reports
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK) : 3Q25 Results Beat Expectations; Fr...
CSH’s 3Q25 net profit fell 55% yoy to Rmb9.5b but beat expectations on resilient freight rates and higher volumes. The recent rebound in freight indices and suspension of US-China port fees should support 4Q25 earnings. While oversupply risks remain in 2026, accelerated scrapping could ease pressure. Its strong net cash position (63% of market cap) should allow CSH to navigate the downcycle with flexibility. Upgrade CSH to HOLD with a higher target price of HK$14.54.
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Audrey Celia
- Chong Lee Len
- Jonathan Koh
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kong Ho Meng
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 05, 2025
Greater China Company Results | COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/HOLD/HK$13.67/Target: HK$14.54) CSH’s 3Q25 net profit fell 55% yoy to Rmb9.5b but beat expectations on resilient freight rates and higher volumes. The recent rebound in freight indices and suspension of US-China port fees should support 4Q25 earnings. While oversupply risks remain in 2026, accelerated scrapping could ease pressure. Its strong net cash position (63% of market cap) should allow CSH to navigate the downcycle with ...
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
IRPC IRPC PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Greater China Research Team
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, November 5, 2025
Top Stories Company Results | COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/HOLD/HK$13.67/Target: HK$14.54) CSH’s 3Q25 net profit fell 55% yoy to Rmb9.5b but beat expectations on resilient freight rates and higher volumes. The recent rebound in freight indices and suspension of US-China port fees should support 4Q25 earnings. While oversupply risks remain in 2026, accelerated scrapping could ease pressure. Its strong net cash position (63% of market cap) should allow CSH to navigate the downcycle with flexi...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Friday, October 31, 2025
Top Stories Company Results | ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$83.85/Target: HK$104.00) ASMPT’s 3Q25 print missed expectations on a weaker product mix and one-off restructuring costs. Revenue was largely in line with the mid-point of its guidance, but gross margin was below expectations at 35.7% due to changes in product mix and inventory write-off from the restructuring. Nevertheless, ASMPT reported solid progress with TCB in both HBM4 and advanced logic C2W/C2S, while its mainstream tools continued to re...
0939 CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORPORATION CLASS H
PRU PRUDENTIAL PLC
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
6WX CHINA LONGYUAN POWER GROUP CORP. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
300760 COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
603882 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
01876 GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
1787 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
002371 CH SHANDONG GOLD MINING CO LTD
NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK): 1H25: Earnings miss; expect weaker ...
CSH’s 1H25 net profit of Rmb17.5b (+3.9% yoy), at 55.1% of our full-year estimate, is deemed a miss, as we expect soft financial performance in 2H25, driven by weakening freight rates amid higher industry uncertainties. CSH declared an interim dividend of Rmb0.56 (HK$0.614) for 1H25. Downgrade CSH to SELL, as we see mounting downside risks in 2H25 and no meaningful re-rating catalysts. Our updated target price of HK$12.00 is based on 0.73x 2025F P/B (1.5SD below historical mean P/B).
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Monday, September 1, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI August's manufacturing PMI edged up slightly to 49.4 (+0.1pt mom), while non-manufacturing PMI improved modestly to 50.3 (+0.2pt mom). However, construction PMI fell to 49.1 (-1.5pt mom), below the expansion threshold for the first time since January. With moderating decline in new orders and new export orders, PMI for large-sized enterprise (50.8, +0.5pt mom) and small-sized enterprise (46.6, +0.2pt mom) both improved. Overall, a mixed bag. Results Alibaba Group...
0939 CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORPORATION CLASS H
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
600019 BAOSHAN IRON & STEEL CO. LTD. CLASS A
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
002050 CH ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (002050 CH)
2050 HK ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (2050 HK)
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Ken Lee
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily - Friday, May 2, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI: A sharp contraction in overseas demand. Sector Healthcare: Drug innovators continue to drive market growth. Macau Gaming: Apr 25 GGR beat expectations; May Day Golden Week visitor arrivals expected to grow 4% yoy. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$52.20/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb63.40/Target: Rmb70.80): 1Q25: Core net profit...
02328 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
600887 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
601888 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
601012 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
601689 LONGI GREEN ENERGY TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
338 COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
1772 WEICHAI POWER
06690 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
ECX HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
XIAOMI ECARX HOLDINGS INC
XIAOMI CORP
- Guan An Tan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
China Transportation & Logistics: Tariff war posing significant uncert...
The tariff war poses significant uncertainties to global trade. Shipping and ports (MARKET WEIGHT) are impacted due to their high global trade exposure, though their subdued valuation implies limited downside risks. Cargo operations of airlines (UNDERWEIGHT) are hit by both higher tariffs and the US’ de minimis tax change, but weaker fuel prices would support airlines’ near-term earnings. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on domestic consumption-oriented logistics names, with JDL a top pick.
00293 CATHAY PACIFIC AIRWAYS LIMITED
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
1199 COSCO SHIPPING PORTS LIMITED
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK): 2024: Results in line; more volatil...
CSH’s reported 2024 net profit of Rmb49.2b (+106% yoy) was in line with its previous guidance. A final dividend of Rmb1.03 was declared, leading to a full-year yield of 13.2%. For 2025, management sees a more complex and volatile industry environment amid geopolitical tensions. We expect CSH’s earnings to moderate 36% yoy in 2025. Share price downside should be limited by its large net cash pile, still-decent 2025 yield (8.3%) and proactive share buybacks. Maintain HOLD. Target price: HK$11.62.
