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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 140p, +100%) Post call thoughts: What is needed to hit...

Vodafone’s H1 earnings call recently wrapped up with the stock having sold off during and after the call. We review our thoughts on this and in this note show some further analysis on what would be required to meet the FY EBITDA guidance based on the new comments given in the call.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 140p, +100%) H1 25 - Questions still lingering in Germ...

Vodafone has reported their H1 results, and although headline numbers were in line with expectations and all guidance has been reiterated.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice International (Over weight) Digi (Equal weight) NOS (Neutral, T...

Digi launched in Portugal, one week ago – read our take HERE. In this report we look at how the launch has been received in Portugal (including a run-through of tariff changes by the incumbents).

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

GERMAN ALTNET UPDATE: What will be the key to success?

Last week, we reviewed the UK altnet market. So this week, we turn our attention to Germany and how the fibre challengers are developing in that market. We have done a lot of work over the past few months on the MDU market in Germany for TeleColumbus and OXG. So now, we specifically focus on Deutsche Glasfaser and the recent UGG/ Infrafibre deal, as these players mount their challenge against DT in the SDU market.

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Two more constellations! IRIS² and Apple-GlobalStar

>IRIS²: a high cost, new investments for SES and Eutelsat - The European Commission has awarded a 12-year concession contract for the design, delivery and operation of the IRIS² constellation to SpaceRISE, a consortium composed of Eutelsat, SES and Hispasat. IRIS2 will have 260 low earth orbit satellites (LEO, orbit used by OneWeb/Eutelsat) and 18 medium earth orbit satellites (MEO, the orbit for which SES is the only player). Orange and Deutsche Telekom are partners,...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Et deux constellations de plus ! IRIS² et Apple-Globalstar

>IRIS² : un coût élevé, de nouveaux investissements pour SES et Eutelsat - La Commission européenne a attribué un contrat de concession de 12 ans pour la conception, la livraison et l'exploitation de la constellation IRIS² à SpaceRISE, un consortium composé d'Eutelsat, SES et Hispasat. IRIS2 comptera 260 satellites de basse orbite (LEO, orbite utilisée par OneWeb/Eutelsat) et 18 de moyenne orbite (MEO, l’orbite dont SES est le seul acteur). Orange et Deutsche Telekom ...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Sunrise: To roll, or not to roll, that is the question - key topics ex...

Sunrise is due to be spun out of Liberty Global on Nov 12th, with the first official trading day on the Swiss Exchange Nov 15th. Ahead of the spin we take a deep-dive into the key issues surrounding the company.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Good top line, portfolio stabilising, guidance marginally revised upward. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q Solvency remains strong. ASM: 3Q24 results – That's a relief - FY25 guide narrowed upwards. Belgian Telecoms: Peer Telenet 3Q24 results, still losing shares. Fugro: Focus on EBITDA and orderbook. GBL: Kicking off its trainers and cashing in €0.6bn. Colruyt: To operate 100 OKay City stores by 2032F. Heijmans: Preview - Progressing well. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 3Q24 show still weak pe...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral, $23, +8%) Record low service revenue trends a...

This is meant to be the quarter when the upcoming Sunrise spin should be attracting most attention and helping to crystallise value. However, we can't help but be distracted by a sharp deterioration in underlying service revenue trends as the impact of lapping lower inflation price rises and a sustained KPI loss is starting to catch up with Liberty Global.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

UK Telcos Impact from higher employers' taxation in upcoming Budget

Over the weekend, it has been widely reported that the upcoming Budget this Wednesday will include a 2pp rise for employer national insurance tax. In this brief note, we run through the financial implications of this for the UK telecoms companies (BT, VMO2, TalkTalk and Vodafone) and who is most exposed.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Tele2 (Neutral, TP: SEK 109, -2%) Q3 24: A slightly weak set of numbe...

Tele2 has reported a slightly weak set of Q3 numbers with end-user SR -1.0% light of consensus expectations, and EBITDAaL -0.8% light, and EFCF -16% light (thanks to NWC and tax). All guidance has been reiterated

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone should be bold: Buy out OXG minority Unlocking synergies fro...

This week we have the DT CMD and therefore the topic of German fibre build will likely be in focus. Over the past few months, we have written a number of thematic notes looking at this topic in more detail:

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/26/2024

‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In the U...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/26/2024

tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 26/09/2024

“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffrent ma...

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