Turkish companies kicked off their 4Q17 earnings season this week. After 11.1% real GDP growth in 3Q, the momentum should have eased in 4Q, in our view, while the quarter was dented by currency volatility. Still, we expect the yoy growth to have remained robust – for the non-financials under our coverage, we calculate 31% and 9% median EBITDA growth yoy and qoq, respectively. On adjusted earnings, we see 16% and flat qoq net income yoy growth.
HEADLINES: * CE4 macro: inflation - where do we stand? This is just the beginning * DP Eurasia: trading update * Orange Polska: to record a PLN 196m negative one-off in 4Q17E related to its VRP NEUTRAL * Cyfrowy Polsat: Netia's PLN 150.7m asset impairment in 2017E will not affect CPS' 4Q17E results NEUTRAL * PGNiG: operating results estimates in line with our expectations NEUTRAL * Wirtualna Polska: enters healthcare e-commerce market NEUTRAL * X5: considering acquisition ...
DP Eurasia released a solid trading update today (23 January). The sales data were above our estimates for 2017E (+3% vs. our estimate for system sales, which is a combination of own stores and franchisee revenues). Just like in 1H17, the company was able to generate positive lfls in both markets in 2H17: Turkey generated FY lfls of +10%, and Russia +29%. The store rollout (+76 stores) was higher than our estimate (+69 stores) and the company closed 2017 with 643 stores (522 in Turkey and 121 in...
HEADLINES: * OMV: hitting cruise control (downgraded to HOLD) * AmRest: 4Q sales up 25% yoy NEUTRAL * Energa: preliminary 4Q17 EBITDA of PLN 525m beats consensus by 7% NEUTRAL * X5: decent 4Q numbers, traffic remained in positive territory NEUTRAL * PGNiG: concludes agreement for Baltic pipeline POSITIVE * Sabanci Holding: ENJSA valuation range POSITIVE * Polish gencos: new speculation about sector consolidation NEUTRAL * DP Eurasia: trading update conference call today...
Market performance –Turkish index the regional top performer in December. The MSCI EME gained +3.7% mom in EUR terms in December. The largest rate of return for December was realised by the Turkish ISE30 (+13.9% mom), followed by the Athens Stock Exchange index (+8.4% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+2.9%), the Hungarian BUX (+2.6%), the Czech PX index (+1.6% mom) and the Russian MIXEX (+0.8% mom), while the Romanian BET index lost 1%. Only utilities in negative territory for December. Industrials wa...
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