reports
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (19 April)
HEADLINES: * Sberbank: first look after new sanctions - stay on the sidelines * Turkey politics: early presidential elections * Eurocash: sales at small stores jump 9% yoy in March, according to CMR POSITIVE * Prime Car Management: mediocre fleet growth in 1Q18 NEUTRAL * Immofinanz: spends EUR 390m buying 29% of S-Immo from Benko and Pecik NEGATIVE * Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q18E preview - solid results, in spite of SCT impact in Turkey (due on 3 May) NEUTRAL * Short News (PLY,...
- Can Demir
WOOD Flash – Sberbank: first look after new sanctions – stay on th...
In this flash note, we make our first attempt to analyse how Sberbank’s investment case and valuation could change after the introduction of stricter sanctions on a number of targeted entities and individuals. We are not political analysts, but we believe that the chances are that we could move into a quiet period in terms of sanctions. This is not to say that we are ruling out new sanctions down the line, or arguing that Sber’s valuation can escape unscathed, as it is a Russia proxy. We bel...
- Research Team
- Can Demir
WOOD Flash – Sberbank: 1Q18 RAS results – broadly neutral
This morning, Sberbank reported RUB 196bn in 1Q18 RAS net income, up 26% yoy. Although there is no direct read-across between the RAS and IFRS results, looking at it directionally, we believe the results have broadly neutral implications for the stock. We note that the 1Q18 RAS NIM indicates that management’s guidance is accurate so far. Although it should recover seasonally in the rest of the year, we believe there is a strong likelihood of significant margin erosion in 2018E, primarily on th...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – CEE markets: Romanian index the top performer...
EME Equity Market – March 2018 Market performance – only Romania and Prague in positive territory. The MSCI EME lost 5.8% mom in March, continuing the negative trend after February’s 1.1% contraction. The Romanian BET index was the best performer in March, +3.1%, while Prague’s PX index remained broadly flat, recording a small gain of 0.3%. On the negative side, the Turkish ISE30 performed poorly, losing 9.1%, followed by the Warsaw WIG20, -7.3%. The Greek ASE index fell by 6.6% and Mosc...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
ATRS ATRIUM EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE LIMITED
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
OGZD GAZPROM
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
ARHOF AMREST HOLDING
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
SIF2 SIF MOLDOVA S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
PODRRA PODRAVKA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
KGH KGHM POLSKA MIEDZ S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
ENKAI ENKA INSAAT VE SANAYI A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
EKGYO EMLAK KONUT GAYRIMENKUL YATIRIM ORTAKLIGI A.G.
AFLT AEROFLOT RUSSIAN AIRLINES
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PCM PRIME CAR MANAGEMENT
ETE NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
SAHOL HACI OMER SABANCI HOLDING A.S.
LTS GRUPA LOTOS S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
MDG MEDICALGORITHMICS SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
PKP PKP CARGO
ICD ENERGA SA
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
NVTK NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
N7MG NLMK (GDR)
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA
SVST SEVERSTAL (GDR)
TELEC O2 CZECH REPUBLIC A.S.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
MMK MAGNITOGORSK IRON & STEEL WORKS (GDR)
EREGL ERDEMIR
PLY PLAY COMMUNICATIONS SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS FINANCIAL HOLDINGS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
MNOD NORILSK NICKEL
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LKOD LUKOIL
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
0RO5 MEDLIFE
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
HTO OTE
JSW JSW
RICHT RICHTER
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
SBER03 SBERBANK
ARGRRA ATLANTIC GROUP
ANY ANY SECURITY PRINTING COMPANY
WABERERS WABERER'S INTERNATIONAL ZRT
SGGD SURGUTNEFTEGAS
ATAD TATNEFT
CEZ CEZ
KOFOL KOFOLA
OMV OMV
EVR EVRAZ
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
DPEU DP EURASIA
DOM PW DOM DEVELOPMENT
UQA AV UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP
LNTA LI LENTA
UNIP UNIPETROL
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (23 March)
HEADLINES: * Sberbank: positives priced in, fair value (downgraded to HOLD) * Anadolu Efes: signs binding agreement with ABI; synergy guidance POSITIVE * Krka: 4Q17 results a small beat, FY18E guidance is "more of the same" NEUTRAL * Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from 4Q17 results conference * Enea: reported 4Q17 fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL * Romgaz: proposes RON 4.99 DPS POSITIVE * PKN Orlen: management and board changes NEGATIVE * CEZ: IndMin apparently n...
