We are resuming coverage of Romanian banks with an Outperform rating and a TP of RON 32.3 on Banca Transilvania (TLV) and a Neutral stance with a TP of RON 20.3 on BRD. We believe that current market prices largely factor in the downside risks of the upcoming fiscal consolidation package even beyond 2026. Despite BRD's increasing appetite for growth, we favour TLV due to its effective growth through its M&A strategy, higher long-term ROE potential and more attractive valuation metrics.
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (14-20 July) • OPAP: acquires remaining 15.5% stake in Stoiximan POSITIVE • Solutions by STC: 2Q25E financial results preview (due out tomorrow) • Borouge: 2Q25E results preview (due on 31 July) NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25E results preview – 3% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 August) • Erste Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 1 August) • OTP Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 5 August) • Bank Pekao: 2Q25E preview (due on 7 August) • PKO BP: 2Q2...
HEADLINES: • Ukraine macro: notes on the economy and the reconstruction process • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25 sales down 11% yoy, to PLN 20.3m NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: refund of interest on the overpayment related to the 2017 waste disposal decision NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk to be released for Apple Macs tomorrow NEUTRAL • Sipchem: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 July) NEUTRAL • Budimex: 2Q25E preview – EBIT up slightly, by 5% yoy (prelims due on 28 July) • Tupras: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 Ju...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (7-13 July) • EU macro: US tariff announcement worse than expected • PKO BP: to book PLN 1.25bn of FX mortgage saga costs in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: MSCI to keep the stock in the Greece Standard index, as largely expected • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25E preview – soft quarter, with 1% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 August)
Digital subscription results of AS Ekspress Grupp in the second quarter of 2025 The number of digital subscriptions of AS Ekspress Grupp increased by 10% in the Baltic States year-over-year (2nd quarter: 4%, 1st six months: 3%) and totalled 244 884 at the end of June. The number of digital subscriptions of AS Delfi Meedia that publishes the news portal Delfi, newspapers Eesti Päevaleht, Maaleht, Eesti Ekspress and several popular magazines increased by 12% year-over-year (2nd quarter: 6%, 1st six months: 5%) and totalled 119 811.The number of digital subscriptions of AS Õhtuleht Kirjastus,...
ASi Ekspress Grupp 2025. aasta 2. kvartali digitellimuste tulemused ASi Ekspress Grupp digitaalsete tellimuste hulk kasvas võrreldes eelmise aasta sama perioodiga Balti riikides kokku 10% (II kvartalis 4%, I poolaastas 3%) ja ulatus juuni lõpus 244 884-ni. Eestis uudisteportaali Delfi, Eesti Päevalehte, Maalehte, Eesti Ekspressi ja mitmeid populaarseid ajakirju kirjastava ASi Delfi Meedia digitellimuste hulk kasvas võrreldes eelmise aasta sama perioodiga 12% (II kvartalis 6%, I poolaastas 5%), ulatudes 119 811-ni.50%-liselt Ekspress Grupile kuuluva ASi Õhtuleht Kirjastus digitellimuste hul...
HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...
While the macro outlook in Romania may not be the most inviting over the next few years, due to the budget consolidation efforts that Romania must undertake to comply with the EC targets and avoid being downgraded to non-investment grade, we remain fairly constructive on Banca Transilvania (TLV), while less so on BRD-GSG. Despite some pressure on margins, due to rate cuts by the ECB, we expect both banks’ NIMs to expand mildly in 2025E and, even though the tax burden is increasing and we see hig...
AS Ekspress Grupp to Acquire Full Ownership of AS Õhtuleht Kirjastus According to the agreement signed between AS Ekspress Grupp and AS AVH Grupp on June 9, 2025, Ekspress Grupp will purchase the 50% stake in AS Õhtuleht Kirjastus previously owned by AVH Grupp. As a result of this transaction, Ekspress Grupp will become the sole owner of Õhtuleht Kirjastus. Õhtuleht Kirjastus is one of Estonia's largest media companies, publishing Õhtuleht, the daily newspaper with the largest circulation in Estonia, as well as several popular magazines. The company also manages online publications, inclu...
