reports
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/12/2024
We have upgraded our target price from € 43.4 to € 45.3 which factors in the growth strategy out to 2027 (EBITDA +5% to 6% p.a.) whereas the share price implies decrease of 0.65% p.a. The strategic GreenUp plan is based on three booster businesses that should see a gradual acceleration and will involve asset rotation. An accretive re-profiling in terms of EPS, and with no repercussions for the leverage limit, could also show through with minority buyouts for the regulated water operat...
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ZAL ZALANDO SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ELIS ELIS SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TFF TFF GROUP
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ELIS ELIS SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TFF TFF GROUP
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 12/09/2024
Nous relevons notre objectif de cours de 43.4 € à 45.3 € qui intègre la stratégie de croissance à 2027 (EBITDA +5% à 6%/an) alors que le cours de Bourse sous-tend une baisse de 0.65%/an. Le plan stratégique GreenUp repose sur trois métiers Boosters qui doivent connaitre une accélération graduelle et impliquer des rotations d’actifs. Un reprofilage relutif en termes de BPA, et sans conséquence sur la limite de levier, pourrait aussi intervenir par le biais de rachats de minoritaires de...
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ZAL ZALANDO SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : Are Starlink and AST SpaceMobile a threat to telecoms operators...
>T-Mobile & Starlink launch smartphone satellite connectivity - Yesterday, T-Mobile announced the first emergency services message to be sent by a Starlink satellite to a T-Mobile-subscribed smartphone. Shortly, calls, messages and even low-speed internet connectivity should be possible. Starlink has reserved ~175 satellites (out of ~7,000) for this service that T-Mobile should offer free-of-charge to its clients outside 5G coverage. While Satellite telephony is not n...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : Starlink et AST SpaceMobile menacent-ils les opérateurs télécom...
>T-Mobile & Starlink lancent la connectivité satellitaire par smartphone - T-Mobile a annoncé hier un premier envoi de message d’urgence par un satellite Starlink vers un smartphone abonné à T-Mobile. D’ici peu, appels, messages et même connectivité internet à faible vitesse seront possibles. Starlink a réservé ~175 satellites (sur ~7,000) pour ce service que T-Mobile devrait offrir gratuitement à ses clients hors couverture 5G. La téléphonie satellitaire n’est pas no...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- James Ratzer
Liberty Global (Neutral, $23, +16%) Sunrise CMD feedback and Liberty ...
The Sunrise CMD has just wrapped up – with the official spin-off from Liberty Global coming later this year. We provide our initial thoughts here on the new guidance, the valuation impact and the longer-term potential questions as the industry migrates towards higher-speed infrastructure
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
SREN SWISS RE AG
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
HAL HAL TRUST
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ITX INDUSTRIA DE DISENO TEXTIL S.A.
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Jean Danjou
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
BON BONDUELLE SCA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
FIE FIELMANN AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
AVTX AVANTIUM NV
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
SREN SWISS RE AG
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
HAL HAL TRUST
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ITX INDUSTRIA DE DISENO TEXTIL S.A.
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Jean Danjou
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
BON BONDUELLE SCA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
FIE FIELMANN AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
AVTX AVANTIUM NV
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : France: H2 2024 risks remaining very promotional
>The six main lessons from Q2 2024 - 1/ Mobile prices remain at very low levels (-30% over one year, 30 GO offers starting from € 5) and Iliad has mentioned even stronger competition for June-July. 2/ Iliad continues to dominate in terms of volume (customer base +4% in France over one year) and value (France sales +8% vs competitors 0-4%). 3/ Altice is not recovering despite significant promotions of its sub-brand RED, which creates a risk of extending promotions to t...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : France: le S2 2024 risque de rester très promotionnel
>Les 6 enseignements du T2 2024 - 1/ Les prix mobile restent sur des niveaux très bas (-30% sur un an, offres 30 GO dès 5 €) et Iliad évoque encore plus de concurrence sur juin-juillet. 2/ La domination d’Iliad se poursuit en volume (parc clients France +4% sur un an) et en valeur (CA France +8% vs concurrents 0-4%). 3/ Altice ne se redresse pas en dépit des fortes promotions de sa sous-marque RED, ce qui risque d’étendre les promotions sur le fixe et la marque SFR s...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- James Ratzer
TeleColumbus Q2 24: Growth drivers on track, but at a slightly higher...
2024 is very much a transition year for TeleColumbus in their TV base, but importantly the core Internet franchise growth remains very strong – and well ahead of Vodafone’s growth rates. This, alongside developments on NetCo/ OpCo we think can be further upside for the bonds, but in the near-term, the cost of managing this transition in 2024 will be slightly more expensive than initially assumed.
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 140p, +89%) Hidden upside in the non-EU assets
Today, our colleague Chris Hoare has published two thematic notes looking at Sub-Saharan African telecoms companies. These focus on the potential for market structures and revenues to improve, and especially after periods of currency weakness (which has been notable in Egypt and Turkey).
- James Ratzer
FWA in Europe: Maybe it isn't accelerating Analysis of Hutchison's H1...
Clearly the biggest issue for them is whether the merger with Vodafone UK will be approved or not. As one would also expect they couldn’t be drawn on any new substantive comments on this while the CMA process is ongoing. For our detailed thoughts from May on the CMA Phase 1 findings on that deal, please see our expert call on the topic.
- James Ratzer
- James Ratzer
EU Towers/ Vodafone Our take on Vantage selldown
This morning Vodafone finally announced that they have sold a further 10% stake in Oak Holdings (the Vantage Towers holding company) to the consortium led by GIP and KKR, for €1.3bn of proceeds. In this brief note, we run through what this implies for Vodafone and other tower valuations.
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 07/22/2024
As a leader in plastic pallet recycling, Cabka currently operates in a rather tough macro environment which we expect to persist, at least for the short term. However we see silver linings in terms of margin expansion, roll back in Capex costs and tight working capital management which will lead to strong free cashflow generation soon. Though with pressure on sales persisting, (we reduce our estimates), Cabka to us is a margin expansion and positive free cashflow generation story, he...
- Konrad Zomer
Orange Belgium : Strong H1 results and raising its FY outlook
>Strong operational momentum has continued - Orange Belgium released very strong half-year results, despite the fact the Belgian telecom market experienced intensified competition in both mobile and broadband. The company saw its mobile postpaid customer base increase by 74k in H1, up 4.5%. Its cable customer base grew 18k, also up 4.5%, and its current client base exceeds 1 million. Total revenues were up 2.5% at € 977.6m, below Bloomberg consensus of € 1,070m (the c...
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