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Tuesday, March 25, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Internet Seeing great opportunities in AI development, major China cloud hyperscalers are significantly lifting their AI investment in 2025. With the launch of Manus, we are more optimistic about the accelerating monetisation capabilities of AI agents and applications through API integration and tool utilisation, which benefit cloud hyperscalers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) CMOC reported 2024 earnings of Rmb13,532.0m (+64.0...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, March 25, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
3993 CHINA MOLYBDENUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
IOI IOI CORP BHD
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
1888 KINGBOARD LAMINATES HOLDINGS LTD
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
HUIZ HUIZE HOLDING LIMITED
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
China Shipping And Ports: Expect 2025 to be a volatile year, with seve...
The latest economic indicators indicate a tepid global trade outlook in the near term. We expect 2025 to be a volatile year for the shipping and ports sector, subject to a number of geopolitical and industry events. While many of these events point to downside risks, a potential port strike in the US, the most imminent event to watch out for, poses upside risks for the container shipping segment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. BUY OOIL, CSP and CMP. Maintain HOLD on CSH.
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK): 3Q24: Results slightly above expect...
CSH’s 9M24 net profit of Rmb38.1b (+72.7% yoy) was in line with its preliminary guidance and slightly ahead of our projections, at 85.2% of our full-year forecast. Management sees a benign trade condition in 4Q24 and expects the container shipping sector outlook to remain bolstered by the ongoing Red Sea disruption, at least through 1H25. Maintain HOLD on CSH for its lucrative dividend yield of over 13% in the next 12 months. Target price: HK$11.40.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Colin Lee
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Ken Lee
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Friday, November 1, 2024
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI October’s manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1% (+0.3ppt mom), with improvements across all composite indices. However, new export orders and inventory of finished goods continued to contract, with increases in purchase prices. The non-manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2% (+0.2ppt mom), showing broad-based improvements across all indices but a slight dip in construction PMI. Activity for small-sized firms contracted, likely impacted by fewer new manufacturing export orders....
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
6WX CHINA LONGYUAN POWER GROUP CORP. LTD. CLASS H
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
2747 ESTUN AUTOMATION
603882 GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
- Colin Lee
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Paula Ruth
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Singapore Research Team
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Stevanus Juanda
- Thailand Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Notes - Friday, November 01, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Broad-based improvement in PMI. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.11/Target: HK$14.60): 3Q24: Premiumisation slows down in China; in-home channel to be a focus. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$33.50/Target: HK$40.90): 3Q24: Solid set of results; 4Q24/2025 growth may accelerate further. Maintain BUY. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.91/Target: HK$6.50): 3Q24: In line; 3Q24 wind power generation up 6.2% yoy. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/HOLD/HK$11.54/Tar...
ISAT INDOSAT
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
6WX CHINA LONGYUAN POWER GROUP CORP. LTD. CLASS H
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
ROTH BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
CPN-R CENTRAL PATTANA PCL NVDR
2747 ESTUN AUTOMATION
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
China Shipping and Ports: Weakening global trade outlook; The US east ...
The latest economic indicators pointed to a weakening global trade outlook, with both China and global manufacturing PMIs standing at sub-50 levels, and their new export order sub-indices sinking deeper in the contractionary territory. Ocean freight rate futures prices have rebounded lately amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, and the US East Coast port strike, though halted for now, remains a key uncertainty. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. BUY OOIL, CSP and CMP. CSH is downgraded to HOLD.
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK): 1H24: Results broadly in line; expe...
CSH’s 1H24 net profit of Rmb16.9b (+1.9% yoy, +131.1% hoh) is deemed broadly in line with our expectations, forming 32.0% of our full-year forecast, as we expect a significantly higher 2H24 performance underpinned by higher average ocean freight rates hoh and yoy. Ocean freight rates are going downhill as the market is moving out of the traditional peak season but are likely to stay above normal levels given the ongoing Red Sea disruption. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$11.08.
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
China Shipping and Ports: Freight rates peaked but forward decline is ...
The latest economic indicators for global trade outlook weakened slightly, with both China and global manufacturing PMIs dipping mom and their new export order subindices below 50. Ocean freight rates have peaked, with freight rate futures prices having retreated in the past month amid the Gaza truce talks. Nevertheless, risk-reward for shipping companies is more favourable after the recent share price drops. Maintain MARTKET WEIGHT. OOIL and CSH (upgraded to BUY) offer FY24 yields of about 17%.
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
China Shipping And Ports: Further strengthened freight rates raising c...
The latest economic indicators for global trade were still mixed but with some positive tilt. Driven by a tight capacity supply-demand balance, prices of Jun/Aug/Oct 24 futures contracts for Shanghai-Europe freight rose 24%/30%/24% from our last update, pointing to even stronger near-term earnings for container shipping. We deem the risk-reward of container shipping stocks largely balanced but think near-term market sentiments may stay strong. Upgrade OOIL to HOLD on raised earnings and dividend...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Greater China Research Team
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Malaysia Research Team
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Stevanus Juanda
- Sunny Chen
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 05, 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Call Adding KE Holdings and Wharf REIC to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. Sector Shipping and Ports – China Further strengthened freight rates raising container shipping earnings outlook. Upgrade OOIL to HOLD; Maintain BUY on CSP and CMP, and HOLD on CSH. Update KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$45.00/Target: HK$55.00) ...
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00144 CHINA MERCHANTS PORT HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
7777 3-D MATRIX
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
CENTEL CENTRAL PLAZA HOTEL
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
VALUE VALUE8 N.V.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
MISC MISC BHD
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
CPALL TB CP ALL
BAUTO BERMAZ AUTO BHD
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
OSP OSOTSPA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
300760 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
CRC CENTRAL RETAIL CORP
1199 COSCO SHIPPING PORTS LIMITED
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
NATGATE NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
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