AS Ekspress Grupp soovib omandada AS Õhtuleht Kirjastuse täisosaluse ASi Ekspress Grupp ja ASi AVH Grupp vahel 9. juulil 2025 sõlmitud lepingu kohaselt ostab Ekspress Grupp seni AVH Grupile kuulunud 50% osaluse ASis Õhtuleht Kirjastus. Tehingu tulemusel saab Ekspress Grupist Õhtuleht Kirjastuse ainuomanik. Õhtuleht Kirjastus on üks Eesti suuremaid meediaettevõtteid, kes annab välja Eesti suurima tiraažiga päevalehte Õhtuleht ning mitmeid populaarseid ajakirju. Samuti haldab ettevõte veebiväljaandeid, sh ohtuleht.ee ja toidutare.ee portaale. Õhtuleht Kirjastuse omandamine annab Ekspress G...
Piletitasku has partnered with If Insurance Customers of Piletitasku, the ticket sales platform operated by AS Delfi Meedia, a subsidiary of AS Ekspress Grupp, can now benefit from a new security solution: Piletitasku has teamed up with If Insurance to offer the option to insure tickets at the point of purchase. This means that in the event of sudden illness or an accident, ticket holders can receive a full refund. If desired, insurance can be conveniently added during the Piletitasku purchase process while selecting event tickets. Visitors do not need to search for separate insurance or c...
Piletitasku alustas koostööd If Kindlustusega ASi Ekspress Grupp tütarettevõtte AS Delfi Meedia piletimüügikeskkonna Piletitasku klientidele on saadaval uus turvalahendus: Piletitasku alustas koostööd If Kindlustusega ja pakub nüüd võimalust kindlustada pilet juba ostuhetkel. See tähendab, et ootamatu haigestumise või õnnetuse korral saab külastaja piletiraha tagasi. Kindlustuse saab soovi korral mugavalt lisada Piletitasku ostuprotsessis üritusele pileteid valides. Külastaja ei pea eraldi kindlustust otsima ega dokumente täitma – kõik toimub sujuvalt ühe ostuga. Teenuse eesmärk on pakkuda...
HEADLINES: • Cimsa: on a path of growth and diversification (stays BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: inflation – short- and medium-term forecasts • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (30 June-6 July) • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 bookings down 10% qoq, but slightly better than Sensor Tower's estimates NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2 anime series in production NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: listing of new shares due to share split NEUTR...
Five Directors at OTP Bank Plc sold after exercising options/sold 23,535 shares at between 27,498.000HUF and 27,639.000HUF. The significance rating of the trade was 65/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by a...
AS Ekspress Grupp refinances bonds AS Ekspress Grupp and AS SEB Pank have signed a loan contract to refinance the outstanding EUR 5 million bonds from LHV pension funds on 10 July 2025. The loan will have a 2 July 2030 deadline compared to the earlier bonds’ redemption date of 7 October 2027. As a result of the refinancing, Ekspress Grupp’s annual interest expenses will decrease by ca EUR 150 thousand while the annual loan service will increase by ca EUR 340 thousand. As a result of the refinancing, Ekspress Grupp will decrease the average interest rate of its financial liabilities, using...
AS Ekspress Grupp refinantseerib võlakirjad AS Ekspress Grupp ja AS SEB Pank sõlmisid laenulepingu, millega Ekspress Grupp refinantseerib 10. juulil 2025. aastal LHV pensionifondide võlakirjad kokku 5 mln euro väärtuses. Laenu tähtaeg on 2. juuli 2030, varasema võlakirjade lunastustähtaja 7. oktoober 2027 asemel. Refinantseerimise tulemusel väheneb Ekspress Grupi aastane intressikulu ca 150 000 euro võrra, samas kui aastane laenuteenindus suureneb ca 340 000 euro võrra. Refinantseerimise tulemusena vähendab Ekspress Grupp kontserni võlakohustuste keskmist intressimäära, orienteerudes sama...
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