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
EKGYO EMLAK KONUT GAYRIMENKUL YATIRIM ORTAKLIGI A.G.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
TABAK PHILIP MORRIS CR AS
UNIP UNIPETROL AS
SBER03 SBERBANK
CEZ CEZ
KOFOL KOFOLA
- Alex Boulougouris
- Can Demir
Sberbank: Positives priced in, fair value (downgraded to HOLD)
In this report, we have downgraded Sberbank to HOLD, from Buy, with a new price target (PT) of RUB 280/common share (vs. RUB 232/share previously), yielding 4% upside from the current levels. The bank is trading at 7.4x P/E and 1.6x P/TBV on our 2018E estimates. We believe that Sber is probably still the highest-quality proxy for Russia, and its 2019E dividend yield could increase to as much as 7%, in our view. That said, we believe the positives have been priced in and the upside has diminished...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – CEE markets: Moscow MICEX the regional top pe...
EME Equity Market – February 2018 Market performance –Moscow the regional top performer in February. In February, the MSCI EME lost 1.1% mom in EUR terms, vs. the 6.6% gain in the previous month. The largest rate of return in February was realised by the MICEX, up 2.1%, followed by Bucharest’s BET (+0.9% mom) and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.7%). The other regional indices ended the month in negative territory, with Warsaw’s WIG20 recording the largest drop (-7.9%) and Budapest’s BUX followin...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KER KERNEL HOLDING S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
ATRS ATRIUM EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE LIMITED
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
ELPE HELLENIC PETROLEUM SA
IMO1 IMMOFINANZ AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
CETV CENTRAL EUROPEAN MEDIA ENTERPRISES LTD. CL A
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
FP FONDUL PROPRIETATEA
ARHOF AMREST HOLDING
SIF2 SIF MOLDOVA S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
ENKAI ENKA INSAAT VE SANAYI A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
EUPRO GRIVALIA PROPERTIES REIC
HALKB TURKIYE HALK BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
ENA ENEA S.A.
BIZIM BIZIM TOPTAN SATIS MAGAZALARI AS
LWB LUBELSKI WEGIEL BOGDANKA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
EKGYO EMLAK KONUT GAYRIMENKUL YATIRIM ORTAKLIGI A.G.
AFLT AEROFLOT RUSSIAN AIRLINES
GNB GETIN NOBLE BANK SA
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
GHG GEORGIA HEALTHCARE GROUP
ETE NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
PPA PIRAEUS PORT AUTHORITY S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
SAHOL HACI OMER SABANCI HOLDING A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
LTS GRUPA LOTOS S.A.
VAKBN TURKIYE VAKIFLAR BANKASI TURK ANONIM ORTAKLIGI
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
TKFEN TEKFEN HOLDING
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
MDG MEDICALGORITHMICS SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
PKP PKP CARGO
ICD ENERGA SA
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
NVTK NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
TBCG TBC BANK GROUP
N7MG NLMK (GDR)
SVST SEVERSTAL (GDR)
TELEC O2 CZECH REPUBLIC A.S.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SIF3 SIF TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
5M71 MAGNIT PJSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
SIF1 SIF BANAT-CRISANA S.A.
MMK MAGNITOGORSK IRON & STEEL WORKS (GDR)
EREGL ERDEMIR
PLY PLAY COMMUNICATIONS SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS FINANCIAL HOLDINGS S.A.
VTBR VTB BANK (GDR)
PFL PFLEIDERER GROUP SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SIF5 SOCIETATEA DE INVESTITII FINANCIARE OLTENIA SA
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
NIIS NAFTNA INDUSTRIJA SRBIJE NOVA SAD
COTE CONPET SA
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
0RO5 MEDLIFE
CCH COCA-COLA HBC
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
DOC DO&CO
FTE FORTE
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
KAZ LN KAZ MINERALS
HTO OTE
SIF4 SIF MUNTENIA S.A.
JSW JSW
RICHT RICHTER
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
SBER03 SBERBANK
GARAN GARANTI BANK
CEZ CEZ
OMV OMV
EVR EVRAZ
UNIP UNIPETROL
- Research Team
Focus: keeping our BUY on Bank of Cyprus, with unchanged EUR 3.7 PT; C...
HEADLINES: * Bank of Cyprus: market not convinced, but we are (stays BUY) * CA Immo: 4Q17 results - another strong quarter, FFO guidance suggests upside for our forecasts POSITIVE * Bizim Toptan: 4Q17 results - restructuring-heavy year ends on a high note POSITIVE * Aeroflot: 4Q17 results - a return to positive dynamics earlier than we expected POSITIVE * Dogus Oto: 4Q17 review - good operational print, but miss on bottom line; surprise dividend payout POSITIVE * Jeronimo Mart...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
IMO1 IMMOFINANZ AG
OMV OMV AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
ENA ENEA S.A.
AFLT AEROFLOT RUSSIAN AIRLINES
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
PLY PLAY COMMUNICATIONS SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
SBER03 SBERBANK
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