG
SFSN SFS GROUP AG
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
DUFN DUFRY AG
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DUE DURR AG
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
VK VALLOUREC SA
IVG IVECO GROUP
SPAC 468 SPAC I SE
TUI TUI AG
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Jakub Krawczyk
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PZU PW; CEZ CP; EUR PW; GPW PW; SFG RO; TLV RO; BVB RO; DI...
HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
GIG KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
4071 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Alfen: Dead cat bounce? Ayvens: Overhang cure. Belgian telcos: Hey! discontinues €5 offer, OBEL price increases from June 2025. B&S Group: Pulls FY EBITDA guidance in light of tariffs. D'Ieteren: CMD, 1Q25 Preview. Kendrion: Wrestling through difficult macro conditions. NN Group, ASR: Vote on Dutch pension reforms postponed. TKH Group: Not that bad, good progress at Eemshaven. UCB: US Most Favoured Nation initiative back on the agenda. Vastned: Good results, integration ongoing...
- Clement Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: rerating not over yet with better margin prospects
Following a strong Q1, we see several positive signs around a price war easing in Poland and have increased our Polish EBITDA and our PT from EUR21 to EUR25. In line with our January 2025 upgrade to Buy, we continue to see a rerating path to >20x P/E, which is the normalised level in no Polish c
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LRC LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LRC LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
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