HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, with inflation back at target • Wirtualna Polska: sells Invia Flights Germany at EUR 42.3m EV, 9.0x 2024 EV/EBITDA POSITIVE • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2025: Postcards from Prague • Allegro • Asseco Poland • Benefit Systems • Budimex • CCC • Kety • PGE • Tauron • Primoco UAV • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A. • MedLife • Mavi • Georgia Capital • GEVORKYAN • Krka • Medicover
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Develia: lighten the load, lift the pace (BUY - initiation of coverage) • PGE: 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: 3Q25 weak; 2025E guidance lowered; downside risk for our 2025E estimates NEGATIVE • Premier Energy: 3Q25 in line with our estimates; 2025E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • OPAP: 3Q25 results in line; EBITDA flat yoy, at EUR 214m, on to...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: value á la carte (upgraded to BUY) • Diagnostyka: 3Q25 results in line with expectations; strong demand continues POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 3Q25 EBITDA below our forecasts, following weaker gross margin and higher SG&As NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 3Q25 results call NEGATIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Tauron: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: key takeaways from the 3Q25 results call NEUTRAL...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: crude headwinds (downgraded to HOLD) • Budimex: 3Q25 EBITDA flat yoy, as expected NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: 3Q25 results – in line with expectations NEUTRAL • WOOD Flash – Georgia Capital: solid 3Q25 financial results – positive view maintained, discount to NAV remains attractive POSITIVE • Georgia Capital: 3Q25 conference call takeaways • OTE: increases prices by 2.6% from December 2025 POSITIVE • Borouge: 3Q25E results preview (due out tomorrow) NEUTRAL • OMV: 3Q25E r...
Georgia Capital (GCAP) reported its 3Q25 financial results this morning (27 October). We view the results as strong, with the NAV for both the large and emerging companies above our expectations. GCAP reduced its share count by 3% qoq, buying back 1.2m shares, and became net cash positive. NAV per share was up 8% qoq in GEL terms and 11% qoq in GBP terms. The company’s NAV per share was affected negatively by a one-off event related to final litigation reserves on a long-standing legacy legal ca...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (8-14 September) • Greece macro: debt remains on a steep downward path • DIGI Communications: planning IPO of its Spanish subsidiary, reportedly POSITIVE • Georgia Capital: healthcare business prices GEL 350m bond offering NEUTRAL • Jahez: buyback approved during EGM (3.6% of total shares) NEUTRAL • Mavi: 2Q25E earnings preview (due on 17 September) • Short News (CDR, CAR)
HEADLINES: • Sarantis: 1H25 in line with expectations; profit guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1H25 earnings beat on one-offs; broadly in line on an underlying basis POSITIVE • Footshop: 2Q25 broadly in line with our estimates; 2025E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • PGE: 2Q25 results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Enea: 2Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: August sales growth decelerates to 5% yoy NEGATIVE • Georgia Capital: announces early redemption of USD 100m ...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: on the menu – fair value (downgraded to HOLD) • Georgia Capital: launches nine-month USD 50m buyback programme POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (11-17 August) • KazMunayGas: 2Q25E results preview (due on 22 August) NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 2Q25E results preview – 22% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 2 September) • Vercom: 2Q25E results preview – 20% yoy EBITDA growth (due on 2 September)
HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: multi-sector story (BUY - transfer of coverage) • BIM: solid operating results overshadowed by bottom-line miss in 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: bottom line misses expectations in 2Q25 NEGATIVE • Kalekim: 2Q25 – strong set of results POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 2Q25 – eyeing +6% EBITDA margin for 2H25E POSITIVE • Romgaz: 2Q25 results – better than our forecasts POSITIVE • Romania macro: GDP heading into a tough 2H • DIGI Communications: key takeawa...
We transfer coverage of Georgia Capital, with a BUY and a price target (PT) of GBP 30.1/share, 29% upside from the current levels. Georgia Capital is a Tbilisi-based investment holding company, which holds an 18% stake in Lion Finance Group (48% of the group’s NAV), as well as a number of private assets (52% of the group’s NAV), with a focus on the healthcare, pharmacy, insurance and education industries. Georgia Capital targets capital-light, scalable businesses, with high cash-generation poten...
HEADLINES: • Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: changing remuneration conditions for c.2,700 employees NEUTRAL • Text: launches Text App service NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 August) • Murapol: 2Q25E preview – EBIT halved yoy, due to a low number of handovers (due on 24 September) • Rainbow Tours: 2Q25E preview – 19% net income drop expected, following margin normalisation (due...
We have downgraded Lion Finance Group (BGEO) to HOLD, with a new price target (PT) of GBP 79.4. BGEO trades at 5.8x 2025E P/E and 1.5x P/TBV, which we see as fair, following a 114% USD return over the last 12M, and 566% over the past three years. After such a good earnings cycle, which leveraged on a superb macro backdrop, we see limited upside risk on our EPS forecasts and assumptions for the group’s long-term earnings power (ROTEs of 27% for Georgia and 22% for Armenia). We calculate that most...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q25 results – strong quality beat • Komercni Banka: beat on bottom line in 2Q25, driven solely by LLPs releases NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 2Q25 results – strong other income and lower provisions charges NEUTRAL • Kety: full 2Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Garanti Bank: 2Q25 highlights – still ahead of peers and soft 2026E guidance POSITIVE • BRD-GSG: solid 2Q25 results beat expectations POSITIVE • OMV Petr...
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