reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BGEO LN; CCOLA TI; PEO PW; TXT PW; EME Macro/Strategy Week...
HEADLINES: • Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: changing remuneration conditions for c.2,700 employees NEUTRAL • Text: launches Text App service NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 August) • Murapol: 2Q25E preview – EBIT halved yoy, due to a low number of handovers (due on 24 September) • Rainbow Tours: 2Q25E preview – 19% net income drop expected, following margin normalisation (due...
- Can Demir
- Miguel Dias
Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD)
We have downgraded Lion Finance Group (BGEO) to HOLD, with a new price target (PT) of GBP 79.4. BGEO trades at 5.8x 2025E P/E and 1.5x P/TBV, which we see as fair, following a 114% USD return over the last 12M, and 566% over the past three years. After such a good earnings cycle, which leveraged on a superb macro backdrop, we see limited upside risk on our EPS forecasts and assumptions for the group’s long-term earnings power (ROTEs of 27% for Georgia and 22% for Armenia). We calculate that most...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SOLUTION AB; TBCG LN; ALARABIA AB; JAHEZ AB; CAR PW; ACAG ...
HEADLINES: • Solutions by STC: balance of risks to the upside (upgraded to BUY) • TBC Bank: 2Q25 results and conference call highlights • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 2Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • Jahez: weak 2Q25 financial results, with significant pressure on the EBITDA margin NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: July sales growth accelerates marginally, to 11% yoy NEUTRAL • Austriacard: 1H25E earnings preview (due on 28 August)
- Can Demir
WOOD Flash – TBC Bank: 2Q25 results and conference call highlights
TBC has announced GEL 346m in net income (before minorities) for 2Q25, up 8% qoq and 5% yoy. This was 1% lower than our EUR 348m estimate and 3% lower than the GEL 358m consensus. The group-level results were in line, supported by an 8% beat in Georgia (GE), driven by a 40bps qoq NIM expansion and the NII coming in 8% above our estimate. That said, our overall bias on 2Q25 is negative, due to a significant 44% earnings miss in Uzbekistan (UZ) (our forecast at GEL 58m, vs. the GEL 32m actual UZ n...
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
G1A GEA GROUP AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
AFX CARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
MRK MERCK KGAA
G ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A.
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
CRG CRH PLC
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
SIE SIEMENS AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
G1A GEA GROUP AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
AFX CARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
MRK MERCK KGAA
G ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A.
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
CRG CRH PLC
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
SIE SIEMENS AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (7 August 2025)
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
BELA JUMBO S.A.
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV CTP NV
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
DHL DHL GROUP
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
CEZ CEZ AS
RAA RATIONAL AG
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
BNTX BIONTECH SE
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
DHL DHL GROUP
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
CEZ CEZ AS
RAA RATIONAL AG
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
BNTX BIONTECH SE
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
- Oleg Galbur
CEZ : Back to fundamentals after a politically motivated price rally
We downgrade CEZ to Underperform (vs. Neutral) as we believe that the 30% rise in the share price YTD is largely due to speculation about a possible re-nationalisation of the company. In our view, the current valuation of CEZ is not justified given the expected EPS decline of 11.5% in 2024-28e CAGR, unattractive dividends (our DPS of CZK 45 for 2025e implies a DY of 25%.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; ALPHA GA; KAP LI; GEKTERNA GA; ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 July-3 August) • Alpha Bank: 2Q25 highlights – an 11% beat vs. our estimate, but CET1 down 50bpts qoq • Kazatomprom: 2Q operational update NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: boosts construction backlog by almost EUR 0.5bn POSITIVE • Wizz Air: July capacity up 8% yoy, load factor down 1ppt NEUTRAL • Budimex: expects a market rebound in 2026E; decision on FBSerwis in the autumn NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from an interview with the CFO NEUTRAL • C...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in July
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW; KOMB CP; ING PW; KTY PW; FROTO TI; GARAN TI; BRD R...
HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q25 results – strong quality beat • Komercni Banka: beat on bottom line in 2Q25, driven solely by LLPs releases NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 2Q25 results – strong other income and lower provisions charges NEUTRAL • Kety: full 2Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Garanti Bank: 2Q25 highlights – still ahead of peers and soft 2026E guidance POSITIVE • BRD-GSG: solid 2Q25 results beat expectations POSITIVE • OMV Petr...
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
SNP PETROM S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; HSBK LI; MONET CP; WIZZ LN; PEO PW; GTC PW; CTPNV...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: after a strong 1Q, earnings momentum may slow (downgrade to HOLD) • Halyk Savings Bank: acquires 49% of Uzbekistan’s Click POSITIVE • MONETA: 2Q25 results in line - guidance offers CZK 300-400m of upside risk to the bank's 2025E net profit forecast NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 1QF26 results - EBITDA 5% below our estimate, 14% below consensus NEGATIVE • Bank Pekao: Polish FinMin is drafting a bill to ban the sale of the State-owned shares of the bank NEUTRAL • GTC: Fitch down...
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
CTPNV CTP NV
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TBCG LN; KRKG SV; GEKTERNA GA; DOC AV; HTO GA
HEADLINES: • TBC Bank: good run, approaching fair value (downgraded to HOLD) • Krka: preliminary 2Q25 numbers – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 50/50 JV with Motor Oil Hellas over their electricity supply and gas-fired power generation activities POSITIVE • DO & CO: EUR 2.00/share dividend approved, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • OTE: 2Q25E results preview – 2% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 August)
- Can Demir
- Miguel Dias
TBC Bank: good run, approaching fair value (downgraded to HOLD)
We have downgraded TBC to HOLD (from Buy). Our valuation indicates 9% upside and 2025E target multiples of 7.5x P/E and 1.9x P/TBV from these levels (vs. the 6.9x and 1.7x market multiples). Our new price target (PT) is GBP 53.1 (from GBP 38.0). TBC’s stock has returned 93% in the past 12 months in USD terms, including reinvested dividends (and 682% in the past five years). A year ago, the bank was trading at 3.9x P/E and 1.1x P/TBV on our 2025E numbers, vs. 6.9x P/E and 1.7x P/TBV today. This p...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RO Macro; HU Macro; KRU PW; HUG PW; CAR PW; 11B PW; MUR PW...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: MPC turns cautiously dovish on the fiscal package • Hungary macro: June inflation picks up further • Kruk: 2Q25 trading update shows a pick up in recoveries vs. 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 2Q25 revenue at USD 59m, down 7% yoy and 6% qoq NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: June sales growth at 10% yoy, implying 2Q25E revenue growth of also 10% yoy NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: 280k copies of The Alters sold NEUTRAL • Murapol: sells 708 apartments and hands over 289 units in...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ASELS TI; EU Oil and Gas Monthly; BCG LN; TXT PW; SNP RO; ...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: growth prism – new angles, brighter future (stays BUY) • European oil and gas monthly: June 2025 – bullish cues from Hormuz • Baltic Classifieds Group: solid FY 2H25 results, affected by one-offs NEUTRAL • Text: key takeaways from the preliminary 1Q25-26 earnings call NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: makes new natural gas discovery POSITIVE • Arabian Drilling: secures contract extensions for four rigs POSITIVE
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RO Macro; RO Banks; EME Macro/Strategy – PL; PL Macro; TXT...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: discussing a new fiscal package with the EU • Romanian banks: government to increase tax on gross revenues to 4% NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy – Poland: bigger, happier but also more divided • Poland macro: MPC reduces the policy rate by 25bps • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) preliminary results – MRR of USD 7.17m (up 0.7% qoq, up 1.4% yoy); 928 net LiveChat customers outflow NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: guiding for PLN 33m outflow related to the 2018-19 increased fees; PLN 50-...
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